BRIC Summit to Evaluate Dollar

Published in Sina
(China) on 16 June 2009
by 黄晴 (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Guangyong Liang. Edited by Katy Burtner.
On June 16th, Chinese President Hu Jintao, Russian President Medvedev, Indian Prime Minister Singh and Brazilian President Lula will hold the first so called “BRIC summit” in Yekaterinburg.


“BRIC” is a new word that has appeared recently, consisting of the first letters of Brazil, Russia, India and China. These four countries are important countries with big populations and territories. They are also the emerging countries in the modern era. The BRIC countries are in a historical period when their economies are growing rapidly or are reviving. Their total gross national product accounts for 25 percent of the gross world product. In 2008, BRIC contributed to a 50 percent increase in the world’s economic growth.

From the angle of civilization or a cultural revolution, BRIC does not strictly belong to the “Western Civilization Circle.” These countries are rising together, showing that human civilization tends to be more multi-cultural and colorful.

This first “BRIC summit” is held under the pretense of deep development in the international financial crisis. It’s well known that this financial crisis comes from the U.S. Because of the important status of the U.S. in the world economy and because the dollar has the status of being the international reserve currency, this financial crisis is quickly spreading around the world. The financial crisis also reflects prominent problems: the imbalance of current world economic development, the current economic order and the incompatibility between the financial system and the real situation.

This first BRIC summit reflects the emerging big countries’ strong desire and urgent need to cope with the international financial crisis together. Four countries will enhance teamwork, enhance coordination in micro policies, object protectionism and push forward international financial system reform. This year, multilateral coordination to cope with the financial crisis has been going on, such as the G-20 summit. The BRIC summit is also a part of the global efforts.

There are two major things to watch for at the BRIC summit. One thing to watch is how the participating leaders will evaluate the dollar. Since WWII, the dollar has been the international reserve currency. This has to do with the power and status of the U.S., and it was formed by history. At the beginning, the dollar was closely linked to the gold price without any problems in its reputation. But after that, the U.S. had different economic needs and let the dollar detach from gold. The basis for the dollar as the international reserve currency has fluctuated. Since the international financial crisis, the dollar’s reputation and effect has been seriously damaged.

The dollar’s status as the international reserve currency has been questioned. Therefore, by quoting a Russian official’s words, BRIC have a clear understanding on the issues, such as relying on a single currency. Officials from some countries suggest creating a super sovereign reserve currency by using IMF Special Drawing Rights as a basis. BRIC has already begun to increase IMF bonds to enhance the right of speech of emerging countries in the international financial system and to force the U.S. to be accountable for the dollar. As a matter of fact, in many countries’ bilateral and multilateral trade arrangements, the process of moving “away from dollarization” has begun. Of course, it will take a long time for the dollar’s status and function to be changed. Every country needs to act with caution and operate with care under the precondition of stabilizing the world’s economy.

The other thing to watch for is whether this BRIC summit will immobilize, institutionalize and become a mechanism in which all can take common action, or if it is just a forum. According to the current situation, this summit is still primarily a platform for dialogue and communication. However, it is merely one step away from consensus to mutual trust.

In recent world history, any big economic crisis means the restructuring of the world’s economic model and financial order. This is unavoidable and it is independent of humans’ subjective will. People can only act along with it. In the current international financial crisis, relatively speaking, the situation of BRIC is better as the status of the four countries is still on the rise. It’s said that emerging countries will be the first ones to walk out of the economic recession and they will lead the world’s economy to walk out of the recession. This saying is quite reasonable.


6月16日,中国国家主席胡锦涛、俄罗斯总统梅德韦杰夫、印度总理辛格和巴西总统卢拉,将在叶卡捷琳堡举行所谓“金砖四国”的首次峰会。
  “金砖四国(BRIC)”是近年出现的新词,由巴西、俄罗斯、印度和中国的英文名称第一个字母组合引伸而成。这四个国家是世界上重要的人口、领 土大国,也是当代重要的新兴大国。“金砖四国”正处在经济快速成长或复兴的历史阶段,其国民生产总值之和约占世界生产总值的15%,2008年,“金砖四 国”对世界经济增长的贡献率超过50%。
  从文明或文化演进的角度看,“金砖四国”均不属于严格意义上的“西方文明圈”的范畴,这些国家的群体崛起,预示着人类文明的发展更趋多元,更为丰富多彩。
  这次“金砖四国”的首次峰会,是在国际金融危机深入发展的背景下召开的。众所周知,这次金融危机源自美国,由于美国在世界经济中的重要地位,由 于美元的国际储备货币地位,这一危机迅速蔓延全球。这次金融危机也反映了当今世界经济发展失衡,现存的经济秩序和金融体系与现实格局不相适应等问题。
  这次“金砖四国”的首次峰会,反映了新兴大国共同应对国际金融危机的强烈意愿和紧迫需要。四国将在最高层次上加强协调合作、加强宏观政策协调、 反对保护主义、推动国际金融体系的改革。今年以来,全球应对金融危机的多边协调紧密举行,如20国峰会,“金砖峰会”也是这种全球努力的一部分。
  这次“金砖峰会”有两大看点:其一,与会领导人将如何评估美元。自“二战”以来,美元成为国际储备货币,这和美国的国力和地位有关,是历史形成 的。美元最初与黄金价格固定挂钩,信誉没有问题。但后来,美国出于自身的经济需要,让美元与黄金脱钩,其作为国际储备货币的依据便开始动摇。这次国际金融 危机以来,美元的信誉和作用严重受损,美元作为国际储备货币的地位受到普遍质疑。因此,用一位俄罗斯官员的话说,“金砖四国”在摆脱对单一货币的依赖等问 题上都有清醒的认识。有的国家的官员提出以IMF特别提款权为基础创立超主权储备货币的问题,四国已开始要增持IMF债券,以增强新兴国家在国际金融体系 中的话语权,并促使美国对美元采取负责的态度。事实上,当前在许多国家双边和多边的贸易安排中,“脱美元化”的进程已经开始。当然,美元的地位和功能发生 演变会是一个较长期的过程,各国需要在稳定世界经济的前题下谨慎行事、精心操作。
  其二,这次“金砖峰会”是否会固定化、机制化,它将成为一种能采取共同行动的机制还仅仅是一个论坛。从目前情况看,这次峰会主要还是一个对话和沟通的平台。但是,从共识、互信到共同行动,只是一步之遥。
  在世界近代史上,任何一次重大的经济危机,都意味着世界经济版图和金融秩序的重构。这是不可避免的,不以人的主观意志为转移的,人们只能顺势而 为。在当前的国际金融危机中,相对而言,“金砖四国”的经济状况要好一些,其在世界经济中的地位仍有跃升之势。有论者说,新兴大国将率先走出经济衰退,并 带领世界经济走出衰退,这种说法还是有相当根据的。
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