The Hillary Doctrine

Published in Nanfang Daily
(China) on 26 August 2009
by Liu Shi (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nicholas van Heyst. Edited by Christie Chu.
In the latest release of Forbes magazine's list of the world's 100 most powerful women, the German prime minister Angela Merkel reclaimed - for the fourth time - the number one spot, while Secretary of State Hillary Clinton only managed to take 36th place.

Some believe that because she did not succeed in claiming the Democratic candidacy for president, her influence has experienced a definite set back. Yet, at the same time, it would appear that in the half-year's time since she took office [as secretary of state] there has been the gradual emergence of what is being called the “Hillary doctrine.”

The Hillary doctrine, naturally, is not the same as the Monroe doctrine. The latter used his presidency to declare to Europe that the continent of America belongs to the powers within its region, while the Hillary doctrine is based on Hillary's formulation and execution of foreign policy under the leadership of President Obama. And no one would deny that U.S. foreign policy has some of Hillary's own flavor in it.

While they were still campaigning, Hillary once criticized Obama's concept of foreign politics, calling it too “naive” (Obama once said that if he became president he would hold talks with Iran and North Korea without preconditions). Yet, now the difference between Hillary and Obama is scarce, to say the least. Hillary's current position is “no need to differentiate between friend and foe, it is always better to make contact.” With these two words – “make contact” – one already sees a clear distinction between her and Bush's foreign policy game plan (Bush once called Iran, North Korea and Cuba the “Axis of Evil” and refused to communicate with them).

As for relations with Russia, Hillary expects cooperation and effort put toward the target of eliminating nuclear weapons, and would appreciate that they do not get involved in the effort to compel Iran to give up pursuit of nuclear capabilities. And even though Vice President Biden recently made statements praising the induction of Ukraine and Georgia into NATO, it is possible that their political actions will reveal that they do not intend to overstep their bounds on the issue.

Hillary will not be singing loudly for human rights in China, as the U.S. will be needing China's intimate cooperation to tackle the issues of the financial crisis, global warming and North Korea. It is very certain that while Hillary is visiting China she will not be there promoting a democratic and/or human rights agenda.

The Middle East is still at the center of U.S. foreign policy. Hillary advocates fighting for support from Syria, finding a solution to the Iranian nuclear issue and resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Her aim is to use foreign policy methods to try to get Syria to take a new approach towards profiting their nation. The U.S. hopes that Syria will lock down their border with Iraq, stop their involvement with Lebanese internal politics, make peace with Israel and sever ties with Iran.

These are the main ideas of the Hillary doctrine; it could also be said that they make up the main engine that drives U.S. foreign policy. Yet Hillary is by no means enjoying her appointment to secretary of state free of certain vexations. On the first day of her 11-day trip to Africa where she would be visiting seven countries, the newspaper headlines were not reading “Hillary is in Kenya” but rather “Clinton is in North Korea.” And it was this arrangement that expressed clearly that her influence is far from being strictly her own.

Another interesting phenomenon is that while Obama was attending the financial summit and visiting Russia, Hillary did not accompany him. The reason was that she had injured her elbow. Consequently it was said that “Obama took off the bandages for Hillary.” Yet in actuality, Hillary took off her own bandages before her trip to Africa.

After Obama had finished with the financial summit, he turned his attention to a Middle Eastern issue, namely how to relieve tension between the two major cultures of Christianity and Islam – putting forth his own “Cairo Declaration” and extending an olive branch to the Muslim world. More recently he transferred a U.S. state department expert on the Iran issue to the White House to act as an advisor to the president. Among the issues of concern in the Middle East, Iran is special, and therefore it remains in the realm of the president's own territory.

While visiting Europe, Biden promoted the expansion of NATO, and during his recent visits to Ukraine and Georgia he reaffirmed his support toward these two close neighbors of Russia. During this time he spoke with a voice that seemed to overshadow the office of the secretary of state. In retrospect, looking at Hillary's trip to Asia shortly after being appointed, as well as her trip to Africa, it looks as though U.S. foreign policy is barely operating as a trio. And basically, that is what is meant by the term the “Hillary doctrine.”


在《福布斯》杂志公布的最新一期全球百强女性权力榜上,德国总理默克尔第四次蝉联榜首,国务卿希拉里·克林顿仅列第36位。有人认为,由于未能成功当选总统,她的影响力受到了一定的影响。 但在某种意义上,就任大半年来,“希拉里主义”已经逐渐浮现。

“希拉里主义”自然不同于“门罗主义”,后者以总统的名义向欧洲列强表明,美洲属于美国的势力范围;“希拉里主义”则是在奥巴马总统领导下,由希拉里拟定并执行的外交政策。谁也不能否认,“希拉里主义”是有希拉里特色的外交政策。

在总统初选中,希拉里曾批评奥巴马的外交构想“过于天真”(奥巴马曾说,如果他当选总统,将不附条件地与伊朗和朝鲜的领导人会晤)。希奥之间的分歧,如今已成过眼云烟,希拉里现在主张“不分敌友,接触总是上策”。就凭“接触”二字,希拉里已同布什的外交路线划清了界限(布什曾将伊朗、朝鲜和古巴称为“邪恶轴心”,拒绝来往)。

在对俄罗斯关系上,希拉里期望获得对方的协助,尽量落实无核化目标,特别在迫使伊朗弃核问题上不能插手。尽管拜登副总统最近公开声明赞成乌克兰和格鲁吉亚加入北约,但美国在这方面的实际外交行动却可能适可而止。

同样,希拉里也不会对中国高唱民主和人权。美国在金融危机、气候暖化及朝核问题上都需要中国密切合作,希拉里访华时未将民主和人权置于显著位置就是明证。

中东问题仍是美国外交政策的核心。希拉里主张争取叙利亚的支持,解决伊核与以巴纠纷。她要通过外交手段让叙利亚看到国家利益的另一面。美国希望叙利亚锁住伊拉克边界、停止介入黎巴嫩内政、与以色列媾和、同伊朗决裂。

这些主调显然是“希拉里主义”的外延,也可以说是当前美国外交政策的主轴。但在国务卿位置上,希拉里也并非全无困扰。在她11天非洲七国行的第一天,全世界媒体的头条都不是“希拉里在肯尼亚”,而是“克林顿在朝鲜”。这种安排,表明她的影响力远不止于自身。

还有一个现象是,奥巴马出席金融峰会和访俄时,希拉里都没有随行,理由是肘部受伤。于是有人说:“是该奥巴马总统为希拉里拆下绷带的时候了。”但绷带却是她自己在非洲之行前自己拆的。

奥巴马在出席金融峰会后,曾就中东问题也即基督教和伊斯兰两大文明如何消除纠纷,发表“开罗宣言”,向伊斯兰世界伸出橄榄枝,最近又把国务院伊朗问题专家调到白宫服务担任总统顾问。中东问题其中特别是对伊朗外交,今后仍是总统亲自过问的外交领域。

拜登访欧,推动扩大北约,最近访问乌克兰和格鲁吉亚时,重申美国支持俄罗斯这两个近邻。他对欧洲发出的声音,似乎超越了国务院的机制。联系希拉里就职后的亚洲之行和目前的非洲之行,美国外交政策领域的“三头马车”依稀可见。这大概就是“希拉里主义”的内涵。(作者系旅美华人评论家)
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