Afghanistan’s War – Through the Eyes of the Terrorists

Published in Ziare
(Romania) on 19 December 2009
by Cosmin Madalin (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Veronica Pascarel. Edited by June Polewko.
The Obama administration’s new strategy in Afghanistan requires focusing attention on three different aspects: the war against terrorism in Afghanistan, fighting the radical Islamists hiding in Pakistan, and the continuance of troop withdrawal from Iraq.

The United States' tasks include impeding al-Qaida from developing and carrying out more terrorist attacks on American soil and preventing terrorist organizations and other Islamist groups from influencing vulnerable Muslim states. According to Stratfor, a global intelligence agency, with such difficult tasks, it is vital for the U.S. to evaluate the methods these terrorist groups use to respond to the new challenges.

The methods used will be difficult to assess, especially since these terrorist groups cannot be described as having a command structure with only one point of view. On the contrary, the fragmentation of the terrorist groups represents a strategic necessity that acts as an advantage in maintaining the confidentiality of the operations as well as a mechanism for fighting.

Therefore, since absolute clarity regarding the terrorist’s actions cannot be established, we can try to look at the situation from the perspective of an Islamist activist: How would the world look at the end of 2009? What do we desire to accomplish and what do we do to complete our plans?

In order to give solid answers, we have to remember that al-Qaida was the group to launch a jihad with the sole intention of eliminating the Sunni regimes from the Muslim world. This elimination was intended to happen through revolutions supported by the local population. The support from native populations was meant to arise concurrently with the events following 9/11; an event intended as a demonstration of the U.S.’s vulnerability and of the Sunni political allies supported by the West.

It could be said that, for the terrorists, the result of the last eight years turned out to be disappointing. Not even one Sunni regime was replaced and Muslim governments continue to rely on U.S. support through the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. These wars have diverted the terrorist group’s attention from organizing attacks in the U.S. and Europe, forcing them to focus attention on local conflicts instead.

However, in order to secure a victory, the terrorist organizations have to find common strategic ground in the form of a complete refusal to engage in confrontations among each other and also against Afghanistan’s allied military forces.

The instauration of peace in the region could be Obama’s greatest argument in retrieving U.S military forces from the region and in leaving the situation under the control of the Afghan army.

Even if it seems paradoxical, the terrorists in Afghanistan are currently in a tougher position than America. The difficulty of such a position derives from the fact that the U.S. does not even have major interests in the region and is confronted with tense opposition from the majority of the American population. The U.S. government realizes that this is a war where diminishing the military pressure in Afghanistan could be the worst solution.


Noua strategie a Administratiei Obama in Afganistan presupune concentrarea atentiei asupra razboiului purtat impotriva terorismului din aceasta tara, in paralel cu combaterea islamistilor radicali ce se ascund in Pakistan si continuarea retragerii din Irak.

Astfel, in timp ce SUA sunt interesate sa impiedice al-Qaida sa mai desfasoare alte atacuri teroriste pe teritoriul american si sa zadarniceasca eforturile organizatiei teroriste si ale altor grupari islamiste de a-si exercita influenta asupra unor tari musulmane vulnerabile, este necesar sa se analizeze felul in care aceste organizatii teroriste ar putea raspunde noilor provocari, crede Stratfor.

Lucrul acesta este insa destul de dificil de realizat tinand cont de faptul ca teroristii nu se constituie intr-o forta unitara caracterizata printr-o structura de comanda care sa exprime un singur punct de vedere. Fragmentarea organizatiilor teroriste reprezinta insa atat o necesitate strategica ce actioneaza in sensul pastrarii secretului operatiunilor pe care le desfasoara, cat si un instrument de lupta.

Prin urmare, daca nu putem stabili o linie clara de actiune terorista, ne putem in schimb intreba, din perspectiva unui activist islamist aflat la sfarsitul anului 2009, cum ar arata lumea, ce am vrea sa realizam si ce am putea face pentru a ne duce la indeplinire planurile?

Pentru a oferi raspunsuri solide, trebuie, inainte de toate, sa ne amintim ca al-Qaida a declansat jihadul (razboiul sfant) cu intentia de a inlatura de la putere regimurile sunite din lumea musulmana prin revolutii ce ar fi trebuit sa beneficieze de sprijinul populatiei locale, care urma sa se convinga, in urma atacurilor din 11 septembrie, de vulnerabilitatea SUA si a liderilor politici suniti spijiniti de puterea din Vest.

Rezultatul ultimilor opt ani s-a dovedit dezamagitor pentru teroristi: niciun singur regim sunit nu a fost inlocuit, regimurile musulmane contand in continuare pe sprijinul SUA, care, prin razboaiele initiate in Afganistan si Irak, au distras atentia gruparilor teroriste de la organizarea de atentate in SUA si Europa, acestia fiind prinsi in schimb in conflicte locale.

Pentru a putea spera totusi la castigarea razboiului, organizatiile teroriste trebuie sa-si schimbe de comun acord strategia in sensul refuzului de a mai intra in confruntari, atat intre ele, cat si impotriva fortelor militare aliate din Afganistan.

Instaurarea linistii in regiune ar fi cel mai important argument pentru Administratia Obama de a decide retragerea fortelor din zona si a lasa situatia sub controlul armatei afgane.

Dar desi poate parea paradoxal, teroristii din Afganistan se afla acum intr-o pozitie mult mai dificila decat America, care, cu toate ca nu are interese majore in zona si se confrunta cu o opozitie majoritara a populatiei americane fata de razboiul din Afganistan si nu numai, realizeaza ca scaderea presiunii armate este cea mai proasta solutie care poate fi aleasa.
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