Netanyahu, Obama and the Iranian Danger

Published in La Republica
(Peru) on 30 December 2009
by Ariel Segal (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Anna Laznik. Edited by Jessica Boesl.
Without partners to negotiate in Hamas’s Gaza, under the surveillance of Hezbollah’s fanatic Shiite guerrilla group in the south of Lebanon, and after two complex wars against both groups, the Israeli society stands lost in thought about the threat of a nuclear Iran: An Iran whose president has proven to be unscrupulous with his own compatriot dissidents and to be a compulsive liar, hiding the existence of a nuclear reactor.

Although Israel has plenty of reasons to give priority to Ahmadinejad’s threats of “erasing it from the map,” it is not less important that the conflict with the Palestinians threatens its future as a democratic state in the long run.

For Netanyahu, the Iranian danger serves as an excuse not to set out a serious peace plan for the Palestinians of the West Bank and to press negotiations with Syria. On the contrary, Obama’s advisers consider that the Shiite radicalism of the Iranian regime, in its intent to convert itself into a nuclear power, creates an unusual strategic coincidence that brings together the stance of Israel and the Sunni Arab countries; since all have been equally threatened by the Islamists of Tehran.

While Netanyahu strives to maintain the political stability of his coalition, Obama’s government leans toward a complete diagram of peace based on the Saudi Plan, which calls on recognition and full Arab world relations with Israel in exchange for Israeli withdrawal from the 1967 borders when Gaza and the West Bank were occupied by Egypt and Jordan, respectively, and the Golan was controlled by Syria.

The permissive position of Netanyahu with respect to the Israeli settlements in the West Bank threatens the geopolitical interests of all those that should confront the hegemonic Iranian project. If this attitude has ideological roots, it will be impossible to move forward on the path suggested by Obama, but if it is distrust (justified by the violence that came after the withdrawal from Gaza in 2005) that detains Netanyahu, the members of the quartet - the United States, Europe, the U.N., and Russia - are entitled to present a plan that offers guarantees.


Netanyahu, Obama y el peligro iraní
Por editor
Creado el 30/12/2009 - 23:17

Por Ariel Segal
asegal@larepublica.com.pe [1]

Sin socios para negociar en la Gaza de Hamas, bajo el acecho de la guerrilla fanática chiíta de Hezbolah en el sur del Líbano, y tras dos guerras complejas contra ambos grupos, la sociedad israelí luce ensimismada en la amenaza de un Irán nuclear, cuyo presidente ha demostrado ser inescrupuloso con sus propios compatriotas disidentes, y ser un mentiroso compulsivo, ocultando la existencia de un reactor nuclear.

Si bien Israel tiene sobradas razones para dar prioridad a las amenazas de Ahmadineyad de “borrarla del mapa”, no es menos cierto que a largo plazo el conflicto con los palestinos atenta contra su futuro como estado democrático.

A Netanyahu el peligro iraní le sirve como excusa para no plantear un plan de paz serio a los palestinos de Cisjordania, y para apremiar negociaciones con Siria. Por el contrario, los asesores de Obama consideran que el radicalismo chiíta del régimen iraní, en su intento de convertirse en una potencia nuclear, crea una inusual coincidencia estratégica para acercar posiciones entre Israel y los países árabes sunitas, pues todos han sido igualmente amenazados por los islamistas de Teherán.

Mientras Netanyahu busca mantener la estabilidad política de su coalición, el gobierno de Obama se inclina a un esquema integral de paz basado en el Plan Saudita, que llama al reconocimiento y plenas relaciones del mundo árabe con Israel a cambio de la retirada israelí a las fronteras de 1967 cuando Gaza y Cisjordania estaban ocupadas por Egipto y Jordania, respectivamente, y el Golán estaba controlado por Siria.

La posición permisiva de Netanyahu con respecto a los asentamientos israelíes en Cisjordania atenta contra los intereses geopolíticos de todos los que deben enfrentar el proyecto hegemónico iraní. Si esta actitud tiene bases ideológicas será imposible avanzar por la senda planteada por Obama, pero si lo que detiene a Netanyahu es la desconfianza (justificada luego de la violencia que vino tras la retirada de Gaza en 2005), les corresponde a los miembros del Cuarteto –EEUU, Europa, la ONU y Rusia– presentar un plan que le ofrezca garantías.
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