Should the U.S. Be Happy When China is Unhappy?

Published in Lianhe Zaobao
(Singapore) on 19 February 2010
by Liang Xin (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Eugene Tan. Edited by Jessica Boesl.
China and the U.S. are giving each other the cold shoulder. This does not make China happy, and especially not Chinese nationalists. The U.S. is also unhappy, especially working-class Americans.

The reason Chinese nationalists are so unhappy is that the U.S. is too overbearing and has been using China as a punching bag, constantly pushing China’s buttons and crossing the line in U.S.-China relations: meeting the Dalai Lama, interfering with issues regarding Taiwan, and getting other countries to gang up on the RMB, forcing it to appreciate. Since China has already tightened its policies, adopting methods to appreciate the U.S. dollar would be like kicking a dog when it is down, stifling China’s manufacturing industry, toppling over China’s capitalist and real estate markets, and attacking China’s economy and employment situation.

Working-class Americans are unhappy because the U.S.’s financial imperialism has created so much conflict and is trying to cause the downfall of China’s low-priced, high-quality goods, which would put even more pressure on the lives of working-class Americans. If China’s RMB appreciates to a large extent (and actually the appreciation of the U.S. dollar has already caused a subtle appreciation of the RMB), products from other emerging countries will start to flood into the U.S. The average American already clearly understands the severity of this situation — a flood of imported goods from other emerging countries will not bring Americans more employment, but more pressure. In addition, Americans, who are used to low-priced, high-quality Chinese goods, will be much more worried now about seeing sudden price increases.

Deep down in their hearts, working-class Americans all know that it is the fat cats of Wall Street that have thrown their lives into turmoil and disrupted the global economy. No matter how eloquent the elite members of Wall Street are, and no matter how American politicians shirk responsibility and change the subject, they are even more afraid of Europe and Japan than they are of China.

People in the same line of business are enemies: Europe, the U.S. and Japan produce goods that are of similar quality, so these three countries are competing, not helping each other. In contrast, Chinese and American manufacturing complement each other. Therefore, we can see that, recently, the U.S. has been killing Europe, whose sovereign debt crisis is a warning sign for Americans. Also, Japan’s manufacturing crisis is just the result of an unconventional move by the U.S.’s financial and industrial imperialists.

China’s leaders are not happy that the U.S. will not let China save face, which is so important for the Chinese. For the Chinese, a few slaps in the face are more shameful than a heavy punch. China’s leaders have constantly warned the U.S. not to meet with the Dalai Lama and not to sell arms to Taiwan. However, even after punching China in the face, Americans are still unwilling to let up. Making the Chinese suffer in silence will undoubtedly anger Chinese nationalists. The Chinese people are not happy, but we all understand that, as long as economic disputes do not escalate and involve core interests or issues of sovereignty, these problems can be solved appropriately by sitting down and talking through our differences. However, if there are any extraordinary disputes, outright retaliation is in order. The Chinese people have a strong sense of dignity, which cannot be negotiated. Restraint can often turn into impulsiveness in just one moment; therefore, the American imperialists should not always pick fights and provoke people.

China has decreased its purchases of U.S. bonds, but the Wall Street Journal did not admit this fact. This is a very delicate issue because it seems time for China to strike back, but the U.S. is comforting itself by saying that China wants to buy more U.S. bonds and maintain the stability of the U.S. national debt. The message from America is obvious: Do not panic. The whole world wants to have faith in the U.S. national debt. Publicizing a strong U.S. dollar is the old tune of the supporters of the U.S.’s strategic interests. If the time comes though, another group will let out a little secret and say, “The U.S. dollar is ours, but the problems are yours.”

On the Internet, there are many posts and articles venting anger against American imperialists. China’s anger has already reached the point of explosion. American politicians, under the control of Wall Street, are still continuously creating conflict and some have truly gone too far. Some American scholars, who have started to see the right path, are using their positions of authority to continuously incite a feeling of American nationalism. This is a battle of public opinions.

U.S.-China relations should cool down, as should the battle of public opinions. It seems more appropriate to solve problems with a cool head rather than a hot one because the U.S. and China cannot be attacking each other. The cooperation of these two countries would be beneficial to both parties and to the whole world. A thin layer of frost covers the surface of U.S.-China relations, but underneath are surging heat waves. The people’s economic activities will not cease due to political divisions; instead, they are more intense.

After the financial crisis, China was not willing to assume the lead role in this historical period because this is against China’s strategy of remaining low-key. Therefore, China does not like the Western media making statements about China and the U.S. ruling together and also does not like being sensationalized in the Western media. What is more, China does not hope to assume responsibility for that which it is not yet ready. China still has a lot of its own problems that need to be solved. To put it shortly, China is very unhappy, and Americans should not necessarily be happy either. There are many delicate issues hidden even within problems that look small.


中国不高兴美国就能高兴?

中美冷眼相向,这让中国很不高兴,特别是中国的民族主义者很不高兴。美国也不高兴,特别是生活在下层的民众。

  中国的民族主义者很不高兴的原因,在于美国太霸道。将中国作为出气筒,不停地触摸中国最敏感的部位,不停地踩中美之间的红线。达赖也要见,台湾问题也要横插一脚,还率领众国围攻人民币,逼迫人民币升值。在中国收紧政策之后采取落井下石的美元升值办法,既要挤压中国制造的空间,又要逼跨中国的资本市场和房地产市场,从而打击中国的经济和就业。

  美国下层民众不高兴,源于美国金融帝国主义制造了多起摩擦,企图让物美价廉的中国制造垮台,增加美国下层民众的生活压力。如果人民币大幅度升值(其实美元升值已经让人民币变相升值了),其他新兴国家的产品也会涌入美国,美国老百姓已经清楚这其中的厉害,不会给他们带来更多的就业,反而因为其他新兴的国家的产品可能会给他们带来更多的压力,也会让他们已经习惯物美价廉的中国制造,突然涨价会让他们倍感焦虑。

  美国下层民众其实心里明白,是美国华尔街的肥猫们将他们的生活打乱,也给世界经济打垮了。虽然华尔街的文人们无论如何巧舌如簧,无论美国政客怎样推卸责任和转移话题,他们对欧洲和日本的焦虑更甚于对中国的焦虑。

  同行是冤家,欧美日制造的产品同质性很高,因此,这三国热脸上其实涂上的是冷霜;中美制造互补性很强,冷脸上涂抹的是玫瑰霜。因此,我们可以看出,最近美国对欧洲是痛下杀手,欧洲的主权债务危机就是美国人给欧洲的一个警告,而日本的制造危机,也是美国金融帝国主义和工业帝国主义敲打日本的超常规动作。

  中国上层不高兴,不高兴美国不给中国面子,中国人最讲面子,如果朝中国人脸上闪几个耳光,比重伤中国人还让人觉得羞耻。中国高层不断地警告美国不要见达赖,不要对台军售,但已经瞄准了中国面子开火的美国人岂肯善罢甘休。何况让中国还吃了几个暗亏,有苦说不出,这无疑会让中国的民族主义者义愤填膺。中国人民不高兴,但我们都明白,只要是经济纠纷不上升到主权与核心利益,坐下来谈谈纠纷是非常好的方式。如果超越了正常的纠纷,那毫不客气的给予还击,中国人是有尊严的,尊严是不能谈判的。克制与冲动往往就在一瞬间转化,因此,美国那些有帝国思想的人不要总是找茬挑衅。

  中国减持了美债,而美国华尔街日报却说中国没有减持美债,这里面很微妙,微妙之处在于,中国似乎该还手了,而美国则自我安慰地说,中国其实很想持有美国国债,以维持美国国债的稳定。美国人的意思明显,世界各国都要对美国国债有信心,不要慌。而后又会抛出强势美元是美国的战略利益的旧调子,如果在必要的时候,另一派则半揭露秘密说,美元是我们的,但问题是你们的。

  网络上到处泄愤的帖子和大有讨伐美帝国主义的文章随处可见,中国的民愤已经达到了爆发的临界点。华尔街控制下的美国政客,还在不停地制造摩擦,确实有些过了火,而开始公正的美国各路文人,也利用自身的权威优势不停地煽动美国民族主义的情绪,这是一个舆论的讨伐。

  中美关系该冷冷了,舆论讨伐也该冷冷了。冷下来处理问题似乎比热处理更为贴切,因为中美两国不能互相攻伐,两国应当合作对双方乃至世界都有利。中美关系蒙上一层薄霜,但下面却是热浪澎湃,民间经济活动并没有因为政治分野就偃旗息鼓了,反而是越来越紧。

  金融危机后,中国不情愿地推向历史的主角,这与中国韬光养晦的战略背道而驰,因此,中国不喜欢西方媒体发出什么中美共治的声音,也不喜欢西方国家利用中国这个全球焦点炒作自己,更不希望超出自己的能力来担负起责任,因为中国要发展,中国还有很多自己的问题需要解决。如果用简练的话来说,中国很不高兴,但美国人也未必高兴。在这句简练的话语背后,却还藏着更多微妙的内核。

  梁心
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