The Beginning of the End

Published in Ziua Veche
(Romania) on 18 October 2010
by Ion Petrescu (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Andreea Muntean. Edited by Celeste Hansen.
Recently, one of the opposition leaders in Romania said that, along with the allies, they should reevaluate the presence of the Romanian military contingent in Afghanistan. This is by no means a destructive idea, because the Americans seem to be making their own evaluations, such as the one performed for two weeks in the Afghan theater of operations by retired general, Jack Keane. He repeatedly visited Kandahar, the original fiefdom of the Taliban in the province of Helmand, as well as other territories south and east of Afghanistan.

Upon his return, Gen. Keane told The Washington Times "there are already some early signs of a beginning of a momentum shift in our favor." At the same time, he had previously given some information to Gen. David Petraeus, commander of U.S. and allied forces in Afghanistan, regarding the results of increasing the American contingent by 30,000 soldiers next summer.

Gen. Keane was Petraeus’ adviser when he commanded U.S. troops in Iraq, where the Bush administration conducted a similar operation in 2007. What Keane noticed was Taliban fighters negotiating their acceptance by the government of Kabul. They now protect several villages that were cleared of insurgents. Desperate calls made to radio stations by Taliban members were intercepted, indicating nervousness and a vulnerable state of mind.

"Overall, we can see now that the surge forces are starting to make a difference," said Gen. Keane. Many commanders on the field then reported having spoken to Taliban members who were eager to end the war and reintegrate into society.

The Taliban’s decreased morale seems to be caused by the success the American Marine infantry had in limiting their freedom of movement by banning access to southern areas used as refuges, as well as arms dumps.

What Gen. Keane did was apply the old Latin saying “Veni, vidi …” However, it is a long way to “vici,” since only last week, on the ninth anniversary of the war, the Taliban proudly announced control of over 75 percent of Afghan territory. In the end, it seems that Stanley McChrystal was right. If Obama’s war strategy remains the same and July 2011 marks the withdrawal of U.S. troops, it will be just one day until the Taliban comes from Pakistan and takes over Kabul.

Who cares about “vici”!


Recent, unul dintre liderii politici ai opoziţiei afirma că trebuie reevaluată, împreună cu aliaţii, oportunitatea continuării prezenţei contingentului militar român în Afganistan.
O idee deloc distructivă, din moment ce şi americanii fac propriile evaluări, una fiind aceea efectuată timp de două săptămâni, în teatrul de operaţii afgan, de către generalul, în rezervă, Jack Keane. Acesta a poposit succesiv la Kandahar, fieful iniţial al talibanilor, în provincia Helmand şi în alte teritorii din sudul şi estul statului afgan.
Revenit în patrie, generalul Keane a declarat cotidianului The Washington Times:”sunt deja câteva semne ale începutului unui moment favorabil trupelor noastre.”
Anterior, el l-a informat pe generalul David Petraeus, comandantul trupelor americane şi a celor aliate din Afganistan, cu privire la efectele constatate în teren, ale suplimentării contingentului american, cu 30.000 de militari, în această vară.
Generalul Keane a fost consilierul generalului Petraeus pe timpul când acesta comanda trupele americane în Irak, unde, în 2007, administraţia Bush a desfăşurat o operaţiune similară.
Ce a observat Keane? Luptători talibani care negociază trecerea de partea forţelor guvernului de la Kabul. Sate curăţate de insurgenţi, cărora li se asigură acum protecţia. Interceptări ale convorbirilor frenetice efectuate de talibani prin staţiile de radio, care indică o nervozitate mare şi un moral labil.
“Am putut constata acum, că forţele aduse suplimentar au început să facă diferenţa” a afirmat generalul Keane. Lui i-au raportat mulţi dintre comandanţii cu care a discutat în teren, că au avut dialoguri cu talibani care vor să înceteze lupta şi să se reintegreze în societate.
Scăderea moralului talibanilor pare a fi generată de reuşita infanteriştilor marini americani de a le limita libertatea de mişcare, prin interzicerea accesului lor în zonele sudice, unde se refugiau din faţa aliaţilor şi aveau depozite de muniţii.
Generalul Keane a aplicat dictonul latin „Veni, vidi...”, că până la „vici” mai e, doar săptămâna trecută talibanii anunţau, la a IX-a aniversare a războiului, că ei controlează 75% din teritoriul afgan.
Viaţa îi dă dreptate generalului Stanley McChrystal. Dacă strategia de război a preşedintelui Obama nu se schimbă şi iulie 2011 rămâne începutul retragerii trupelor americane, a doua zi vor reveni talibanii din Pakistan şi vor prelua puterea la Kabul.
Ei...”vici.”
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