Chinese Netizens: Do Not Treat the U.S. Dollar Like Treasure

Published in Zaobao
(Singapore) on 13 November 2010
by Pan Hongbin (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Stacy Wong. Edited by Jessica Boesl.
In 2007, Song Hongbin launched a book entitled “Currency Wars.” Even though it was well-received by the public, the authorities and experts thought otherwise. Eventually, even when Song appeared on screen, he was only present as a supporting character, and in particular, as an example of a bad educator.

In 2008, I looked down on the U.S. dollar and said that it will simply be deemed to be colorful slips of waste paper sooner or later. The gold that China ships to the United States has only been exchanged for a worthless piece of promissory note. The experts thought I was spouting nonsense, and have repeatedly claimed, in various sources of media, that the debt in U.S. dollars is the safest. In the end, China’s foreign currency reserves did not manage to be exchanged for gold and did not have enough time to purchase resources, and instead China had to export silver and rare earths in large quantities. It even had to continue sustaining the debt accumulated from the U.S. property market, when in fact that market was already in the red.

The best analysts declared in a paper in 2008 that the U.S. dollar would be devalued by 50 percent in 10 years, based on a thorough analysis. Then, the price of each gold bar was US$800, while the price of gold rose to close to US$1,400 by Nov. 11, 2010. As such, it seems like the predictions made by these analysts have come true prematurely.

Currently, the Federal Reserve has decided to print more U.S. dollars. I forewarned that the public should never underestimate the power of printing money in the United States, and I was unfortunately right. According to officials, after China heard of this news, its various government departments held an all-night meeting to discuss strategies to manage this inflation. However, once these strategies were executed, this led to the strongest appreciation of the Renminbi in a day, which is hardly believable!

This G20 meeting was particularly lively as most countries commented on the U.S. dollar, while some even disregarded their manners when making their comments. As the United States has historically adopted an independent working style, along with the fact that this issue concerns its national interests, it did not make any related comments. A consensus was also reached that countries at the G20 meeting would not be involved in currency warfare. In any case, the United States would be the one initiating such warfare if necessary.

In order to deal with the U.S. dollar, other countries have adopted protectionist measures to stabilize their exchange rates, causing distress in the global financial order. Countries from Europe to Asia all face the threat of hyperinflation. Countries in the American continent will also suffer the same wrath — in the past 12 months, Argentina circulated 155 million 100-peso notes, but found it insufficient. Some experts even suggested making an exception to circulate 200-peso notes, 500-peso notes or notes of bigger values.

The quantitative easing policy adopted by Wall Street has caused great confusion in the world, let alone among American citizens. It came as a shock when the American media screened an elderly looking person shocked at the increased prices labeled on items!

The situation in China is not optimistic, either. As the United States has been continually releasing gold, global "hot" money has been flowing to China, causing inflation in product prices and a fall in property prices. From wet market food items like garlic and ginger, to speculation on the Japanese Yen, gold, silver, coffee, cotton and even the Shandong Chinese cabbage, all items have experienced price inflation. Now, some mainland Chinese are even resorting to buying products pegged to the U.S. dollar (like Hong Kong products) in order to get goods cheaply.

Other experts have provided another reason: The loose currency flow that China allowed in the past has resulted in the current circulation of US$10 trillion worth of money, which surpasses the United States. The amount of money in circulation is more than double the GDP. The main reason behind inflation is the excess circulation of money. Theoretically, if it is double the GDP, then prices should be doubled. Moreover, the central bank is unable to absorb so much currency within a short period of time, causing the inflation to continue.

No wonder netizens are saying: The most worthless thing we have now is money, so do not treat the U.S. dollar as treasure!


中国网民:千万别把美元当个宝贝
2007年宋鸿兵正式出版《货币战争》,虽在民间受到追捧,但却遭受“权威”、和“精英”们的打压。就是后来能出现在电视台上也只是给人家“大人物”当陪衬,是作为“反面”教员。
  2008 年笔者奚落了一顿美元,说它早晚都会成绿花花的废纸,而中国往美国运去的是黄金,换回来的是一张没用的欠条。“精英”们对此观点可能更是嗤之以鼻,他们在主流媒体上接二连三地发表自己的高见:美元国债最为安全。结果,中国的外汇储蓄没有换来黄金,也没有及时购买资源,反而大量出口白银和稀土。甚至继续增持美国房地产类的债券,尽管当时“两房”实际上已经破产...
最神的一哥们在零八年发表文章,信誓旦旦地说美元要在十年内贬一倍,而且分析的头头是道。当时的黄金价格是每盎司八百美元,截至到11月10日黄金价格已经接近一千四百美元!阿弥陀佛,看来这哥们的外星人式的预言竟然提前实现了。
现在美联储终于拉下了长脸,加大马力印制美元,一时间美元如同洪水猛兽,想拦都拦不住。笔者曾经告诫说:“不要低估了美国的印钞能力”,不幸被言中。据权威人士透露:得到这个消息后,中国“央行、银监、外汇局等多个部门连夜开会商讨应对热钱及通货膨胀的对策”,不过这些防范措施出台后人民币不跌反升,反而创出单日最大升幅,真是让人开了眼界!
这次G20会议格外热闹,大多数国家对美元“洪水”颇有微词,甚至都忘了使用礼貌用语,但那不过是挨上一巴掌后的自然反应。美国历来就有我行我素的做事风格,更何况这事涉及自己的根本利益,自然不会为这些“微词”所动。至于G20会议上大家一致声称不会进行货币战争,那其实也是人们的一厢情愿。资本帝国的本质就是对外转嫁危机,发不发动货币战争自然是美国说了才算,你算老几?
  面对美国有意对美元的放水,各国为了稳定汇率也采取了“自卫”的措施,国际金融秩序遭受强大的冲击。从欧元区到亚洲国家,都存在着不同程度的恶性通货膨胀的隐患。美洲国家也难幸免,近12个月里阿根廷新增面额100比索(最大的票面)的纸币高达1.55亿张,但还嫌不够。部分专家干脆建议破例发行200比索或500比索等面额更大的纸币。
  美国华尔街的“量化宽松措施”将世界搞得大乱,令美国人民也跟着遭殃。美国媒体出现上一位老人对着新标出的物价张着大口的照片,让人感到十分地震撼!
  中国的形势也不容乐观。由于美国不断释金,引发国际热钱流窜到中国,造成物价大涨、房价不跌。从“蒜你狠”、“豆你玩”、“油不得你”、“姜你军”这类的菜蓝子食品,到炒作日圆、黄金、白银、咖啡、棉花,甚至山东大白菜,谁要是落在后面都感到不好意思。现在内地居民为了买到便宜货,有的人都到和美元直接挂钩的香港去购物,真是:三十年河东,三十年河西。
也有专家解释说这另有原因:中国前段时间的货币“宽松”导致现在的货币流通量是 10万亿美元,超过美国成为世界第一。货币流通量超过GDP的两倍。通货膨胀的根本原因是货币量发行太多,理论上超过GDP两倍,价格也得翻一番才能平衡。而且中央银行很难短时期吸收那么多货币,这就使得通胀还要继续...
  难怪网民们议论纷纷:现在最不值钱的就是钱,千万别把美元当个宝贝!
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