Accurately Mold the Triangular Relationship between America, China and Taiwan

Published in Minsheng Newspaper
(Taiwan) on 26 January 2011
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jason Nordmark. Edited by Gheanna Emelia.
The Obama-Hu meeting attracted the attention of the world and because America reaffirmed the Taiwan Relations Act and promoted the ECFA agreement, our government let out a sigh of relief. After the Obama-Hu summit, the development of triangular relations between America, Taiwan and China is now a question that must be seriously approached.

The Taiwan Relations Act is a domestic American law and America is nation governed by laws. Therefore, America must act in accordance with its law in regard to Cross-Strait relations. Even when the Democratic Progressive Party held power, the United States government responded to some of the DPP's unexpected acts by stressing the importance of the Taiwan Relations Act to handle the Cross-Strait problem. However, the Taiwan Relations Act and Three Communiqués between China and the U.S. basically represent a dual relationship — perhaps one that can be called a relationship between twin brothers. At the same time, America reiterated that the Taiwan Relations Act certainly is able to reaffirm the Communiqués. The Taiwan Relations Act and the Three Communiqués mutually form America's framework for handling the Cross-Strait problem. In regards to America and this framework, it conforms best to America's national interest.

Because the Taiwan Relations Act is America's domestic law, to some extent the Taiwan problem certainly has been internalized as a part of American domestic affairs. Consequently, it does not matter which party controls the position of president because they will both handle the Taiwan issue under the framework of the Taiwan Relations Act. However, the Three Communiqués magnify the American Congress' so-called "One China" framework to handle the Taiwan issue. With regard to American core national interests — besides protecting their territory — it is precisely to avoid a regional conflict from breaking out. They are interested in preserving American hegemony, stability and peace. America very clearly realizes that the Taiwan issue is able to completely make or break Sino-U.S. relations. Furthermore, America pledges that the Taiwan issue cannot spark a conflict. America must preserve the "One China" framework. From this perspective, we are able to comprehend why America, on the one hand, continues to reiterate the Taiwan Relations Act while selling military equipment to Taiwan. On the other hand, every time we attempt to demand a breakthrough on the "One China" framework, America impolitely responds and admonishes us. Overall, America, by means of the "One China" framework, is trying to preserve the Taiwan Strait status quo. This status quo binds together peace in Northeast Asia.

In regards to Sino-U.S. relations, carrying out peace in the Taiwan Strait is in accordance with China's and America’s national interests. China, for the sake of continuing to seek economic development, has an urgent need for a peaceful periphery. The key is peace in the Taiwan Strait. Furthermore, America, in order to safeguard many interests in Northeast Asia, also must try hard to preserve peace in the Taiwan Strait. It also must prevent an armed clash from breaking out there. So, trying hard to preserve the stable situation in the Taiwan Strait is the core of America and China's policy. Furthermore, President Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton commended the ECFA agreement, having the perspective that ECFA helps to safeguard the stability in the Taiwan situation.

ECFA's initial document represented that a Cross-Strait trade and economic partnership had been established. In regards to the development of stability in the Taiwan Strait, to some extent it certainly was beneficial. However, signing ECFA can also possibly trigger America’s and other countries’ misgivings. They may be scared that China can have a greater effect on our economy, thereby making it seem like we have a tendency to lean towards China — thus allowing China's political and economic power to spread and influence other countries in Asia. From ECFA's signing, Taiwan-American relations, instead of improving, are susceptible of entering a delicate phase. We already want to firmly grasp ECFA and give free reign to its benefits, but we must not allow America to have any misgivings. Therefore, we were happy when the American government commended ECFA. We must go a step further and reflect on how to reconcile America's outward appearance of commending ECFA while they still have internal misgivings.

Safeguarding stability in the Taiwan Strait, preserving the status quo and preventing a clash between China and Taiwan is America's wish. But they do not wish that the two sides of the Strait become too close. After ECFA was signed, we thought this would be a great test for America's moderation. However, perhaps we can utilize America's psychological change to move in the opposite direction and manipulate them to speed up their resumption of the TIFA talks — so much that we sign an FTA as well as balance the triangular relations between America, Taiwan and China.


新生報26日社論:準確拿捏美中台三角關係

 吸引世界注目焦點的歐胡會,終因美國重申「台灣關係法」並且讚揚ECFA,讓我們政府鬆了一口氣;不過,在歐胡會之後,美中台的三角關係的發展,是必須嚴肅對待的課題。

「台灣關係法」是美國的國內法,而美國是依法行政的國家;美國在處理兩岸問題上,必須依據此法,就連民進黨執政時期,常有讓美國政府意想不到的舉措,美國政府基於依法行政的原則,還是強調會依「台灣關係法」處理兩岸問題。不過,「台灣關係法」和美中之間「三個公報」基本上是一種對偶性的關係,或者可以說是孿生兄弟的關係,美國在重申「台灣關係法」的同時,一定也會重申「三個公報」。「台灣關係法」和「三個公報」共同構成了美國處理兩岸問題的框架;對美國而言,這個框架最符合美國的國家利益。

由於「台灣關係法」是美國國內法;因此,台灣問題在一定程度上,已經內化為美國內政的一部份;因此,儘管美國總統選舉出現政黨輪替,但不論是共和黨或是民主黨總統,都會強調依據「台灣關係法」來處理台灣問題。不過,中美之間的「三個公報」則凸顯美國國會依據所謂「一中」的框架來處理兩岸問題。對美國而言,國家利益的核心,除了保護本土安全之外,就是防止爆發地區衝突,以維持美國霸權下的和平穩定。美國很清楚的意識到,會導致中美關係完全決裂的關鍵就是台灣問題,而為了保證台灣問題不會擦槍走火,美國就必須維持「一中」框架。從這種角度,我們也才能理解,為什麼美國一方面繼續重申「台灣關係法」以及軍售台灣;在另一方面,每當我們企圖要突破「一中」框架時,美國就會毫不客氣對我們做出反應和警告。總體來說,美國是企圖通過維持「一中」的框架,來維持台海現狀,維繫東亞及亞太地區的和平。

對於美中而言,台海能維持和平態勢,符合他們共同的國家利益。中國為了繼續追求經濟發展,迫切需要一個和平的外部環境,關鍵就是台海和平;而美國為了維護在東亞的諸多利益,也必須努力維持台海和平現狀,防止兩岸爆發武裝衝突。所以,努力維護台海局勢的穩定,是美國中國政策的核心要義,而美國總統歐巴馬和國務卿希拉蕊稱讚ECFA,基本上也是從ECFA有助於維護台海局勢的穩定這種角度著眼的。

ECFA的簽署,代表著兩岸建立了經貿伙伴關係,對於台海局勢的穩定發展,當然會有所助益;不過,ECFA的簽署也有可能引發包括美國在內相關國家的疑慮,害怕中國大陸對我們在經貿上有更大的磁吸效應,從而讓我們在政治經濟上出現「傾中」的現象,讓中國大陸的政經力量得以擴散,增強其在亞太地區的影響力;所以,ECFA簽署後的台美關係反而進入敏感微妙階段,我們既要把握ECFA,發揮其效益;但又必須要做到讓美國沒有疑慮;因此,我們在高興美國政府稱讚ECFA時,必須更進一步思考如何化解美國表面讚揚,但實質上疑慮的態勢。

維護台海局勢的穩定、維持台海現狀,對美國而言,就是既不希望兩岸衝突,但也不希望兩岸走得太近太親;ECFA簽署後,我們對美政策的拿捏,是政府領導階層的重大考驗;不過,或許我們可以運用美國的心理變化,逆勢操作,呼籲美國加快恢復和我們的TIFA的協商,甚至和我們簽署FTA,以平衡美中台三角之間的政經關係。
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