When America Can No Longer Be Divided By Just Black and White

Published in sohu.com
(China) on 14 April 2011
by sohu.com (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Qu Xiao. Edited by Mark DeLucas.
In Falls Church, west of Washington D.C., where I have been living, the only black family in the neighborhood recently hung up a “for sale” sign in front of their house. Their moving out seems to coincide with the current migration trend of black Americans as a whole.

In the past 20 years, black Americans have been moving around the country in two main directions. One is from the north down to the south. Since the 1990s, the population of black America has been dropping dramatically in northern states, such as Illinois and Michigan, while cities in the south, such as Atlanta, Dallas and Houston, have become popular among the emerging black middle class. The other direction is from big cities to suburban areas. In the past decade, 92 out of 100 cities in America saw a decrease in the population of black Americans.

In the near future, blacks in Washington D.C. will no longer make up the majority of the population. The 2010 census in America showed that compared with 10 years ago, the number of white Americans in Washington D.C. increased by 31 percent, making up 39 percent of the total population of the city, whereas the number of black Americans dropped by 12 percent, making up 51 percent of the total city population. Since World War II, the people in Washington D.C. have been mostly black, and in 1970 their population percentage in the city even reached 70 percent. The mayors of Washington D.C. have been black ever since 1975, but there might be white mayors in the future.

From a wider perspective, we can see that the long-lasting distinctive division between blacks and whites in the population structure in America no longer exists. According to the latest statistics, the number of white Americans has increased in the past decade from 194.6 million to 196.8 million, an increase of only one percent, while its percentage of the total American population dropped from 69 percent to 64 percent. The number of Hispanic Americans rose from 35.3 million in 2000 to 50.5 million in 2010, an increase of 43 percent, taking up 16 percent of the total American population. Black Americans numbered 38.9 million, only 13 percent of the total American population, which means they have lost their place as the second largest ethnic group in the United States.

Ruble, director of the Comparative Urban Studies program at the Woodrow Wilson Center, suggests that these statistics mean that America will have a future where everyone is of a minority ethnic group; being the capital, Washington D.C. has already taken the lead and demonstrated what it will be like.

Some people worry that the drop in the black population in Washington D.C. may add to the tension of the local politics because of the polar distinction between blacks and whites. Black Americans in the city have their own social networks, and if the white people take power, they would only care about building dog parks or bicycle lanes for whites and going to the cafeteria where whites would like to go, and they wouldn’t go to black churches or do volunteering work for schools for black kids. Consequently, many black Americans may feel that their relationship with whites will become tense.

Others think that the key point of the problem is not the drop in the population of a certain ethnic group but rather whether the person in power would insist on the policy of ethnic harmony. Former mayor of Washington D.C. Anthony Williams thinks that it’s unnecessary to worry about the change in Washington D.C.’s future. It’s like that in Boston: There aren’t many Irish people, yet the Irish culture still has a big influence on Boston even today. And when the governor of Massachusetts wanted to renew his term, he had to cotton up to the Irish in order to achieve his goal. By the same token, even if the future mayor of Washington D.C. is white, he has still to take into consideration the interests of the black community.

Now that the population structure in America is no longer distinctively divided by white and black, America is bound to face all sorts of conflicts between ethnic groups regarding economics, political interests and the cultural gap. Therefore, “the ethnic melting pot” in America may have a whole new interpretation under the new circumstance.


在笔者所寄居的美国首都华盛顿西郊福尔斯彻奇社区中,唯一的黑人邻居家门口近日挂出了“房屋出售”的告示牌,这仿佛暗合了美国黑人正在经历的一场迁徙运动。

  在过去20年间,美国黑人一直经历着两种趋势性迁徙。一种趋势是从北向南。自上世纪90年代开始,北部的伊利诺伊、密歇根等州显示出黑人人口的绝对流失,而亚特兰大、达拉斯、休斯敦等南部城市成为黑人新兴中产阶级聚居地。另一趋势是从大城市到郊区。过去10年中,在全美100个城市中有92个城市的黑人人口出现下降。

  在不远的将来,黑人在华盛顿将不再占有人口多数地位。刚刚出炉的美国2010年人口普查结果表明,10年来,在华盛顿的白人人口增长31.4%,占总人口38.5%,黑人在华盛顿占总人口50.7%,较10年前下降11.5%。自二战结束以来,华盛顿一直是黑人人口占绝大多数。1970年,黑人在华盛顿的人口总数比例中曾高达70%。从1975年起,华盛顿市长均由黑人担任,今后很有可能出现白人市长。

  用更广的视角观察可以发现,美国人口结构中曾长期具有的“黑白分明”特色已经成为历史。最新数据表明,美国白人人口在过去10年间从1.946亿增加到1.968亿,增长率仅为1%,在美国人口总数中所占比例从69%下降至64%。美国拉美裔人口从2000年的3530万增加到2010年的5050万,增长率达43%,拉美裔人在美国总人口中比例已占16%。而美国黑人人口为3890万,仅占美国总人口比例的13%,已经失去美国第二大族群的地位。

  美国伍德罗·威尔逊中心城市比较研究项目主任鲁布尔认为,这些最新数字意味着美国即将迎来一个“均为少数民族”的未来,首都华盛顿则从一个侧面率先展示了那将会是怎样一幅场景。

  对华盛顿黑人人口下降一事,有人担忧华盛顿的地方政治将出现黑白两极化的紧张局面。华盛顿的黑人自有其社会关系网络,而一旦白人主政,“他们将更关心为白人建立狗公园或自行车专用道,更想到白人愿去的小咖啡馆,而不会去黑人教堂,不会为黑人学校做义工,许多黑人会因此感到与白人关系紧张”。

  另有人认为,特定族群人口下降不是问题的关键,问题在于未来的主政者是否能够坚持种族和谐。华盛顿前市长威廉姆斯认为,不必为华盛顿未来的特征会改变而忧虑。就好像爱尔兰人虽然在波士顿不是多数,但爱尔兰文化的影响至今在波士顿仍很强大。波士顿所在的马萨诸塞州州长如想连任,仍不得不与爱尔兰人“套近乎”。同理,即使未来的华盛顿市长是一位白人,也必须与黑人教会、社会团体等打交道。

  在美国人口结构不再黑白分明的变化进程中,美国势必面临着多种族间经济、政治利益关系的磨合和“文化鸿沟”的跨越与调适,美国“种族熔炉”的特性也将因此有着新的解读。
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