There is consensus among all United States analysts that the death of Osama bin Laden leaves Barack Obama politically more alive — and already with one foot toward reelection.
The economic crisis, the effects of which appear every day in unemployment figures; the increase in the price of gasoline; the explosive increase in the national debt; the increase of the Islamic threat in revolts in the Middle East; a sense of loss of competitiveness to nations such as China — all of these convey a sense of fragility. One sign of such fragility is a goofy media figure such as Donald Trump launching his presidential plans only to screw up Obama.
Finally, the end of bin Laden was a campaign promise by Obama which, in recent times, was just about forgotten in his speeches.
The question to ask is if the death of bin Laden represents a blow to terrorism, or if it will serve to create a martyr catalyst for new leadership. What we know is that, in this episode, Obama turned the game totally in his favor.
Trump ... is certainly finding out in this region that a 'special operation' can quickly turn into a quagmire, and that the Middle East is not Venezuela.
If Russia and China were to provide Iran with military, intelligence and technological support, along with the necessary military equipment, particularly in the fields of air defense, aviation, electronics and drones ... then Iran would undoubtedly turn into a dangerous trap for the U.S.
Beijing wants to avoid being drawn into a confrontation with Washington while still demonstrating that it has an independent voice on major international crises.
If this electoral gridlock [in domestic policy] does occur, it may well result in Trump — like several other reelected presidents of recent decades — increasingly turning to foreign policy.