Irene: A Very Political Hurricane?

Published in Le Figaro
(France) on 27 August 2011
by Véronique Saint-Geours (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Tabitha Middleton . Edited by Louis Standish.
Hurricane Irene has already claimed a victim: President Obama's short week-long vacation at Martha's Vineyard. The violence of the predicted weather phenomenon, and the place that climactic and ecological disasters have taken in American political life since George W. Bush's disastrous management of Katrina, have mobilized politics and turned Irene into an early comeback.

Among the events cancelled and postponed sine die, the tribute to Martin Luther King set to take place on the National Mall in Washington was meant to celebrate the 48th anniversary of his “I Have A Dream” address on the steps of the Lincoln Memorial with the unveiling of a statue in his likeness. It will be rescheduled.

New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, North Carolina Governor Bev Perdue, and the 44th President are on deck and definitely counting on using their management of Irene to seduce the electorate. With 2012 in mind?

For North Carolina Governor Bev Perdue, this is a chance to defend her very fragile post in 2012. She is in her first term, she's a Democrat, and her approval rating is at 30%; in other words, very low. Her countrymen accuse her of having been “absent” during the disaster caused by the tornado in April, which was poorly handled by her press anyway. She is playing it tight and her state is the first to “greet” Irene.

Michael Bloomberg, mayor since 2002, is an old fox, but he knows that his 45% approval rating is the lowest it has been in six years. At the end of 2010 he was severely criticized for his management of a blizzard that severely disrupted New York. He is going berserk over Irene and is everywhere. He just launched the evacuation of the low-lying areas of New York.

For the 44th President, this is the first hurricane of this magnitude, and he hadn't been born when the last one of this force ravaged the region; that was in 1938. With the experience he acquired during the Gulf of Mexico disaster in 2010, he can launch federal resources with the head start that the weather forecasts have given him. This is an opportunity for him to consolidate and improve the rather good opinion – 44% – that Americans had of him for his presence and his “management” of the BP disaster during several months after the explosion in April of 2010. Will the Democrats win the battle against Irene?


Irène : Ouragan très politique ?

L'ouragan Irene a déjà fait une victime: la courte semaine de vacances du président Obama à Martha's Vineyard. La violence du phénomène météo prévu et la place que les catastrophes climatiques et écologiques ont pris dans la vie politique américaine depuis la calamiteuse gestion de Katrina par George W. Bush, ont mobilisé les politiques et fait d'Irene, une rentrée avant l'heure.

Parmi les quantités d'évènements annulés et reportés sine die, l'hommage à Martin Luther King organisé sur National Mall à Washington devait célébrer le 48 ème anniversaire de son allocution "I have a dream" sur les marches du Lincoln Memorial. Avec inauguration d'une statue à son effigie. On le refera.

Le maire de New York, Michael Bloomberg, la gouverneure de Caroline du nord: Bev Perdue et 44th sont sur le pont et comptent bien s'appuyer sur la gestion d'Irene pour séduire les électeurs. En vue 2012?
Pour la gouverneur de Caroline du Nord, Bev Perdue, il s'agit d'une occasion de défendre son poste en 2012 très fragilisé. Elle en est à son premier mandat, elle est démocrate et le taux d'acceptation de son action par la population est de 30%. Autrement dit très bas. Ses concitoyens lui reprochent d'avoir été "absente" de la catastrophe provoquée par la tornade d'avril. De toutes façons mal gérée par sa presse. Elle joue serré et son Etat est le premier à "accueillir" Irene.

Michael Bloomberg, maire depuis 2002, est un vieux renard mais il sait que le 45% d'opinions favorables à son action est son taux le plus bas depuis six ans. Il a cette année, fin 2010, été très sévèrement critiqué pour sa gestion d'un blizzard qui a sévèrement gêné New York. Il se défonce pour Irene et il est partout. Il vient de lancer l'évacuation des quartiers bas de N.C.

Pour 44th c'est le premier ouragan de cette dimension et il n'était pas né quand le dernier de cette violence a ravagé la région. C'était en 1938. Avec l'expérience acquise lors de la catastrophe du Golfe du Mexique, en 2010, il peut déclencher les moyens fédéraux avec la longueur d'avance que les prévisions météo lui ont offertes. C'est une opportunité pour lui de consolider et améliorer la plutôt bonne opinion - 44%- que les Américains lui avaient accordée pour sa présence et sa "gestion" du sinistre BP pendant plusieurs mois après l'explosion d'avril 2010.
Les démocrates vont-ils gagner la bataille contre Irene?

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