Perry Leading Obama; U.S. Presidential Campaign to Be Fierce

Published in Creaders
(China) on 1 September 2011
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Liangzi He. Edited by Alyssa Goulding.
The results of a U.S. national poll released on Sept. 1 show that Republican presidential candidate and Texas governor Rick Perry is ahead of President Obama. It is now more than a year away from the election, and the polls are in favor of Perry. Such a situation makes Obama’s re-election not optimistic.

According to the poll published by Rasmussen, Perry’s support rate is 44 percent, and Obama’s is 41 percent. Just a week before, the same poll showed that Perry’s support rate was 3 percentage points less than Obama’s. This indicates that Obama’s support from citizens recently is decreasing rapidly.

This poll, conducted in late August, shows that Obama still has an advantage in support among young voters under 30, while Perry wins more support from middle-aged voters and from male voters.

In a poll of other Republican candidates versus Obama held by the same organization, Obama still has the advantage. Mitt Romney is 3 percentage points behind Obama; Michele Bachmann is 11 percentage points behind Obama. It seems that Perry has become the major competitor against Obama in the Republican Party.

The research points out that in consideration of the poll’s standard deviation factors, Perry and Obama are essentially evenly matched so far. However, this has already indicated that Perry is one of Obama’s strongest competitors. A poll website even posted a banner that reads “President Perry?”

In many polls held before, Perry’s support rate among Republicans was far ahead of others. In the poll result released by Quinnipiac University on Aug. 31, Perry was 6 percentage points ahead of Romney.

The mountain fire in Texas was still raging on Sept. 1; about 10 houses were burned and firefighters were trying hard to put out the fire. However, this disaster doesn’t seem to be affecting Perry’s campaign.

The Republicans’ nominee seems to be clear now, but related election procedures and activities are still ongoing. In accordance with the arrangements, the Republican Party is holding a new round of candidate debates on Sept. 7, in which Perry will appear for the first time; Romney, Bachmann and Jon Huntsman will also attend.

What is dramatic is that Obama was going to make a speech to both the House and Senate on the evening of Sept. 7, discussing the issue of expanding employment. However, House Speaker John Boehner expressed objection that the time was inappropriate. Obama then decided that he would make the speech the following day, the evening of Sept. 8.

This game played by the two parties regarding the time of Obama’s speech drew enormous attention from the U.S. media. Almost every major newspaper published the news on the front page. This reveals that facing the approach of 2012 Election Day, the bipartisan political struggle is becoming ever more subtle.

Two of the presidential candidates, Bachmann and Ron Paul, attacked Obama, accusing him of arranging the speech time on purpose. Bachmann and Paul are both members of the House; according to Obama’s original plan, they would have to make a choice between listening to the speech and attending the debate.


佩里领先奥巴马 美国总统大选热闹了

新华网 2011-09-01 16:40:32


1日公布的一项美国全国民调结果,首次显示美国共和党总统参选人、得克萨斯州州长佩里领先总统奥巴马。距离总统大选尚有一年多,而此时的民调就已偏向佩里,这令奥巴马的连任形势吃紧。

根据拉斯姆森研究所1日公布的这项全国性民调,佩里的支持率达44%,而奥巴马的支持率为41%。就在一周前,同一家机构的民调结果还显示佩里的支持率落后奥巴马3个百分点。这显示奥巴马近期在民众中的支持度加速下滑。

这项民调是在8月底进行的,其结果还显示,奥巴马在30岁以下年轻选民中仍具有优势,而佩里则获得多数中老年选民支持。佩里还获得多数男性选民的支持。

而在同一机构所做的共和党其他候选人与奥巴马的民调较量时,奥巴马仍具有优势。罗姆尼落后奥巴马3个百分点,巴克曼更落后奥巴马11个百分点。这似乎显示佩里在共和党内已成为挑战奥巴马的首要人选。

研究所的报告指出,考虑到民调误差因素,目前来看佩里和奥巴马势均力敌。但这已显示,佩里是奥巴马的最强劲竞争对手之一。有民调网站已打出“总统佩里?”的横幅。

在此前所做的多项民调中,佩里在共和党群雄内的支持率都遥遥领先。美国昆尼皮亚克大学8月31日的民意调查结果显示,佩里领先罗姆尼6个百分点。

得克萨斯州的山火1日还在肆虐,已有数十栋房屋被烧毁,消防人员正在全力扑救。但此事似乎并未影响到佩里的选情。

共和党内的选情看上去可能已经有些明朗,但有关的竞选程序和活动还在继续进行。按照安排,共和党将在本月7日晚举行新一轮总统参选人的辩论,佩里将首次亮相辩论会,罗姆尼、巴克曼、洪博培 (微博)等人应会悉数出席。

颇具戏剧性的是,奥巴马也想在7日晚对美国参众两院议员发表讲话,探讨扩大就业问题。共和党人、众议长博纳提出反对意见,认为时间是不适当的。奥巴马随后决定,将讲话推迟一天,在8日晚进行。

美国两党围绕着奥巴马讲话时间引发的博弈令全美媒体高度关注。美国各大报纸1日的头版几乎全都登载了这一消息。这昭示着,美国2012年总统大选的脚步已经越来越近,两党的政治斗争也愈加微妙。

共和党两位总统参选人巴克曼和保罗都猛烈攻击奥巴马,称他如此安排时间是“出于故意”。巴克曼和保罗都是众议员,如果按照奥巴马之前的安排,他们则必须在听奥巴马演讲还是参加辩论这两个活动上做出选择。
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