What Have the 10 Years after 9/11 Taught Us?

Published in Sina
(China) on 9 September 2011
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Liangzi He. Edited by Hoishan Chan.
The 10th anniversary of 9/11 is approaching, and it provides an opportunity for people to review how the world has changed in 10 years. Was our goal 10 years ago clear enough? What have we achieved?

Without a doubt, the U.S. has led the political winds around the world in this last decade and has even imposed thoughts and behaviors on a majority of people all over the world, even though many think that this has been America’s 10 years of depression. America is not a country that supports the idea that “the world is for all,” but it’s not fair to say that the U.S. is selfish in every aspect. The U.S. established the goal of counterterrorism in the past decade and many countries had no say in the matter. Every country has been touched by terrorism in some shape or form, but have been unable to ask the U.S. to pay for what they have lost.

However, is today’s world safer than it was 10 years ago? This question is tricky. If the answer is no, then do we need to fight against terrorism in the upcoming 10 years? The second question seems to be more difficult to answer. Ten years in the last century was long enough for two world wars, but to get rid of al-Qaida, 10 years seemed to have been too short.

Perhaps this is because al-Qaida is not just an organization, it is also a concept and induces emotion, so it’s easy for us to break but difficult to “clean up” its waste and debris.

This decade has taught us a few things. Firstly, armed forces are not omnipotent. Before the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq were launched, many people thought that America’s victory was absolutely guaranteed. However, when the wars began, the targets became unclear and the nature of the wars became vague. For the first time since World War II, it seemed that America’s modernized equipment was incompetent; its victory was stolen every time immediately after it won a fight.

Secondly, as the political leader of the world, America cannot pull itself out of other countries’ fates. The U.S. is so powerful that it enjoys resources around the world via different means; but it also cannot be detached from chaos in other places. In the Iraq war, more than 4,000 people from the U.S. Army died, the greatest military loss among big countries in recent years. U.S. embassies are heavily guarded in many countries. The risk of U.S. citizens coming under a terrorist attack was the highest in this past decade. A country can seek to be powerful, but the pursuit of absolute security is difficult.

Today, Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden are dead, but none of the major Western countries can declare that they are now safe. Every country needs to spare energy from the national machine to prevent a new terrorist attack and they will engage in endless rounds of preparation.

Perhaps terrorism cannot be eliminated; we may need to neutralize it. We have to co-exist with it, be annoyed by it and fight it, but not be misled by it. There are terrorists in the world, but huge terrorist groups may not exist and the world does not have to be divided into two factions that either support terrorism or fight against terrorism. The world is much more complicated than that, all kinds of political conflicts and ideological elements are intertwined together; a simple dichotomy is not a reflection of facts.

The world has invested heavily in counterterrorism measures, such a large scale of personnel and resources can achieve anything, but the cost-benefit measure of this looks to be the worst in human history. This tells us that there’s something wrong, or perhaps the goal we are after needs to be revised, or that the target we are combating is not the same as the original target we had in mind.

Of course, the world’s fate is not predestined; if this decade has highlighted one thing, it is that our ability to alter it is limited. This decade has counted the lowest number of conflicts among big countries, and every country has shared similar joys and sorrows in this decade. If this can introduce a new way of thinking to the world, who can say that the 10 years of suffering has not been worthwhile?


环球时报社评:后9-11十年告诉我们什么

2011年09月09日08:27 环球时报

“9•11事件”十周年即将到来,它给人们提供了从容回顾这十年世界变化的机会。十年前我们把目标定得准确吗?我们都做到了什么?

  毫无疑问,美国主导了这十年世界的政治风向,甚至强行规定了世界大多数人的思想和行为,尽管很多人认为,这是美国“衰落的十年”。美国不是个“天下为公”的国家,但要说美国处处自私自利也不够公允。美国确立了这十年“反恐”的主题,大多数国家没有别的选择,大家从中各得其所,失去的也不能找美国埋单。

  但现在的世界比十年前更安全了吗?这个问题会把很多人难倒。如果说不是,未来十年还要围着“反恐”转吗?回答第二个问题似乎更难。十年在上个世纪够打两场世界大战的,但今天清除“基地”这群乌合之众,它居然还太短。

  也许“基地”不仅是一个组织,它还是一种思想,一种情绪,所以我们很容易把它打碎,却很难收拾干净它的渣滓和碎片。

  这十年大概告诉了我们几件事。第一,武力真的不是万能的。阿富汗战争和伊拉克战争之前,很多人认为美国的胜利是有绝对保障的。但战争打起来后,它们真正要对付的目标失去了清晰,战争的性质变得模糊不清。好像是第一次,美国的现代装备不再使得上劲,它每一天都在赢得胜利,但胜利又总是被偷走。

  第二,美国作为世界政治的“领导者”,它不可能把自己从其他国家的命运中择得干干净净。美国太强大,它通过各种手段享受全世界的资源,同时也不可能跟其他地方的混乱完全不沾边。伊拉克战争中美军死了4000多人,是近年大国军队损失最惨重的。美国在世界很多国家的使馆都戒备森严,就像碉堡一样。美国公民遭遇恐怖袭击的风险,这十年是最高的。国家可以追求强大,但追求绝对安全难。

  直到今天,萨达姆、拉登都已被毙,但西方主要国家都不敢宣布自己“是安全的”,各国都要分出相当一部分精力,让国家机器处于防止新恐怖袭击永无休止的准备中。

  恐怖主义或许是“反”不掉的,我们大概需要化解它。我们得和它“共存”,被它骚扰,与它斗争,但不被它牵着鼻子走。这个世界上有“恐怖分子”,但特别庞大的恐怖主义集团或许并不存在,世界尤其不会分成“支持恐怖主义”和“反对恐怖主义”的两派。世界要复杂得多,各种冲突的政治和意识形态元素错综交织,简单的两分法往往是对事实的打折扣。

  世界向反恐领域的投入是空前的,这样的人力物力规模可以办成任何事,但反恐的收效与投入比,或许是人类历史上最拿不出手的。它在提示我们,这中间有些差错,或者是我们追求的目标不准,或者是我们打击的目标和我们原来想的不一样。

  当然,世界历史不是设计出来的,如果这十年是它的一个脚印,我们今天评述它的力量是非常有限的。这十年大国的分歧相对来说是最小的,无论对错,各国大体做到了“同甘苦”。如果这能为大国相处提供新的构思,这十年的风雨,谁又敢说历史不会认为它是“值得”的呢?
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