Mei Xinyu: US Sanctions Only to “Hoist Itself by Its Own Petard”

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 21 January 2012
by Mei Xinyu (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Xiaofeng Zhu. Edited by Tom Proctor.
The U.S., the only superpower in the world, has taken for granted that it is eligible enough to impose its will upon other nations, which, nevertheless, is quite unrealistic.

To strengthen its economic sanctions against Iran, the U.S. has adopted a number of measures: Obama signed a new bill aimed at further sanctions against Iran which he had previously objected to. American senior officials are trying to persuade other nations to join U.S. sanctions by ceasing to buy oil from Iran. However, these nations are not obliged to do so; oil storage in the U.S. is far larger than that of the market’s prediction. As an effect, if Iran is out of the world oil market, it has much stronger negative impact upon Europe and countries in East Asia and South Asia than the U.S. The fact has been proven that sanctions launched by the U.S. do not serve their purpose and usually generate humanistic disasters. And with regard to economic and political interests of the U.S., sanctions have failed to harm their punished objects, only to smash the U.S.’ own interests.

In late 1981, the U.S. government launched sanctions against the former Soviet Union for its construction of natural gas export pipelines. But the sanctions failed not only to curb the construction, but also to prevent Western Europe and Japan from joining the project, which frustrated American corporations, at a price of bills worth 2.2 billion U.S. dollars. It also reduced the ratio of American exports to the former Soviet Union from 25 percent (1975-1978) to 0.4 percent (1984). Then, the U.S. government had to cancel the sanctions. From then on, American corporations were seen as “unreliable suppliers,” and could hardly win contracts from the former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe, which continued until the disintegration of the former Soviet Union. Ridiculously, the constructed natural gas pipelines turn out to be the most important energy supply arteries reaching Eastern, Central and Western Europe and have maintained their significant status until now.

If Western Europe and Japan had given up under the pressure of the Reagan administration, the energy supply and citizens’ life in Western Europe would have suffered serious conditions.

As the only superpower in the world, the U.S. has taken for granted that it is eligible to impose its will upon other nations, which, nevertheless, is unrealistic. And sanctions against others in turn weakened its influence upon others.

According to the new bill aimed at further sanctions against Iran signed by Obama, the U.S. will prohibit any foreign financial institutions in touch with the Central Bank of Iran from entering the U.S. financial market. But the Central Bank of Iran plays a very important role in assisting Iranian foreign trade. And if other economies are to be exempted from the bill, they have to cut down their oil imports from Iran. So it is believed that the bill will exert greater pressure on Chinese financial institutions providing capital for Sino-Iranian trade. However, it is obvious that due to long-time restrictions by U.S. financial administrations, Chinese financial institutions have had little chance of entering the American financial market and opening branch offices in the U.S. They will suffer few losses in the U.S. financial market resulting from the new bill. If so, will the bill be effective enough for China to give up its important interests from the trade with Iran?

On January 12, the U.S. Department of State announced its sanctions on three foreign companies for their oil trade with Iran, including China’s state-owned Zhuhai Zhen Rong Corp. The sanction bars all three companies from receiving U.S. export licenses, U.S. Export-Import Bank financing or loans over $10 million from U.S. financial institutions. Nevertheless, Zhen Rong Corp. has not been in cooperation with any U.S. companies or institutions. So, the sanctions are meaningless enough to be ridiculed by the Zhen Rong spokesperson as one that “God knows its significance.”

As a Chinese saying goes, “harmony is cherished.” In fact, except for its religious beliefs, Iran, in comparison with other Middle East nations except Israel, has shared the most similar political system with the U.S. So couldn’t the White House be generous enough in the normalization of relations with Iran, since it has been getting on well with a number of monarchies in the Middle East?


  美国是唯一超级大国,其想当然地以为本国拥有无限的资源迫使别国屈从于自己的意志,但这毕竟只是想当然而已。


  为强化对伊朗的经济制裁,美国最近接连出招:奥巴马签署了自己以前反对的收紧对伊制裁新法案,美国高官还游说各国配合制裁,停止购买伊朗石油。其实,别国没有义务按照美国国内法行事;美国目前油料库存远超市场预测,伊朗石油被驱出市场对美国的冲击比对欧洲和东亚、南亚国家小得多;而事实早已证明,美国发起的众多经济制裁常常达不到目的,反而制造了严重的人道主义灾难,单就美国自身的经济政治利益而言,其经济制裁不但未能损害制裁对象,反而损害了自己的利益。


  1981年年底,美国发起对前苏联天然气出口管道制裁,制裁措施既没能阻止天然气管道建设,也没阻止住西欧和日本参与这个项目,只落得美国相关产业公司至少丧失22亿美元订单,美国对前苏联出口占比从1975年~1978年的25%下降到1984年的0.4%,最后不得不在1982年11月宣布取消制裁。美国公司被普遍认为是“不可靠供货商”而从此在前苏联、东欧难以获得合同,负面影响一直延续到前苏联解体之后。当时建成的天然气管道则成为东欧、中欧、西欧众多国家人民的能源供应生命线,地位至今仍十分稳固。


  倘若当初西欧和日本屈从于里根政府压力而停止这个项目,那么很难想象现在西欧的能源供给和居民生活将处于何种被动境地。


  美国是唯一超级大国,其想当然地以为本国拥有无限的资源迫使别国屈从于自己的意志,但这毕竟只是想当然而已。而美国以往对别国的限制无形之中也减少了自己影响对方的能力。


  按照奥巴马签署的收紧对伊制裁新法案规定,美国将禁止与伊朗中央银行有业务往来的外国金融机构进入美国金融市场;而伊朗央行在协助本国贸易方面发挥着举足轻重的作用,别国要想得到该法律豁免,就要用实际行动表明已经大幅减少从伊朗进口的石油。外部认为,这项法律会增加向中伊经贸提供融资的中国金融机构的压力。但不要忘了,由于美方金融监管部门长期阻扰,中国金融机构一直很难获准进入美国金融市场,很难获准在美开设分支机构,中国金融机构在美国金融市场上即便有利益损失也极其微小,这足够威慑中国放弃重要得多的对伊经贸利益吗?


  在实践中,美国国务院已于1月12日宣布制裁3家与伊朗开展能源业务交易的外国公司,中国大型国企珠海振戎公司名列其中,制裁内容为“不能够取得美国出口牌照、美国进出口财务安排以及美国国内任何金融机构1000万美元以上贷款”等。但振戎公司从未与美国任何企业开展过任何合作项目,致使这些制裁条款被振戎公司新闻发言人讥讽为“实在让人摸不着头脑”。


  和为贵。其实,除了宗教信仰之外,在除以色列之外的整个中东地区,伊朗堪称与美国政治体制最为相似的国家。既然美国能与这一地区的众多君主制国家相处甚欢,为什么不能拿出勇气与伊朗实现关系正常化呢?
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