The US Military’s Fast-Paced Development in China is a Big Threat

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 3 February 2012
by Han Xudong (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Meghan McGrath. Edited by Laurence Bouvard.
Recently, along with taking a leading global role in strategic adjustments, the U.S. military in the Asia-Pacific region is experiencing the biggest modification since the end of the Cold War. U.S. troops stationed around the world are involved in this fast-paced mobilization, leaving China no choice but to face this potentially big threat.

The United States has the largest scale of troops stationed overseas, and its presence is felt in every corner of the world. The war in Iraq and the war in Afghanistan are gradually ending, so the overall number of U.S. armed forces has begun to decrease. This means that the method of overseas deployment has also begun to shrink and adjust. Troop levels in the European region have gradually diminished, while the scale of military posts in the Asia-Pacific region has begun to rise; regular troop levels overseas are declining, while the level of special ops troops overseas is increasing. In particular, special ops forces overseas in the Asia-Pacific region will be the main form of deterrence used by the U.S. military in the area.

The special ops force has a specific role in the area: to use military exercises to maintain a presence in the Asia-Pacific region, for the U.S. military to exercise its dominance; to constantly replace old forces with new in order to maintain the strength of the Asia-Pacific forces; to meet the need for complete security development; to quickly adjust the forces in the area to create bases; to skillfully insert themselves into the security affairs of the area; and lastly, to maintain a fleet ready to access hot spots near the region at any time.

The United States finds China’s surrounding areas attractive for implementing special forces due to the fact that the United States is trying to both reduce the scale of overseas troops, yet at the same time maintain its military superiority in the Asia-Pacific region. The United States wants to build up its military strength in this region, but is facing pressure from nations in the area. South Korea, Japan and several other countries oppose the U.S. military presence as the uproar it causes in the region continues to grow. The United States still has not clearly identified its purpose for building forces in the Asia-Pacific region. This dynamic military presence is very covert and deceptive. The United States believes that China’s attitude is becoming increasingly extreme, so it is taking these measures to deal with any potential surprises.

In comparison to the state of military forces during the Cold War, today’s placement of military forces by the United States is a bigger threat to our country’s safety. The United States’ military strength now appears well-coordinated, yet difficult to pin down. The U.S. has a variety of new weapons and equipment, which are likely to appear in our surrounding area; this will increase friction and the probability of a crisis between the army and the U.S. There is a growing possibility of U.S. military provocation. Having an army to counter the U.S. threat of special forces is more difficult. We are in a passive position of security and defense, while the United States has a security initiative. As our military mobilizes toward the ocean, the threat will increase; the possibility of military training or military exercises being disrupted is growing.

This current military threat is not the same as traditional military threats. If the threat intensity changes significantly, the threatened areas will not be able to control its scale. Compared to U.S. military strength, our country’s military strength is still at a disadvantage. The U.S. military presence has an impact on our national security and global strategies. This military presence and the threat posed to our national security will be long-term. In this regard, we should attach great importance to actively considering a variety of possible measures to counteract it.


最近,随着全球称霸战略的调整,美国在亚太地区的军事布局正在经历冷战结束以来最大一次调整。美军在全球的驻扎在快速移动,这种移动是目前中国安全不得不面对的一种重大威胁。


  美国是海外驻军规模最大的国家,其驻军地区遍布全球的各个角落。伊拉克战争和阿富汗战争目前正在逐渐落幕,美国军队的总体规模开始缩小,海外军事部署的手段也开始调整。主要表现就是:欧洲地区驻军规模逐渐下降,亚太地区的驻军规模开始上升;常态海外驻军规模下降,动态海外驻军规模上升。尤其是,美国在亚太地区动态海外驻军,将是美国在该地区驻军实施军事威慑的主要形式。


  这种动态驻军具体表现在:以军事演习的形式保持美军在亚太地区军事存在的优势;以轮番驻扎的形式不断更新驻军的力量,不断调整驻军的兵力规模和兵力结构,以满足安全形势发展的需要;以租借基地的形式灵活调整亚太地区的驻军规模,灵活介入亚太地区的安全事务;以舰队访问等形式随时将美军力量出现在热点附近地区等。


  美国之所以开始钟爱在中国周边地区实施动态驻军,主要因为:美国一方面要缩小海外驻军规模,同时还要保持其在亚太地区的军事优势;随着美国提高其亚太地区的兵力相对优势的同时,美国也面临解决扩大常态驻军带来的困难与压力,因为韩国、日本等一些国家国内反对美国驻军的声浪越来越大;美国还无法明确确定其亚太地区面临的主要威胁;这种动态军事存在具有更大的隐蔽性和欺骗性等等。由于中国被美国认为是其对手的心态越来越强烈,美国采取动态驻军的手段来对付中国也就不足为怪了。


  相对冷战时期的常态驻军而言,动态驻军对我国安全带来的威胁更大。现在,美军的何种兵力出现是灵活,不易掌握;美军各种新式武器装备都有可能出现在我周边地区;我军与美军出现摩擦或出现危机的概率将增大;美军挑衅我的可能性越来越大;我军反制美军动态兵力威胁的难度增大;我处于安全防御的被动地位而美掌握着安全的主动;我军跨出第一岛链进入大洋受到的威胁将会增大;我军军事训练、军事演习受到干扰的可能性越来越大等。


  这与传统常态军事存在产生的威胁非常不同。如威胁强度变化大、威胁出现的地区不易掌握、冲突规模不易控制与把握等。与美国军事实力相比,在我军事实力还处于劣势的情况下,美国的动态军事存在给我国安全带来的影响具有全局性和战略性。这种动态性军事存在给我国安全带来的威胁将具有长期性。对此,我们应给予高度重视,并积极考虑采取多种可行的措施进行反制。
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