The US and China Building Mutual Trust Benefits the Global Economy

Published in The United Daily News
(Taiwan) on 26 February 2012
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Anita Dixon.
Communist China's Vice President Xi Jinping smoothly completed his trip to the U.S., having received a high-level reception in Washington. The itinerary, carried out under a special backdrop, did not contain unexpected exclamation points, nor did it leave behind new questions. Instead, it resembled line after line of direct statements, simple, but transparent and plain, which is precisely what the currently shaken global economy needs most.

On the surface, Xi Jinping's trip to America completed reciprocal visits between the U.S. and China's vice heads of state, and was a response to U.S. Vice President Biden's arrangements on his trip to Beijing in August of last year; however, because Xi Jinping is the internally appointed heir apparent of mainland China, he holds a particularly special position. The timing of the visit also coincided with disagreements between the U.S. and China over human rights in Tibet, events in Syria, etc., as well as increasing friction and imbalance in bilateral trade — last year, mainland China's trade surplus with the U.S. reached a record-setting $295 billion — making the meeting of the two sides especially meaningful.

In the past few years, friction in trade between the U.S. and China has steadily increased. Since Obama took office, the U.S. has brought approximately twice as many trade cases against China as the previous administration, and has continually accused mainland China of artificially manipulating the RMB exchange rate. Obama has clearly stated that he will strengthen penalties for unfair trade, and will also establish a new panel to investigate unfair trade practices, both of which are directed at mainland China.

On a more abstract level, Xi Jinping's trip is also considered a public appearance, allowing Americans to get acquainted with the CCP's new leader, and then finding a new position for the next 10 years of U.S.-China relations. In accordance with the CCP's system of government, barring extraordinary circumstances, Xi Jinping will lead mainland China until 2023, and [during his term as president] will most likely experience the historical moment of China surpassing America to become the world's largest economy. America's high-level reception is unquestionably a forward investment in a bilateral relationship that will be [America's] most important in the future, but whose manner of development is yet unknown. For Beijing, America's first impression of Xi Jinping is also an opportunity to show America mainland China's new image and new way of thinking. Fundamentally, Xi's visit to America holds implications of helping the U.S.-China relationship transition from the old to the new, subsequently being described as “the trip of rebuilding.”

From the high level of anticipation prior to the trip to its calm conclusion, Xi Jinping's performance was entirely by the book. Because he has not yet risen to the presidency, this is not surprising; furthermore, the U.S. and China will both face political successions this year. At a time when stability takes precedence over all else, the relationship between the two nations cannot be changed to any large degree. Of special note are the U.S. and China's restraint in their use of strong language, America's lack of authoritative undertones and China maintaining its poise, showing the value placed on Obama and Xi Jinping's first meeting; when no news is good news, the considerable amount of positivity in the U.S. and China's interaction this time is a taste worth savoring.

As described by the White House prior to the event, the Obama-Xi meeting focused on relations between the two nations, regional development and global issues, while issues on trade were the key point of the talks. Both sides also issued their “Joint Fact Sheet on Strengthening U.S.-China Economic Relations” after the meeting, mainly expositing the two countries' consensus on their bilateral trade relationship and coordination of economic policies. Compared with the vague declarations of strategic principles made in the past, this “fact sheet” shows concrete action. For example, [China's] opening of mandatory liability insurance for motor vehicle accidents to foreign-invested insurance companies, albeit a small step, is a vow by mainland China to open its financial markets to foreign [investment]; as to America, it makes Chinese banks subject to the same prudential and regulatory treatment as other countries' banks when doing business in the United States. Additionally, aside from pledging [the continuance of] existing economic cooperation, jointly addressing the European debt crisis and promoting reform in the exchange rate system, the nations also promised to push for economic changes. This is precisely the crucial foundation which will bring about the development of a virtuous cycle in the U.S. and China's economic relationship.

Consequently, despite the fact that Xi Jinping's visit to the U.S. did not result in any breakthroughs on important issues, it made headway on promoting the two sides' establishment of a cooperative partnership [based on] mutual respect, and mutual benefit. Among other things, the reception which Xi Jinping himself received from America showed his personal ability in managing important issues in U.S.-China relations, and also had the effect of bolstering his position in [China's] internal leadership; for the U.S., [the meeting] increased its understanding of Xi Jinping's personal style and was a step toward understanding China's stances and policy approaches on related bilateral and multilateral issues.

On the whole, high-level dialogue between China and the U.S. is beneficial to decreasing mutual suspicion, avoiding errors in judgment, increasing trust, relieving the tension in the two sides' relationship and even stabilizing the regional security situation, etc. In the future, one can hope that U.S.-China relations will develop under a framework of both competition and cooperation.


中共國家副主席習近平順利完成美國行,並在華府受到高規格的接待。這次在特殊背景下展開的行程沒有出現令人意外的驚嘆號,也沒有留下新的問號,就像一行行的直述句,簡單但透顯著平實,這是當前動盪的全球經濟所最需要的。

表面上,習近平美國行是在落實中美兩國副元首互訪,回應去年8月美國副總統拜登北京行的例行安排;但因習近平是內定的中國大陸接班人,身分特殊,出訪時機又是在中美兩國為西藏人權、敘利亞事件等問題產生齟齬,以及雙邊貿易摩擦升高、貿易失衡加劇的背景下(去年中國大陸對美貿易順差達到創紀錄的2,950億美元),使雙方會面別具意義。

近年來,中美經貿摩擦有增無減,歐巴馬上任後,美國對中國大陸提出的貿易救濟案,相當於上屆政府的兩倍,對於中國大陸人為操縱人民幣匯率的指控也從未間斷。歐巴馬曾明言將加強制裁不公平貿易,並將成立新部門監督不公平的貿易活動,都是針對中國大陸而來。

拉到相對抽象的層次,習近平此行也被視為亮相之旅,讓美國認識中共的新領導人,進而為未來十年的中美關係尋找新的定位。依中共政治體制運作,如無特殊狀況,習近平將領導中國大陸至2023年,他很可能經歷中國大陸超越美國成為全球第一大經濟體的歷史時刻,美國的高規格接待無疑是預先投資於一段未來最重要但未知如何發展的雙邊關係;對北京而言,習近平留給美國的第一印象,也有機會向美國展示中國大陸新的形象及新的思維。基本上,習的美國行具有讓中美關係從舊關係過渡到新關係的意涵,因而也被形容為「重建關係之旅」。

從行前被高度期待到行程平靜畫下句點,習近平的表現中規中矩,由於他尚未掌權,這並不意外;此外,中美今年都將面臨政治換屆,在穩定重於一切下,雙邊關係也不可能因此出現劇烈變化;特別的是,中美雙邊都克制使用激烈的言詞,美方沒有下馬威,中方也保持風度,顯現對歐巴馬與習近平首次會晤的珍惜;在「沒有消息就是好消息(no news is good news)」中,中美這次互動更顯現不少正向訊息,值得細細品味。

一如事前美國白宮所述,歐習會聚焦在雙邊關係、區域發展與全球議題上,經貿議題更是這次會談的重點,雙方亦於會後發布了「關於加強中美經濟關係的聯合情況說明」,重點描述了兩國對雙邊經貿關係和協調經濟政策的共識。相較於以往空泛的綱領式宣言,這項「說明」出現了務實性舉措。例如對外資保險公司開放機動車交通事故責任強制保險,這雖是一小步,但宣示了中國大陸對外開放金融市場的可能性;至於美方,則提供中資銀行在美開展業務時與他國銀行同等的監理待遇。此外,這項說明除宣示既有的經濟合作、共同因應歐債危機及推進匯率制度改革,還承諾推動經濟模式的轉變,而這正是促使中美經濟關係良性循環發展的關鍵基礎。

因此,儘管習近平的美國行沒有在重大議題上取得突破性結論,但在推動雙方建立相互尊重、互利共贏的合作夥伴關係上得到了進展。其中,習近平本人受到美方給予的禮遇,展現個人處理中美關係重大議題的能力,對其內部領導地位亦有加分作用;對美國而言,則增加了對習個人風格的瞭解,並進一步掌握中方對雙邊、多邊相關議題的立場和政策態度。

整體而言,中美高層對話,對減少相互猜疑、避免誤判、增加互信、舒緩雙方緊張關係,乃至於穩定地區安全局勢等都將有助益,未來中美關係可望在既競爭又合作的架構下發展。
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