Obama: I Have a Deeply-Held Preference for Peace

Published in Le Monde
(France) on 4 March 2012
by Corine Lesnes (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Gillian Wright. Edited by Laurie Henneman.
Barack Obama dedicated the main part of his speech at AIPAC [The American Israel Public Affairs Committee] to defending himself from all the frostiness with regards to Israel and to trying to create trust in his intentions.

"[I]f you want to know where my heart lies, look no further than what I have done — to stand up for Israel"

His speech went against the current of the escalating tension. Speakers haven't been met with enthusiastic applause, which would be easier for them than going to war.... Especially as he had not even mentioned the term of the moment: "nuclear capacity." His bottom line remains the Iranian "nuclear weapon," not Iran’s capability to manufacture the bomb.

As a columnist said, Obama is a "contrarian": a big believer in taking the opposite view. He did not storm in with the menacing tone that some were hoping for. He has developed his policy around a very rational tone.

"I understand the profound historical obligation that weighs on the shoulders of Bibi Netanyahou and Ehud Barak.... But [a nuclear-armed Iran] is also contrary to national security interests of the United States."

He recalled that when he came to power, Iran had already acquired thousands of centrifuges.

"In the region, Iran was ascendant — increasingly popular, and extending its reach... [Their] leadership was united and on the move, and the international community divided"

Today, he said it’s the opposite. The Iranians are divided. They have rejected his "engagement" policy, which has allowed him to gather the international community together to impose tougher sanctions.

Some had predicted that Russia and China would never join the effort.

"They did."

Others have said that the sanctions would not be effective, that the coalition would not hold on to measures for the isolation of the central bank and the boycotting of oil imports. All this has proved to be wrong.

"[But the] effective implementation of our policy is not enough — we must accomplish our objective. "

More Time
Again the President pleaded that there was still time. U.S. agencies estimate that there is still a year before the Iranians will be equipped with the bomb.

"I firmly believe that an opportunity still remains for diplomacy... [T]he international community has a responsibility to use the time and space that exists. "

The only way to solve the problem in the long-term is to get them to give it up themselves, he has said.

Obama has clearly stated that he did not have "a policy of containment" and that we should not doubt his determination.

"I have a deeply-held preference for peace over war."

He was met with wide applause when he reminded that Israel had "the sovereign right to make its own decisions" concerning security.

Many fewer applauded when he tried to lower the temperature.

"[T]here is too much loose talk of war... [S]uch talk has only benefited the Iranian government, by driving up the price of oil."

It is time, he said, to follow Teddy Roosevelt's advice: "Speak softly; carry a big stick."

It remains to be seen whether or not he can convince a "big stick" public that only believes in those who speak loudly....

For the full text of President Obama's AIPAC remarks, see:
http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2012/03/04/remarks-president-aipac-policy-conference-0


Barack Obama a consacré l'essentiel de son discours à l'AIPAC à se défendre de toute froideur à l'égard d'Israël et à essayer de crééer la confiance sur ses intentions.
- "Si vous voulez savoir où est mon coeur regardez mes actes"
Son discours est allé à contre-courant de l'escalade de la tension. Les applaudissements n'ont pas été le grand déferlement enthousiaste que se ménagent les orateurs plus va-t-en guerre.... D'autant qu'il n'a même pas prononcé le terme du moment: "capacité nucléaire". Sa ligne rouge reste "l'arme nucléaire" iranienne. Non pas la capacité de l'Iran à fabriquer sa bombe.
Comme le disait un éditorialiste, Obama est un "contrarien": un grand adepte du contre-pied. Il n'est pas monté à l'assaut avec le ton menaçant que certains espéraient. Il a développé sa politique sur un ton très rationnel.
- "Je comprends l'obligation historique qui pèse sur les épaules de Netanyahou et Ehud Barak. Mais un Iran nucléaire est aussi contraire aux intérêts nationaux des Etats-Unis".
Il a rappelé que quand il est arrivé au pouvoir l'Iran avait acquis des milliers de centrifugeuses.
- "L'Iran était populaire dans le monde. Leur leadership était dynamique et la communauté internationale divisée".
Aujourd'hui, dit-il c'est l'inverse. Les Iraniens sont divisés. Ils ont rejeté sa politique "d'engagement", ce qui lui a permis de rassembler la Communauté internationale pour imposer des sanctions plus dures.
Certains avaient prévu que Russie et la Chine ne se joindraient jamais à l'effort.
- "Ils l'ont fait".
D'autres ont dit que les sanctions ne seraient pas efficaces. Que la coalition ne tiendrait pas sur les mesures d'isolement de la banque centrale, sur le boycottage des importations de pétrole. Tout cela s'est révélé eronné.
- "Mais mettre en oeuvre notre politique ne suffit pas. IL faut parvenir à nos objectifs".

Encore du temps
Le président a plaidé qu'il reste du temps. Les services américains estiment qu'il y a encore un an avant que les Iraniens soient dotés de la bombe.
- "Il reste du temps pour la diplomatie. L'Iran n'a pas encore d'arme nucléaire. Nous avons la possibilité d'utiliser le temps qui existe".
La seule manière de régler le problème sur la durée, c'est de les amener à renoncer d'eux-mêmes, a-t-il souligné.
Obama a dit clairement qu'il n'avait "pas de politique d'endiguement". Et qu'il ne fallait pas douter de sa détermination.
- "Mais je préfère profondément la paix à la guerre"
Il a été très applaudi quand il a rappelé qu'Israël a "le droit souverain de prendre ses décisions" sur ce qui concerne sa sécurité.
Nettement moins applaudi quand il a essayé de faire baisser la température.
- "Il y a trop de bruits de guerre dans les informations. Cela profite aux Iraniens en faisant monter le prix du pétrole".
C'est le moment, a-t-il dit, de suivre le conseil de Teddy Roosevelt
- "Speaks soflty, carry a big stick"
Reste à savoir s'il peut convaincre qu'il a un "gros bâton" les publics qui ne croient que ceux qui parlent fort...
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