“Sole” Superpower Already Defeated; US Steps Down from the Altar of Arrogance

Published in Xinhua
(China) on 14 May 2012
by Wen Xian (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Brian Tawney. Edited by Adam Talkington.
The heated debate over whether or not America is in decline has called into question concerns and myths regarding U.S. strategy at the beginning of the 21st century.

When things reach an extreme, they must turn around; what rises must fall. There is nothing in the universe that isn’t like this, so that people, nations and events all manifest exactly the same behavior. From a historical perspective, even America cannot escape this iron law.

At precisely the time when America most considered itself to be unsurpassed, it was on the verge of falling from its highest point. The end of the Cold War put the U.S. in the position of being the world’s “sole” superpower, but waves of delusion about the “end of history” and neoconservatism have pushed America further into the pitfall of blindness and conceit. In the midst of showing off American “exceptionalism,” the U.S. concluded that there was nothing they could not do. This gradually evolved into a panoply of unilateral actions in contempt of the whole world. After 9/11, the two wars that America unleashed on Afghanistan and Iraq became the turning point that shattered the myth; subsequently, the disaster of America’s predicament was revealed.

There are differing opinions in the heated debate over whether or not the U.S. is in decline. American society is clearly polarizing, the economic recovery lacks vitality, partisan politics in the legislative and judicial mechanisms have increasingly pushed national development policies to the periphery and the country’s economic strength is no longer sufficient to support the military forces stationed throughout the world as “global police.” Meanwhile, the military strategy of fighting on two fronts has been forced to undergo some adjustments. The absurdly deceptive pretext on which the Iraq War was started has called into question the soft power of America’s morality in world affairs.

There is an unbearable cold at extreme heights. Regardless of whether they admit it or not, and with even less regard to their willingness to do so, the U.S. has already stepped down from the altar of insufferable arrogance.

America’s internal debate over whether they are in decline demonstrates a more candid reflection, but the reason for this lament is just to drive domestic and foreign policy changes that will allow them maintain their good position. When this topic is discussed by the international community, especially in Chinese society, America shows extreme sensitivity and is unable to cover up its disgust. The root cause of this kind of subtle discrepancy may lie in the fact that, in order to achieve their goal of “not taking second place in the world,” the U.S. must compulsively stimulate its military industrial complex and seek to establish “imaginary enemies” that might challenge its hegemony across the scope of the entire globe. Under these new circumstances, China, which has been experiencing ceaseless large-scale development, becomes the focal point of concern for U.S. global strategy. The U.S. Asia-Pacific strategic pivot, together with a lot of deceitful “sword-dancing,” was all undertaken in order to show that they are bouncing back, that they are not at all in decline.

In the long course of history, the rise and fall of great nations is a comprehensive process of evolution. Up until now, the U.S. has remained the world’s only superpower, and it will use every means at its disposal to prolong this legacy. At the very moment when its defeat is revealed, America is on the verge of reflexively deploying more unmanned drones, special military forces and showing its strength in new ways to hold its perceived enemies at bay, in order to preserve its position as world hegemon. However, it is impossible to hold back the erosive tides of time and obstruct the global trend toward multi-polarization. If the U.S. cannot take stock of the situation and instead blindly clings to the “politics of power,” remaining unable to eradicate the chronic diseases of superstitious belief in military power and the urge to misuse it, the result will be that, as it continues to slide, it will go further down that long, steep road.

*Editor's Note: This article originally appeared in People's Daily, and was subsequently republished in electronic form by Xinhua.


“唯一”超级大国已露败象 美国走下傲慢神坛

美国是否衰落话题的炽热,反证了21世纪初美国的战略焦虑和迷思。
  物极必反,盛极而衰,天下事莫不如此,因人、因国、因事表现形式不同而已。从历史角度来看,美国亦逃脱不了这一铁律。
  美国最为不可一世之时,恰恰是其从巅峰跌落之际。冷战的结束将美国置于世界“唯一”超级大国的境地,“历史终结”的幻觉和新保守主义浪潮的推动令美国更陷飘飘然的盲动。在美国“例外论”思维的极度张扬中,美国“无所不能”的断语逐渐演变为蔑视全球的种种单边主义行动。“9·11”事件发生后,美国发动的阿富汗、伊拉克两场战争成为其神话破灭的拐点,随之露出了美国左支右绌的败絮。
  关于美国是否衰落的热议有见仁见智的现实参照。当今美国社会两极分化凸显,经济复苏乏力,立法、司法机构中的党派政争更显对国家发展决策的掣肘,经济实力难以强撑“世界警察”般在全球各地常驻军力,同时打赢两场战争的军事战略被迫做出调整。以伊拉克战争开战理由的妄谬为标志,美国在全球事务道义上的软实力遭到质疑。
  高处不胜寒。无论其是否承认,更无论其是否情愿,美国已经走下曾经不可一世的神坛。
  美国国内对其是否衰落的争论更多地表现出直率的反思,“唱衰”的目的在于推动内外政策调整,以保持不衰。对于国际社会,特别是中国社会就此话题的议论,美国则表现出难掩反感的极度敏感。这种微妙差异的原因或许在于,为实现“不当世界第二”的誓愿,美国情不自禁地需要对国内军工复合体的刺激,需要在全球范围内寻找和确立可能挑战其霸主地位的“假想敌”。在新的形势下,不断发展壮大的中国便成为其全球战略焦虑的聚焦点。美国亚太战略的调整及诸多“项庄舞剑,意在沛公”的动作,均为美国着意表明其并未衰落的战略性反弹。
  在历史长河中,大国崛起与衰落是一个综合因素演变的进程。迄今为止,美国仍为综合实力最强的全球唯一超级大国,并千方百计延长这一历史进程。在已露败象之时,美国几近条件反射般以更多使用无人机、特种部队等新形式显示力量,并多方遏制其眼中的潜在对手,以维护全球霸主地位。然而,在时代大潮的冲刷中,更为世界格局多极化的趋势不可阻挡。如若美国未能据此审时度势,而一味贪恋于“强权政治”的延续,不能根除迷信武力的痼疾和滥用武力的冲动,其结果只能是在下坡路上愈滑愈远。
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