In the End, the Hole Is Deeper

Published in Veja
(Brazil) on 3 September 2012
by Caio Blinder (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jane Dorwart. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
The article in this week's edition of Veja (“The Question that Matters” by Giulano Guandalini) is accurate on the subject of the economic agendas and philosophy of government in the American election. In the campaign, the Democrats want “more taxes, more public spending and more regulation — more government, ultimately.” Now the Republicans insist that taking this path will be the end of "economic prosperity." They want less government, ultimately.

Regarding the future, Veja concludes that "whoever emerges victorious at the polls will have a hard time making his vision prevail in Congress and managing to lift the largest economy on the planet out of its lost decade." At the Democratic convention this week, Barack Obama will be asking for a second chance. At the Republican convention of last week, Mitt Romney said that Obama already had his chance and squandered it.

The Veja article provides the context, remembering that "in 2009, when Obama took over the leadership of the country, the country was on the brink of economic depression." By using measures which were in large part a continuation of what had been done by the Bush government, Obama "avoided a repeat of the Great Depression." The price of success: A public debt that has doubled.

In an essay this past weekend in the newspaper Valor entitled "The Direction of Capitalism," the economist Andre Lara Resende added to the debate by showing how deep the hole is; a new Great Depression was avoided, but excessive indebtedness continues. In an apt but terrifying phrase, Lara Resende said, "A horror film was exchanged for a horror without end." He notices that in the crisis, which is global, there is no "solution in sight or even a consensus on how to proceed."

The erudite Lara Resende brings to the debate mentions of Adam Smith, Mark, Schumpeter, Keynes, both the Austrian and Frankfurt schools. (In sum, criticisms and proposals of solutions from the left and the right.) Don't get bogged down looking, but on looking, one can see deeper reflections from this group within the conversation about cyclical adjustments and the creative destruction of capitalism: How does one resolve a crisis — and lower the social cost to the population — without curbing the spirit of innovation of capitalism? The duel between justice and liberty — or liberty and justice.

For Lara Resende, in these terms, the two great questions of our time are: 1) Reducing the disparity between standards of living without continuing to increase state intervention and restricting individual liberties and 2) Reversing consumerism and material insatiability without curbing the perception of well-being.

These are big questions and to find answers will require rising above the deep ditch of ideological bias. The electoral polarization in the U.S. shows that we are not close to there (overcoming this gap).


Enfim, o buraco é mais fundo (Eleição Watch)

Uma reportagem da edição desta semana de VEJA (A Questão que Importa, de Giuliano Guandalini) é precisa sobre as cartas econômicas e de filosofia de governo na eleição americana. Na campanha, os democratas querem “mais impostos, mais gastos públicos e mais regulação -mais governo, enfim”. Já os republicanos insistem que este caminho será o fim da “prosperidade econômica”. Querem menos governo, enfim.
Sobre o futuro, VEJA conclui que “quem quer que saia vitorioso nas urnas terá uma dura batalha para fazer sua visão prevalecer no Congresso e conseguir que a maior economia do planeta supere a sua década perdida”. Na convenção democrata desta semana, Barack Obama pedirá mais tempo, uma segunda chance. Na convenção republicana da semana passada, Mitt Romney disse que Obama já teve a sua chance e a desperdiçou.
Na reportagem, VEJA dá o contexo. Lembra que “Obama assumiu, em 2009, um país à beira da depressâo econômica” e com medidas que em boa parte foram uma continuação do que fora feito no final do governo Bush ele “evitou uma reedição da Grande Depressão”. O preço do sucesso: a dívida pública dobrou.
Em um ensaio no fim-de-semana, no jornal Valor, com o título Os Rumos do Capitalismo, o economista André Lara Resende contribui para o debate mostrando como o buraco é fundo: uma nova Grande Depressâo foi evitada, mas o endividamento continua excessivo. Na expressão feliz (e aterradora) de Lara Resende, “troca-se um fim horroroso por um horror sem fim”.  Ele observa que na crise, que é global, não existe “solução à vista e nem mesmo consenso sobre como proceder”.
Erudito, Lara Resende traz para o debate menções a Adam Smith, Marx, Schumpeter, Keynes, a Escola Austríaca e a Escola de Frankfurt (em suma, críticas e propostas de soluções à esquerda e à direita). Não fiquem agoniados, mas reflexões mais profundas atravessam esta galeria na conversa sobre ajustes cíclicos e destruição criativa do capitalismo. Como resolver uma crise (e minorar o custo social para a população) sem coibir o espirito inovador do capitalismo? O duelo entre justiça ou liberdade (ou entre liberdade e justiça).
Para Lara Resende, nestes termos, as duas grandes questões do nosso tempo são: 1) reduzir a disparidade dos padrões de vida, sem continuar a aumentar a intermediação do Estado e restringir as liberdades individuais e 2) reverter o consumismo, a insaciabilidade material, sem reduzir a percepção de bem-estar”.
Grandes questões e para encontrar respostas será preciso superar o fosso profundo do preconceito ideológico. A polarização eleitoral nos EUA mostra que não estamos perto de lá (na superação do fosso).
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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