Obama and the Fiscal Cliff:Hoping for a Compromise

Published in Guangming Daily News
(China ) on 17 November 2012
by Qingcai Wu (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jingman Xiao . Edited by Kathleen Weinberger.
On Nov. 16, U.S. President Barack Obama met with congressional leaders of both parties in the White House in order to open urgent discussions regarding the plans for preventing America from falling over the “fiscal cliff.” Economists warn that America is very likely to be exposed to a second economic recession if it fails to pause on the brink of this precipice, which looms at the end of this year. During the negotiations that day, Obama classified avoiding the fiscal cliff as urgent business and emphasized to the leaders that measures had to be taken to ensure that taxation on middle-class families would not increase, that the U.S. economy would remain robust and that employment opportunities would be enhanced.

A fiscal cliff refers to the situation in which tax levels will be raised and spending will be cut starting Jan. 1 next year, which will result in a $532 billion increase in taxation and a $136 billion decrease in government expenditures. This will occur if no agreement on the plans to reduce the deficit can be reached by Dec. 31. Warnings from economists suggest that both the American and the global economy would be dragged into a double-dip recession.

Obama hoped that some difficult compromises would be achieved with cooperative efforts by the leaders of the two parties. Speaking to this point, Obama announced, “I believe everyone agrees on one point — that is, to take action. Americans would like to see us paying attention to them rather than focusing on the Washington politics.”* Leaders who attended this meeting included House Speaker John Boehner, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, all of whom praised this meeting with Obama and described it as very instructive.

In order to create an amicable atmosphere for the meeting, Obama mentioned to the reporters present that it would be Boehner’s birthday the next day. The president even joked that he had not brought a birthday cake in an effort to avoid embarrassing the House speaker, as he did not know how many candles were needed. The solemn-looking Boehner, who was sitting beside him, even smiled once (once in a blue moon, that is) and shook hands with Obama to thank him.

After the conference, the Republican Boehner sent an optimistic signal. He announced that he believed that the two parties would eventually reach an agreement on how to escape the fiscal cliff situation. In order to express his sincerity, he also agreed to return the issue of increasing fiscal income to the negotiating table — provided that spending must be cut significantly.

Other leaders also showed confidence in an agreement being reached. The Democratic Reid hoped that senators would work around the clock during Thanksgiving to reach a deal as soon as possible. Pelosi, also a Democrat, claimed that there should be a deadline for achieving the agreement before Christmas. McConnell, a Republican, compromised by including the possibility of increasing fiscal income into the discussion.

Although Obama and these leaders appeared rather well-mannered and soft-spoken in their first conference, their differences in terms of tax increases on the rich and so on are still quite evident. Obama has already stated quite firmly that any compromise must include the proposal of increasing taxes on the affluent. Boehner, however, is strongly against this.

Despite the fact that both parties show their willingness to compromise, it is estimated that there will be a tough political battle behind the curtains due to these huge divergences. However, there is little time left for both parties to play this “dancing-on-the-edge” game. A month from now, these politicians, who will determine the fate of America, will either have achieved the agreements or else pushed America into the economic abyss once again.

*Editor’s note: While accurately translated, this quotation could not be verified.


中新社华盛顿11月16日电(记者吴庆才)美国总统奥巴马16日在白宫会晤两党国会领袖,紧急商谈避免美国跌入“财政悬崖”的方案。经济学家警告,假如在今年底前未能“悬崖勒马”,美国可能陷入第二次经济衰退的危机。

  在当天的谈判中,奥巴马将避免陷入“财政悬崖”称为“紧急要做的事”,他对与会国会领袖强调,必须采取措施确保中产阶级家庭的税收不增加、确保美国经济依然强劲、确保增加就业机会。

  所谓“财政悬崖”是指:如果美国国会两党在今年12月31日之前不能就赤字削减计划达成一致,那么明年1月1日将同时出现税收增加和开支削减局面,届时将增加5320亿美元税收,同时减少1360亿美元政府开支。经济学家警告,若无法跨越这道悬崖,美国和全球经济可能被拖入“二次衰退”的深渊。

  奥巴马希望两党领袖一起合作,做出一些艰难的妥协。他说:“我想大家都同意一点,那就是采取行动,美国人民希望看到我们关注他们,而不是专注于华盛顿的政治。”

  当天与会的国会领导人包括众议院议长博纳、参议院多数党领袖里德、众议院少数党领袖佩洛西、参议院少数党领袖麦康奈尔。四人在与奥巴马会谈后均称赞此次会议非常“富有建设性”。

  为了营造良好的谈判气氛,奥巴马还特意向到场的媒体提及,明天是博纳的生日,他还开玩笑说,为了避免让博纳尴尬,所以没有准备生日蛋糕,因为不知道究竟需要多少根蜡烛。坐在旁边原本一脸严肃的博纳难得地露出笑脸,与奥巴马握手表示感谢。

  会后,共和党籍的博纳释放了乐观的信号,他相信两党最终能够达成妥协避“财政悬崖”。他还表示,为了表达诚意,他同意将增加财政收入放在谈判桌上,但条件是必须同时显著削减开支。

  其他国会领袖也表示有信心达成协议。民主党的里德希望议员们在感恩节期间“加班加点”尽快达成协议,同党的佩洛西也表示,应该设定在圣诞节前达成协议的最后期限。共和党籍的麦康奈尔也松口称,愿意讨论增加财政收入的可能性。

  尽管奥巴马及国会领袖在首场谈判中都较为“客气”,不过两党在“富人增税”等关键问题上的分歧依然十分明显,奥巴马此前已明确表达了妥协方案中都必须包含对富人加税的主张,而博纳则坚持不能增加税率。

  尽管双方都表达了妥协意愿,但由于分歧较大,预计双方将在幕后进行一场艰难的政治博弈。然而,留给两党玩“悬崖边起舞”的游戏的时间不多了。一个多月后,这些主宰美国命运的政客们,要么达成“悬崖勒马”的协议,要么将美国再次推进经济衰退的深渊。完
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