No Changes Expected in American Foreign Policy

Published in Siglo 21
(Guatemala) on 23 December 2012
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Sara Hunter. Edited by .

Edited by Gillian Palmer

The president of the United States, Barack Obama, announced two days ago the appointment of Senator John Kerry to replace Secretary of State Hillary Clinton after her nationally and internationally recognized successful term, which primarily focused on the conflicts in the Middle East.

The announcement did not surprise North American analysts: Kerry has been a member of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations for almost three decades, which has given him the qualifications and knowledge necessary to fill the most important office in the Cabinet.

Like Clinton, Kerry, who was a presidential candidate in 2004, is an important Democratic leader; continuity in foreign policy is expected, with few significant changes. Some changes may be characterized by his personality though, which is perhaps less dynamic than that of his predecessor, who immediately assumed the challenges presented in the middle of a crisis.

Kerry’s foreign policy as a senator has mostly been defined by his support of the foreign policy of the White House during his almost three decades on the Committee on Foreign Relations. This is because he knows the importance of conveying to the rest of the world that internal unity exists in the United States with regard to the way it conducts its interventions in the world.

Few changes concerning Latin America are expected. Although it is true that Kerry is one of the senators who has visited with the most world leaders, the majority of them are or were leaders in the Middle East, Europe and Asia, the zones to which the United States pays the most attention.

The challenges facing the new secretary of state, who will take office in January, are the same that have completely consumed the attention of American foreign policy: the tense relations between Israel and the Arab countries, the presence of American troops in the Middle East, the constant threat of North Korea and the maintenance of ties with its important allies in Europe and Asia. These are some of the security topics that will take priority on the new secretary of state’s agenda.

President Obama has publicly spoken against war, but he has also spoken of maintaining the leadership and military strength of the country as a form of promoting world peace, a discourse that has been repeated by many Republican and Democratic presidents.

We must also remember that this is Obama’s second term, so he is expected to produce a smooth continuity without major changes in his vision on Latin America, Europe, Asia, Africa or the Middle East. Kerry provides this continuity and stability in North American foreign policy.

In the case of Guatemala, these relations are of little importance; certainly the most important topics remain immigration and narcotic trafficking, two permanent concerns that can be worked on in tandem. We are therefore faced with change without a change in direction.


El presidente de los Estados Unidos, Barack Obama, anunció hace dos días el cambio de la Secretaria de Estado, Hillary Clinton, quien dejará el cargo al senador John Kerry, tras una exitosa gestión, reconocida por propios y extraños, principalmente en los conflictos del Oriente Medio.

El anuncio no ha sorprendido a los analistas norteamericanos, ya que Kerry ha sido miembro del Comité de Relaciones Exteriores del Senado durante casi tres décadas, lo que le concede las calificaciones y el conocimiento necesarios para ejercer el cargo más importante en el Gabinete de aquel país.

Como Clinton, Kerry es un líder demócrata importante –fue candidato presidencial en 2004–, y se espera de él una continuidad en la política exterior, sin cambios significativos, aunque posiblemente marcada por su personalidad, tal vez menos dinámica que la de su antecesora, quien asumía de manera inmediata los retos que se presentaban en medio de una crisis.

Kerry ha sido un senador bastante definido en apoyar la política exterior de la Casa Blanca durante sus casi tres décadas en el Comité de Relaciones Exteriores; esto, porque sabe de la importancia de transmitir al resto del mundo la unidad interna que existe en Estados Unidos en cuanto a sus intervenciones en el mundo.

Sobre Latinoamérica tampoco cabe esperar demasiados cambios. Si bien es uno de los senadores que se han entrevistado con más dirigentes mundiales, la mayoría de ellos son o han sido gobernantes en Oriente Medio, Europa y Asia, las zonas hacia donde Estados Unidos pone mayor atención.

Los retos que enfrentará el nuevo Secretario de Estado, quien asumirá su cargo en enero próximo, son los mismos que han atraído completamente la atención de la política exterior estadounidense: las tensas relaciones entre Israel y los países árabes, la presencia de tropas estadounidenses en esa región de Oriente Medio, la amenaza constante de Corea del Norte, y mantener los nexos con sus importantes aliados en Europa y Asia son algunos de los temas que seguirán como prioridad en la agenda del nuevo Secretario de Estado.

El presidente Obama se ha mostrado públicamente en contra de las guerras, pero también habla de mantener el liderazgo y fuerza militar de su país, como una forma de promover la paz mundial, un discurso que han repetido tanto presidentes republicanos como demócratas.

Hay que recordar, además, que se trata del segundo período de Obama, por lo que cabe esperar que se produzca una eficaz continuidad, sin ningún cambio significativo en su visión sobre Latinoamérica, Europa, Asia, África o el Oriente Medio. Kerry dará esa continuidad y estabilidad en la política exterior norteamericana.

En cuanto a Guatemala, no es significativa la importancia que se concede a las relaciones, y seguramente los temas más importantes seguirán siendo los migrantes y el narcotráfico, dos preocupaciones permanentes en las que se puede trabajar de manera conjunta. Estamos, pues, ante un cambio, sin cambiar de rumbo.
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