Chinese National Health Report Predicts: A Complete Overtake of America by 2049

Published in Guangming Daily News
(China) on 09 January 2013
by Yin Xiang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Mollie Gossage. Edited by Kyrstie Lane.
On Jan. 8, in Beijing, the Chinese Academy of Sciences National Health Research Group issued its first “National Health Report.” National health is the area in which China surpasses America the most, and it is also the most important form of “capital.” China only has to continue building its domestic aspects to fit the foreign, strengthening physical health and nurturing the nation’s “spirit of vitality,” and it is estimated that by the year 2049, it will certainly be able to comprehensively surpass the United States, thus realizing the great rebirth of the Chinese people.

“If the 20th century is said to be the American century, then the 21st century will be the Chinese century. This is not the naive optimism of subjective imagination; it is based on pragmatic assessments of Chinese and American national health.” This recently released National Health Report proposes a “roadmap” and “timetable” for China’s overtake of America: in 2007, China’s national health had already surpassed America’s. It is estimated that in 2019, China’s total economy will surpass America’s, and that in the year 2049, which is the 100th anniversary of the establishment of New China, the nation will achieve international status beyond that of the United States.

The report’s analysis gives diagnoses and assessments of Chinese and American national health: both sides’ “national physique,” “national eating habits,” “lifestyle” and “life cycle stages” — these four aspects find significant differences. Among them, that America is a “consumer” nation and a “parasite” nation, whereas China is a “production” nation and a “labor” nation. America is experiencing “menopause”: with physical aging and decline, conservative narcissism and frightened anxiety, it is easily susceptible to menopausal syndrome. China, meanwhile, is experiencing “puberty”: with fast growth and a fast pace, it is rich in dreams, seeking change and innovation, optimistic and confident, and prone to encounter growing pains.

On the whole, America is still a country guided by wealth and power: according to the assessment standard for “comparatively healthy” countries, America not only is unhealthy but also has a severe “health overdraft.” China’s national health is of the “standard growth” model. Although over the next forty years it may still have a lot of “skeletons in the closet,” and on the path of growth it may yet encounter a variety of unexpected complications and “development illness” vexations, the future outlook is bright. Surpassing America is only a matter of time.

The Chinese Academy of Sciences National Health Research Group Team Leader Yang Duo said that Chinese civilization has the quality of “development dividend” output: after comprehensively surpassing America in 2049 and realizing the “Chinese Dream,” China certainly must not imitate America’s role as “the world’s police,” but rather must become “the world’s doctor,” making a greater contribution to the development and progress of human civilization.


中科院国家健康报告预计:2049年将全面超越美国

  中国科学院国家健康研究组8日在北京对外发布《国家健康报告》第1号称,国家健康是中国超越美国最大、也是最重要的“本钱”,中国只要坚持内修外适、强身健体、善养国家“精气神”,预计到2049年,就一定能够全面超越美国,实现中华民族伟大复兴。

  “如果说20世纪是美国的世纪,那么21世纪将是中国的世纪。这不是天真乐观的臆想,而是基于中美国家健康状态事实求是的研判。”这份最新出炉的国家健康报告提出中国超越美国的“路线图”和“时间表”:2007年,中国国家健康就已超越美国;预计到2019年,中国对美国实现经济总量的超越;预计到2049年,新中国成立百年时,实现国际地位超越美国。

  该报告分析指出,诊断和预判中美国家健康,双方在“国家体质”、“国家食性”、“生存方式”、“生命周期阶段”四方面有显著不同。其中,美国是一个“消费型”、“寄生型”国家,而中国是一个“生产型”、“劳动型”国家;美国处于“更年期”,肌体老化衰退,保守自恋,恐慌焦虑,易患更年期综合症,中国则处于“青春期”,长得快跑得快,富于梦想,求新求变,乐观自信,易遭遇成长期的烦恼。

  从整体上看,美国仍然是一个以“财富型”和“力量型”为主导的国家,按“比健康”的国家评判标准,美国不仅不健康,而且“健康透支”严重。中国国家健康状态属于“达标成长型”,虽然未来40年“家里”还有许多“难念的经”,成长道路上还会碰到各种意想不到的艰难曲折,还会遭遇各种“发展病”的困扰,但前途光明,超越美国只是时间长短问题。

  中科院国家健康研究组组长杨多贵研究员表示,中华文明具有输出“发展红利”的特质,2049年全面超越美国实现“中国梦”之后,中国也一定不学美国当“世界警察”,而要当“世界医生”,为人类文明发展进步作更大贡献。
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