Obama's Popularity Among Young People in Free Fall

Published in Le Monde
(France) on 17 June 2013
by Corine Lesnes (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Grace Norman. Edited by Bora Mici.
If he was one of the only leaders to be re-elected despite the economic crisis, it is because his compatriots trusted him. Whatever their opinion of his policies, the American people had a good personal opinion of Barack Obama.

The National Security Agency's mass surveillance on global communications, the pursuits against journalists or the targeting of tea party groups by tax services have eroded this sympathy capital — the rate of likeability, or one of the leading measures of a politician — if one believes the political commentators.

In just a month, according to an opinion poll published by CNN Monday, June 17, Obama has seen his approval ratings fall by eight points, settling at 45 percent, his lowest score in 18 months.

Even more importantly, it is with young people that Obama has lost the most ground, having lost 17 points in a month among those younger than 30, his approval ratings deteriorating to 48 percent, the first time they have fallen below 50 percent in this category.

The number of Americans who say he is "honest" has fallen to nine points or 49 percent. Obama is paying for the impression of doublespeak and for the cover-ups of the most recent affairs. Trust was his main asset.

Six out of 10 Americans disapprove of how he handled the revelations of the surveillance program on citizens — even if, on the topic of the program itself, Americans are divided, if we are to believe the first opinion polls published after Edward Snowden's escape to Hong Kong, the first "Western dissident."

Among those in the Facebook generation, the disaffection is remarkable. This is combined with a rise in hostility toward state authority. Sixty percent of those aged 18 to 34 think that the federal government has become so powerful that it poses "an immediate threat" to the rights and freedoms of its citizens. However, we are talking about a generation that hides nothing on the Internet.

Yes We Scan

The "Yes We Can" president obviously has not succeeded at convincing the public. Before leaving for Europe, he gave an interview, which was broadcast Monday evening on Charlie Rose, the host of "intellectual" shows on PBS. Obama spoke about the NSA's wiretapping and of authorizing the delivery of arms to the Syrian opposition, another decision that did not fare well — 70 percent of Americans opposed it, according to the Pew Research Center.

On the subject of electronic surveillance, the president looks down his nose at the critics. They have reproached him for being "a radical leftist." They are "comparing him now to Dick Cheney," he notes — a shocking turn to the previous vice president, even though it may have been said in passing because Edward Snowden also invoked him by assuring that being treated as a traitor by Dick Cheney is an "honor."

Obama assures us that his main concern has always been to put in a place a system with enough safeguards.

"I've set up a privacy and civil liberties oversight board, made up of independent citizens including some fierce civil libertarians," he recalls, while announcing a vast national debate. The hitch is that the commission still has not been convened because it lacks some of its members.

Finally Barack Obama assures us that his compatriots — as well as the Europeans — have to understand that all of these surveillance programs are allowed in order to foil attacks on the U.S. and "also elsewhere." The head of the espionage, James Clapper, has to publicize these examples, so that they can be studied.

And he formally reminds us: Americans have nothing to fear. "If you are a U.S. person, the NSA cannot listen to your telephone calls, and the NSA cannot target your emails without a warrant."


S'il a été l'un des seuls dirigeants réélus malgré la crise économique, c'est parce que ses compatriotes lui faisaient confiance. Quelle que soit leur opinion de sa politique, les Américains avaient plutôt une bonne opinion personnelle de Barack Obama.

La surveillance massive des communications mondiales par la National Security Agency (NSA), les poursuites contre les journalistes ou le ciblage des groupes Tea Party par les services des impôts ont érodé ce capital de sympathie (le taux de "likeability", qui est l'un des critères prépondérants pour un homme politique, si on en croit les politologues).

En un seul mois, selon un sondage CNN publié lundi 17 juin, Barack Obama a vu son taux d'approbation chuter de huit points pour s'établir à 45 %, le score le plus bas depuis dix-huit mois.

Plus significatif encore : c'est chez les jeunes que Barack Obama perd le plus de terrain, avec - 17 points en un mois chez les moins de 30 ans ! Son taux d'approbation régresse à 48 %, la première fois qu'il tombe sous les 50 % dans cette catégorie.

Le nombre d'Américains qui le disent "honnête" a baissé de 9 points (à 49 %). Barack Obama paie l'impression de double langage et de dissimulation issu des dernières affaires. La confiance était son principal atout.

Six Américains sur dix désapprouvent la manière dont il a géré les révélations sur la surveillance des citoyens (même si, sur le programme lui-même, les Américains sont partagés, à en croire les premières enquêtes d'opinion publiées après la fuite à Hongkong d'Edward Snowden, le premier "dissident occidental").

Dans la génération Facebook, la désaffection est spectaculaire. Elle s'accompagne d'une montée de l'hostilité envers l'autorité étatique.
60 % des 18-34 ans pensent que le gouvernement fédéral est devenu si puissant qu'il pose "une menace immédiate" aux droits et aux libertés des citoyens. Il s'agit pourtant de la génération qui ne cache rien à l'Internet.

Yes we scan

Le président "Yes we can" n'a manifestement pas réussi à convaincre le public. Avant de partir en Europe, il a donné une interview à Charlie Rose, l'animateur du show "intello" de PBS, qui a été diffusé lundi soir. Obama parle des écoutes de la NSA et de l'autorisation de livrer des armes à l'opposition syrienne, une autre décision qui passe mal (70 % des Américains sont contre, selon le Pew Research Center).

Sur la surveillance électronique, le président prend de haut les critiques. On lui a reproché d'être "un gauchiste invétéré". On le "compare maintenant à Dick Cheney", note-t-il (étonnant retour de l'ancien vice-président, soit dit en passant car Edward Snowden l'a aussi évoqué en assurant qu'être traité de traître par Dick Cheney est un "honneur").

Barack Obama assure que sa préoccupation principale a toujours été de mettre en place un système possédant suffisamment de garde-fous. "J'ai mis en place une commission des libertés civiles et données privées composée de citoyens indépendants, dont des radicaux libertariens virulents", rappelle-t-il en annonçant un vaste débat national. L'ennui c'est que la commission n'a pas encore été réunie, faute d'avoir tous ses membres...

Enfin, Barack Obama assure que ses compatriotes (ainsi que les Européens) doivent comprendre que tous ces programmes de surveillance ont permis de déjouer des attentats aux Etats-Unis et "ailleurs aussi". Le chef du rensieignement, James Clapper, doit rendre public ces exemples, afin qu'il puissent être étudiés.

Et il le rappelle formellement : les Américains n'ont rien à craindre. "Si vous êtes Américain, alors la NSA n'écoute pas vos conversations téléphoniques et ne cible pas vos emails privés à moins d'un mandat judiciaire."
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