Snowden Not to Blame for Ups and Downs in Sino-US Relations

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 26 June 2013
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Iman Ng. Edited by Hana Livingston.
In allowing Edward Snowden to leave as a free man, Hong Kong garnered openly vocal objections from the United States. These objections made it clear that the affair will impact the United States’ relations with China. As for Snowden's final place of refuge, that is still anyone’s guess.

So should China arrest Snowden on behalf of the U.S. and meekly extradite him to stand trial back home? Never mind that China would never bother — there is well-nigh no government around the world that would be willing to oblige.

Events and circumstances surrounding Snowden have always been shrouded in mystery that the average person would be hard-pressed to decipher. Such a dramatic cause célèbre was bound to arouse great sensitivities for China and America, no matter what choices were made. It is implausible that Chinese and U.S. diplomatic authorities have never consulted each other in private concerning Snowden’s fate. In principle, matters ranging from Snowden’s method of departure, to his destination, to what kind of treatment he receives ought to be acceptable to both China and America. The management and outcome of this episode should neither spur great celebration and fanfare for one side nor induce utter dejection and humiliation for the other.

Thus there is one analysis which makes, at minimum, logical sense. By complaining, the U.S. conveniently allows both countries to ease their way out of the problem. It reassures the Chinese public that Hong Kong never yielded to American pressure, while lending credence to U.S. opinion that Washington still holds the upper hand and that Obama’s government will not give in simply because China has a role in these events.

The Snowden affair clearly doesn’t detrimentally impact Sino-U.S. relations. If this were the case, then the bilateral relationship, which features the largest volume of global trade and is a supporting pillar for peace in the Asia Pacific, is nothing more than hogwash. One possibility is that Snowden’s case handed Chinese and American diplomatic authorities the perfect opportunity for intense back-and-forth communications. In addition, both sides believe that they have avoided the worst case scenario coming to fruition.

But if Sino-U.S. relations do take a turn for the worse, then Snowden is probably not the one to blame, as there is never a shortage of reasons for relations to go sour. The actual state of bilateral relations depends on both sides’ resolve and ability to make concessions out of respect for, and not in spite of, each other.

The “behind the scenes” details of the Snowden affair can certainly be worked into all kinds of TV drama, but the global public is most interested in the fundamental facts, as follows: First, Snowden fled to Hong Kong from the United States. Aided by the territory’s press freedom, Snowden exposed his government’s violation of citizen privacy and its organization of cyberattacks targeting networks from multiple countries. Hong Kong then neither extradited Snowden to the U.S. nor offered him long-term political asylum. With his American passport invalidated, however, Snowden was still able to leave the territory for a third country in a normal fashion. Now, the latest suspense surrounds his final choice of destination and how well-executed this process will be.

The U.S. government has already lost ground by having irreparably damaged its political reputation. From now on, it shouldn’t even think of lecturing other countries about Internet ethics from its supposed moral high ground. Its identity as the Internet’s biggest bandit and thief is clear for all to see.

In snatching Snowden back for a heavy sentence, the U.S. is merely shooting the messenger as a warning and to scare potential traitors. But if America gets its hands on Snowden, it will stir up a new storm of global public opinion, which will most certainly shift in the helpless youngster's favor — Snowden will be viewed as a martyr for Internet freedom. Consequently, the more rational choice for America is to suppress Snowden’s influence from now on and refrain from provoking him, while managing the matter in a low-key way.

The U.S. has proven that its hegemony is very much alive, but it would be well-advised not to try to test it, as the integrity of its monopoly on power is not a well-tested fact. By bullying China, Russia and Internet users worldwide, the U.S. is ultimately bullying itself. It would be best for the U.S. to even stop bullying Snowden and perhaps save itself a little more face.


美国对香港“放走”斯诺登公开表达强烈反对,认为这将对中国同美国的关系产生影响。而究竟哪里是斯诺登的最终避难地,仍然扑朔迷离。

中国应当帮美国逮捕斯诺登,然后乖乖地把他引渡给司法当局?莫说中国不会这样做,世界上愿​​意这样做的政府恐怕鲜有。

围绕斯诺登的事情始终罩着一层迷雾,普通人很难完全看懂。这么轰动的事件,任何选择对中美都很敏感,如果说中美外交当局私下没就斯诺登的命运做过磋商,让人难以思议。从道理上说,斯诺登如何离开香港,去哪里,他受到什么样的对待,应是中美双方都能接受的。这件事的处理结果不能是一方弹冠相庆,另一方输个精光。

因此有一种分析至少在逻辑上是通顺的,即美国的“抗议”是给中美双方都铺一个台阶:它让中国公众确认香港当局没有向美国的压力屈服,也让美国舆论相信,华盛顿仍然保持着强势,不会因为事情涉及到中国,奥巴马政府就会妥协。

斯诺登事件显然不足以影响中美关系,那样的话,支撑着世界最大贸易量之一、而且已是亚太和平支柱的中美关系就成了纸做的。有一种可能是,斯诺登事件恰恰提供了中美外交当局密集沟通的机会,而且双方都认为他们避免了不希望看到的最坏结局。

如果过几个月中美关系真的出现“恶化”,那大概怪不着斯诺登。中美之间永远不缺把两国关系掀翻的理由,中美关系的实际好坏取决于两国因为看重对方而将那些理由“大事化小、小事化了”的决心和能力。

斯诺登事件的“内幕过程”可以编成形形色色的连续剧,但对世界公众来说,最重要的还是一些基本事实。它们是:斯诺登从美国出走香港,利用那里的新闻自由条件向世界揭露了美国政府侵犯公民隐私权、并且组织针对多国网络攻击的实情。之后香港政府没有把斯诺登引渡给美国,也未做他长期的政治避难所。斯诺登在美国护照作废的情况下得以“正常离开”香港,前往第三国。新的悬念是他最终选择落脚哪里,以及这个过程是否顺利。

美国政府已经输了,它的政治名誉损失无法挽回,它休想今后继续站在道德高地上对各国的互联网道德指手画脚。美国是互联网上最大的“盗”和“匪”已被世界看清。

美国要抓回斯诺登治重罪,唯一能做的是出口气,“杀鸡儆猴”,吓唬潜在的背叛者。但美国如果真的抓住斯诺登,必将引发新的舆论风暴,世界舆论毫无疑问将站到那位绝对弱势的青年一边,他将被看成互联网自由的殉难者。因此对美国来说更理智的选择是抑制斯诺登今后的影响力,同时也不招惹他,将事情“低调处理”。

美国已经证明自己的霸权还存在,但它千万别试图证明自己的霸权依然完好无损。因为后一点不是事实。美国如果逼中国,逼俄罗斯,逼全世界的互联网使用者,它就是在逼它自己。它最好连斯诺登也别再逼了,这样它能多保全一些自己的颜面。
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