What China Can Learn from the Fall of the 'American Way'

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 15 November 2013
by Chen Guangwen (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
In a feature entitled "Five Years of President Obama: Squandered Credibility," the Voice of Russia reminded listeners that when Obama took office five years ago, he promised peace with the Muslim world, signaled a desire to "reset" relations with Moscow and assured human rights activists of his intent to shutter Guantanamo Bay. But the broadcast further suggested that the Libyan and Syrian crises demonstrate that the U.S. military-industrial complex cannot survive without war and that the Middle East has now become a “graveyard for the prestige of Barack Obama.”

“Add to the failure of the Middle East ‘targeted killings’ with drones in Pakistan and Afghanistan, stopping of the ‘reset’ with Moscow and now with the scandal of wiretapping the leaders of the European Union — and the picture of Obama's foreign policy becomes altogether joyless,” the report claimed. Both Americans and their partners are quietly losing faith in Obama and the nation that he leads; as a consequence, America’s status as a power is waning.

Obama, whom many believed would achieve great things during his second term, at present still appears to be entrenched in the George W. Bush administration's hard-line policies. He has pressured and denounced Syria, leveled a never-ending slew of sanctions and criticisms at Iran, upheld a policy of isolating North Korea and seized upon the return to Asia strategy as an opportunity to incite neighboring countries against China as a form of containment. However, although the aforementioned policies retain the guise of remaining under the guiding hand of the U.S., in the eyes of the U.S. and its allies, they are simply bywords for the incompetence of Obama and the powerlessness of his nation.

Internally, Obama has run up against countless political challenges and setbacks since taking office. Apart from the economic crisis, his promised health care reforms have not borne fruit, nor has Guantanamo Bay been closed. Yet the greatest fiascoes have been Edward Snowden’s leaks throughout the PRISM affair and the financial crisis forcing a government shutdown.

The PRISM affair in particular has corroded the image of the "world savior" U.S. and its staunchest allies to the point that other countries avoid them like the plague. "The American way" is no longer seen as the golden standard, meaning that its adherents may find the path considerably more difficult to follow; America’s international sphere of influence has also been greatly diminished.

A preponderance of evidence has already shown that regardless of the will of Americans, the United States' capability to mold the world according to that will has all but vanished. Although its past allies remain respectful of it, they will no longer fall in line as easily; even a fistful of dollars may not be enough to buy the influence it might expect. Time will tell whether or not NATO will continue to follow U.S. leadership. For that to happen, NATO member states must further be willing to look beyond Europe and redefine NATO's mission.

However, even if the U.S. is in decline, the decay of its power will not necessarily be uninterrupted, nor does it mean that the U.S. cannot change its fortunes entirely, as reasonable adjustments and reforms always present opportunities for some degree of improvement. Therefore, the problem before us is that if the U.S. retains its power, then it must learn to temper its brash nature; if it continues to decline, then the world must plan out a new road map to follow.

In the eyes of many around the world, what the U.S. lacks is not strength, but rather a mechanism to concentrate that strength; not the means, but rather the executive force to implement those means; and certainly not intelligence and wisdom, but rather the channeling of that intelligence and wisdom toward bolstering cooperative efforts rather than the good of one's own party.

But at present, the U.S. may have already become hopelessly ensnared in the quicksand of internal strife, and thus been drawn into a re-enactment of history. History shows that all things which rise must eventually fall in the end; the U.S. can no more escape that fate than any other. Let us hope that China takes to heart the lessons to be learned from the successes and failures of the U.S. and forges ahead into a bright and promising future!


“俄罗斯之声”广播电台以“奥巴马5年执政:信任感渐去渐远”为题称,5年前,奥巴马上台执政,他向伊斯兰世界承诺和平、向莫斯科发出“重启”关系的信号、向人权卫士表明要关闭关塔那摩监狱。但利比亚和叙利亚危机表明,美国的军工企业没有战争无法生存,中东地区已成埋葬奥巴马声望的坟墓。

  此外,与莫斯科关系“重启”的停滞以及对欧盟国家领导人的监听丑闻,使奥巴马的外交前景变得暗淡无光。无论是美国人还是美国的伙伴都在悄无声息地对他以及由他率领的美国失去信任,与此相伴随的,是美国的大国地位正在消沉。

  本来应在第二任期大有作为的奥巴马,目前似乎仍在施行小布什政府时期的强硬政策,对叙利亚进行严厉的指责和打压,对伊朗进行永无尽头的批评和制裁,对朝鲜继续保持着不接触和冷观的政策,对中国利用战略重返亚太的机会给予围堵和挑唆恶邻围攻……但是所有上述这些,虽然看似仍旧是美国在主导,但在美国以及其盟国看来,简直是奥巴马无能美国无力的代名词。

  在美国的内政上,奥巴马执政以来遇到的重大挑战和挫折也不胜枚举,除经济危机外,他承诺的医疗改革也没有实现,关塔那摩监狱也未关闭,最大的丑闻则是斯诺登曝光的“棱镜门”事件,美国的财政危机也使政府一度关门。

  特别是不久前的棱镜门事件,使美国“救世主”和铁杆盟友形象日趋淡化,甚至成为各国躲避不及的“危险源”。“美国模式”不再被视为圭臬,意味着那些追随美国的国家很难再对其心悦诚服,美国的国际影响力也由此大打折扣。

  不管美国人愿意不愿意,诸多事实已证明,美国按照它的意愿来塑造整个世界的能力已经弱不禁风。虽然曾经的盟友依旧尊敬它,但却不再对它唯命是从,而即使是大把的美元也不能够买来预期的影响力。北约组织能否如美国所愿,也还需要时间的证明,而且更需要北约各成员国有意愿走出欧洲并重新定义北约曾经的宗旨。

  然而,即使美国正在走向衰落,并不意味着美国实力直线下滑,也不等于美国就不会扭转乾坤、实现中兴,因为合理的调整与变革总会带来不同程度的转机。所以问题是,假若美国仍会一枝独秀,那么美国就要改改自己的脾气和德性;假若美国衰落日甚一日,那么世界就要设计一幅新的路线图。

  在很多国家看来,美国不缺少力量,缺少的是把力量凝聚在一起的机制;美国不缺少办法,缺少的是落实办法的执行力;美国更不缺少聪明才智,缺少的是将聪明才智更好地用于加强协作而不是为党派争利。

  但如今美国或已陷入无尽的内耗之中,也已进入历史规律的轮回之中,从历史来看,任何事物没有长盛不衰的,美国也不会脱离这一怪圈。希望中国认真吸取美国成功与失败中的经验教训,在一条光明的康庄大道上加速前进!

  (陈光文,海外网专栏作者)
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