Obama ‘Loses’ to Putin Because of Internal Affairs

Published in Guangzhou Daily
(China) on 23 December 2013
by Hanzhen Liu (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Diana Xin. Edited by Sean Feely  .
On Dec. 19 and 20, Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Barack Obama each held separate end-of-year press conferences to review their political achievements of 2013. According to media evaluations from around the world, Putin was the big winner on this year’s international political stage, whereas Obama was named the biggest failure. This year, both Putin and Obama acted as the presidents of two major powers, and both have covertly pulled the strings of and gambled with at least three hot issues of international concern. In the end, however, Putin took the upper hand, gaining in both fame and fortune.

First, during the Syrian chemical weapons conflict, the two men displayed their merits and faults, as one acted with wit and the other with might. Obama used military force to threaten the Syrian government, while Putin advocated a political solution, suggesting that Bashar [Assad] surrender [his] chemical weapons, ultimately helping Syria avoid a U.S. military strike.

Second, on the Edward Snowden issue, Putin occupied the high moral ground. As a result of Snowden’s "betrayal," the ugly business of the U.S. wiretapping and eavesdropping was leaked to the whole world. The Obama administration offended countless allies, while Russia has continued to provide political asylum to Snowden, still refusing to extradite him today.

Moreover, Putin has moved slowly and strategically in the area of Russian and NATO relations, consolidating and restructuring allies at every step. In Russia-Ukraine relations, Putin has delayed the process of Ukraine’s entrance into the European Union, thus improving Russia-Ukraine relations. In confronting the long-term threat from NATO, Russia took a substantial step by placing defensive missiles along its borders. At the same time, the secretary-general of NATO urged Europe to increase spending on defense, in light of the threat of a U.S. withdrawal from the organization. This exposes the divisions that have arisen within NATO.

The reason the U.S. has been at a disadvantage with regard to these three issues can be partially attributed to its domestic affairs. When the Syrian conflict began, the U.S. needed to establish equilibrium in the Persian Gulf, but, when Obama requested that Congress authorize an attack on Syria, he met many difficulties. He was bound to the "red line" that he himself drew, and yet the American people were widely against military action, so Obama seemed at a loss for action in terms of dealing with Syria. While it seemed that Snowden was to be blamed for exposing the PRISM program and prompting the number of eavesdropping and wiretapping scandals that followed, what ultimately happened was that the American people, believing their privacy was threatened, began to resent Obama. And finally, with regard to NATO, the U.S. has brought up the issue of money, but the underlying reason for this is its weak domestic economy and financial constraints. This is also the reason why the U.S. has recently allowed its European allies to take the lead in the Middle East, even while it tries to spread its "Obama doctrine."

Obama botched far more than just these three issues in 2013. For instance, when he advocated for the implementation of a gun control bill, he met with strong divisions, both among citizens and between the two political parties. The gun control bill was destined to be stillborn. Obama’s "marketplace" health care reform was another instance of a tyrant forcing his will. Yet, in the end, because of the website’s frequent crashes, Obama lost face and even admitted himself that the health care reform was not handled well. In the final quarter of the year, the two parties faced off in a heated battle regarding the annual budget, leading to a government shutdown. It is no wonder that U.S. media have called this "the worst year of Obama’s presidency."

When Obama was just beginning his second term in January 2013, his approval rating was as high as 55 percent. By the end of the year, it had dropped to 41 percent, matching former President George W. Bush’s lowest approval rating on record. Why is there such a disparity between the two numbers? From an economic perspective, the U.S. has been gradually losing its position as the absolute world leader since the subprime lending crisis. From the perspective of U.S. domestic politics, strife and infighting between the two parties have weakened U.S. mobility and the enforcement of both domestic and foreign policy.

In contrast, whether with internal or external affairs, Putin has continued with his straightforward and man-of-steel style. It is no wonder that in the Forbes ranking of the "Most Powerful People of 2013," Putin was able to unseat Obama for first place.


12月19日和20日,俄总统普京和美总统奥巴马分别举行年终新闻发布会,为2013年各自的政治表现“背书”。从全球媒体的评价看,普京堪称是今年国际政坛舞台上的大赢家,奥巴马被美媒评为年度最失败的政治人物。纵观全年,普京和奥巴马作为两个大国总统,至少在三大国际热点中暗自博弈,结果是普京占据上风,名利双收。
  首先,在叙化武问题上,两人“一文一武”,优劣自显。奥巴马以武力威胁叙政府,普京却主张政治解决,建议巴沙尔交出化武,最终让叙利亚免受美国军事打击。
  其次,在“斯诺登议题”上,普京占据了道义的高点。由于斯诺登的“叛变”,美国政府窃听全球的丑事,得以暴露于天下,奥巴马政府得罪盟友无数,俄方却为斯诺登提供政治庇护,至今拒绝将其引渡。
  再次,在俄和北约关系方面,普京“步步为营、重塑盟友”。在俄乌关系上,俄罗斯缓住乌克兰入欧的脚步,俄乌关系正在改善;面对北约的长期危险,俄走出实质性一步,公开在欧盟边境布置导弹;与此同时,北约秘书长却以美国退出北约为威胁,敦促欧洲增加国防经费,这暴露了北约内部出现的分歧。
  可以看出,奥巴马在上述三大议题中处于劣势的原因,都可以部分归结于美国国内。在叙利亚问题上,尽管基于美国在海湾战略平衡的需要,奥巴马要求国会授权攻叙,但受到国内限制重重:一方面受自己所画“红线”所制,另一方面国内民众普遍反战,奥巴马在对叙动武的问题上显得束手无策。“棱镜”的曝光以及牵扯出来的系列窃听丑闻,表面看是“叛徒”斯诺登所赐。但究其结果,大量美国民众因为隐私受到威胁,开始反感奥巴马。在与北约关系方面,美国提出“钱”的问题,最根本的原因就是国内经济疲软、财政拮据,这也是美国政府近年在中东一系列事件中奉行“奥巴马主义”,让欧洲盟友走在前头的原因。
  2013年让奥巴马焦头烂额的事情远不止以上三个。比如,他力主推行的“控枪法案”遭民意分歧和党派争斗的双重打击,“控枪法案”几乎注定胎死腹中;奥巴马的“重磅卖点”医保改革,也在一片争议声中“霸王硬上弓”,最后却因医保网站故障频出,奥巴马颜面尽失,他自己都坦言医保“办砸了”。临近最后一个季度,两党关于财政预算的斗争白热化,一度导致美国政府关门。难怪美媒评论称,奥巴马经历了“糟糕的一年”。
  2013年1月,奥巴马刚开始第二任期时,支持率还高达55%,至年末已降至41%,平了前总统小布什创下的最低支持率纪录。为何有如此悬殊的对比?从经济的角度看,次贷以来的美国,正在逐渐失去“财大气粗”的绝对霸主地位;从美国国内政治看,两党分裂和内斗,进一步削弱了美国对内外政策的机动性和执行力度。
  相比之下,无论对内还是对外政策,普京都在延续其一贯的率性与硬汉风格。2013年《福布斯》公布的全球权力人物榜中,普京能把奥巴马“拽下”第一的位置,似乎也是自然而然的事情。
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