Hillary Clinton is gaining ground as the potential Democratic candidate for 2016.
The predictions have come to pass. The Republicans won the U.S. general elections by a large margin, in governors’ races as well as in races for other public offices. With the midterm elections out of the way and two more years to go, President Obama must now lead the U.S. government for the rest of his term, alongside a Congress that he isn’t too friendly with. Such is the U.S. political system: one of checks and balances.
Likewise, there were a few changes that have not been analyzed with due consideration. People didn’t go out to vote. There was neither massive participation nor sufficient enthusiasm. This is what the pattern has been like in these types of elections, but not to a very large extent. Second, the number of elected professional politicians decreased, since the majority is made up of industrial stakeholders and businessmen, and women from the financial world and virtual reality. Third, it happens that senators and congresspeople on the Republican side largely adhere to the most pragmatic and isolationist tendencies in the party, with an evident decrease in the number of ideological enthusiasts of the grandiloquent Tea Party movement.
On the Democratic side, it remains clear that Hillary Clinton is gaining ground as the party’s potential candidate for the 2016 presidential elections. Only a personal decision would stop her from going down this road. Being the Clinton flag bearer for her party, she would have to separate herself from the Obama legacy and could paradoxically bank on a weak rival resulting from a strong and intense internal campaign, given the many different Republican presidential contenders.
In short, the U.S. Democratic process has overcome a new round of politics, where the only clear loser is the current tenant of the White House. In failing to get his party re-elected and meet his objectives, the U.S. president is now left with the sole task of writing his memoirs.
Adiós a Obama
Hillary Clinton se fortalece como la potencial candidata demócrata para el 2016
Se cumplieron los pronósticos. Los republicanos ganaron ampliamente los comicios parlamentarios, de gobernadores y de otros cargos públicos por elección en Estados Unidos. Superado el "mid term" y con dos años por delante, al presidente Obama le toca ahora gobernar por el resto del período con un Congreso que no le simpatiza. Así es la política estadounidense: un sistema de pesos y contrapesos.
De igual modo, se dieron algunos cambios que no se han analizado con la debida atención. La gente no fue a votar. No hubo una masiva participación ni el suficiente entusiasmo. En una elección de este tipo el patrón ha sido así, pero no en tan grandes proporciones. En segundo lugar, se redujo la proporción de políticos profesionales elegidos ya que la mayoría son empresarios de la industria y hombres y mujeres de negocios ligados al mundo financiero y a la realidad virtual. En tercer lugar, trasluce en el lado republicano que sus senadores y diputados pertenecen de manera significativa a la corriente más pragmática y aislacionista de ese partido, observándose una reducción del número de entusiastas ideológicos del altisonante movimiento del "Tea Party".
Del lado demócrata, queda claro que Hillary Clinton se fortalece como la potencial candidata de esa organización para los comicios presidenciales del año 2016. Sólo una decisión de carácter personal la quitaría de ese camino. De ser la Clinton la abanderada de su partido, tendría que desligarse del legado de Obama y paradójicamente contaría con un débil competidor producto de una intensa y fuerte campaña interna, dado los numerosos y variados aspirantes presidenciales republicanos.
En síntesis, el proceso democrático de Estados Unidos ha superado una nueva ronda política, en donde el único perdedor neto es el actual inquilino de la Casa Blanca. Sin poder reelegirse y sin haber logrado sus objetivos, al presidente estadounidense sólo le queda comenzar a escribir sus memorias.
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