China Likely Next to Land in Wall Street’s Sights

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 30 December 2014
by Jiang Yong and Li Gujing (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Stephen Proctor.
The Russian economy has fallen into dire straits in recent days. While militarily Russia remains the match of the United States, the same cannot be said of its financial strength. Unlike unilaterally-driven development of military might, nurturing a nation's finances requires close cooperation between winners and losers. Since the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Russia has proactively promoted economic "financialization" under the guidance of Western experts and theory, and foreign capital has flooded every sector of the Russian economy. The United States' financial advantage is one that Russians themselves have helped Americans build, and one that is now being used in countering Russia's own weapons. It is based on these meticulous preparations of the past that the financial battles of today are waged.

It is worth noting that as the West continues to spar with Russia, China will not simply sit idly on the sidelines. Relations between the two Asian nations grow closer by the day, and both have been the recipients of increasingly strident U.S. admonitions. While a stubbornly uncompromising Russia is holding the attention of the United States for the time being, a rapidly growing China has become a constant thorn in the side of U.S. hegemony.

The authors of this article have a penchant for watching "Animal Planet," and have found that as lions grow hungrier, they exhibit less interest in small animals and correspondingly more in zebras, hippos and other large prey. The 2008 U.S. financial crisis did not bring about a so-called "market zeroing" effect, and with elevated risk and other problems building up within the U.S. economy (including the financial apparatus of Wall Street) to increasingly alarming levels, market players made a strategic decision to divert this risk and shift the crisis onto the shoulders of others. With the rapidly changing landscape of Eastern Europe and dissolution of the Soviet Union, the salivating lions of Wall Street ensnared not a hippo, but an elephant, and the golden days of that "new economy" lasted for over a decade. Now, however, those same Wall Street tycoons are standing at the brink of a new crisis, and they sorely need to find a new elephant to fill their empty bellies.

And taking a look around the planet, it would seem that China fits the bill quite nicely. For several years now, sweeping financial liberalization has reinvigorated the growth of the Chinese economy, and the price of Chinese assets has been increasingly determined by foreign capital. This foreign investment has reached every corner of China's economy, resulting in the virtualization of assets, dramatically increasing their liquidity. As the yuan has become an international currency, the nation's capital account has come only a step away from being completely open, with financial regulation existing only in name. Financial liberalization and the financialization of the economy has made what in the past would be localized and structural risk into far-reaching and systemic risk today; a single spark can catch on the wind and spread like wildfire.

The biggest problem is that we have yet to consciously sense the impending financial and economic crisis. Instead, we are still patting ourselves on the back for our burgeoning economy that is now "comfortably second, with an eye to take the lead," as Lu Xun warned us in the past: boasting how fat one is is not a problem for the lion, but the same cannot be said for the pig or the goat. In this time of instability and crisis, with financial battles and color revolutions raging across the world, we are still speaking to ourselves of some fabled strategic opportune moment. By doing so, we will only paralyze ourselves, and will not attract foreign capital investment.

Across the world, Western-launched and led color revolutions (with the United States at their head) are trending toward the extreme, and have now reached a critical flash point. On one side of the world, a color revolution rose on the streets of Hong Kong, while on the other the bigwigs of finance kicked back and reaped the profits through stocks and exchange. This is only a prologue and a rehearsal for the main event, a fact to which many more Chinese should take heed. Little do they realize that the flames of the next financial war are already on the rise, and that China must now be at its most vigilant.


近一段时间以来,俄罗斯经济形势日益严峻。俄罗斯有着与美国旗鼓相当的大棒——军事力量,却恰恰缺乏美国拥有的另类杠杆——金融力量。与军事力量单方面发展不同,金融力量的培育需要挨打者的紧密配合。苏联解体以来,俄罗斯在西方专家与理论的指导下,积极施行经济金融化,国际金融资本渗透到俄罗斯经济各个领域。美国对俄罗斯的金融优势,是俄罗斯人自己帮助美国人制造出来的,如今用以对付自己的有力武器。正因昔日的精心布局,方有今天的金融开战。

  值得关注的是,西方对俄罗斯发起金融战,中国不可能置身事外。中国与俄罗斯关系日趋紧密,同受美国日趋严重的“关照”。个性倔强的俄罗斯只是美国眼下的在背之芒,而快速成长的中国正在成为美国霸权的长久之痛。

  笔者喜欢看“动物世界”,有趣地发现,狮群越是饥饿的时候,对小动物越是不感兴趣,而对捕杀斑马、水牛等大型猎物的欲望越强烈。2008年美国金融危机没有实现所谓的“市场清零”,风险与问题依旧郁积在美国经济体(包括华尔街金融机构)内部,而且日益严重,因此转移风险、转嫁危机成为华尔街的战略选择。东欧剧变、苏联解体,饥饿的华尔街狮群获得的不只是一头水牛,而是一头大象,如此“新经济”的好日子过了十多年。时下,处于新危机边缘的华尔街巨头急需捕杀另一头大象,以填补它们的辘辘饥肠。

  环顾世界,中国高度契合华尔街要捕获的那头大象。多年来,如火如荼的金融自由化刷新了中国经济积累与增长方式,中国的资产价格决定权越来越多地由国际金融资本决定;国际投机资本渗透到中国经济的每个角落,将中国各类资产虚拟化,使之具有充分流动性;在人民币国际化的驱动下,资本项目离完全开放也仅有一步之遥,金融监管名存实亡;金融自由化、经济金融化使得昔日的局部风险、结构性风险如今被改造成系统性风险,一旦局部生出星星之火,风助火势,很可能火烧连营。

  最大问题是,我们尚未意识到迫在眉睫的金融与经济风险。不仅如此,我们还在炫耀所谓坐二望一的成长业绩。鲁迅先生曾经告诫:倘是狮子,夸说怎样肥大是不妨事的;如果是一头猪或一只羊,肥大倒不是好兆头。在动荡与危机、(金融)战争与(颜色)革命于世界越来越显著之际,我们依旧在自说自话地描绘“战略机遇期”的愿景。然而,这只会麻痹自己,哄不了国际投机资本。

  在世界,以美国为首的西方发动与主导的金融战争与颜色革命愈演愈烈,而且已是兵临城下,火烧家门。这边厢香港街头搞起颜色革命,那边厢金融大鳄在股市汇市通过做空大把捞钱。这只是一个序幕与预演,国人对此似乎重视不够。殊不知,新一轮金融战火已经燃起,中国需要高度警惕。▲(作者分别是国家战略研究中心研究员、武汉市社科院学者)
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Mexico: The Network of Intellectuals and Artists in Defense of Venezuela and President Nicholás Maduro

Ireland: We Must Stand Up to Trump on Climate. The Alternative Is Too Bleak To Contemplate

Germany: The Tariffs Have Side Effects — For the US Too*

Peru: Blockade ‘For Now’

Topics

Peru: Blockade ‘For Now’

Japan: US President and the Federal Reserve Board: Harmonious Dialogue To Support the Dollar

Austria: The EU Must Recognize That a Tariff Deal with Trump Is Hardly Worth Anything

Mexico: The Network of Intellectuals and Artists in Defense of Venezuela and President Nicholás Maduro

Hong Kong: Cordial Cross-Strait Relations Will Spare Taiwan Trump’s Demands, Says Paul Kuoboug Chang

Germany: The Tariffs Have Side Effects — For the US Too*

Ireland: We Must Stand Up to Trump on Climate. The Alternative Is Too Bleak To Contemplate

Canada: Carney Takes Us Backward with Americans on Trade

Related Articles

Thailand: Appeasing China Won’t Help Counter Trump

India: Will New US Envoy Help to Repair Ties under Threat?

France: Global South: Trump Is Playing into China’s Hands

Zimbabwe: What the West Doesn’t Understand about China’s Growing Military Might

Sri Lanka: Trump Is Very Hard on India and Brazil, but For Very Different Reasons

1 COMMENT

  1. The cause of Hong Kong’s unrest is China’s desire to perpetuate its “one party” state and to deny the people of Hong Kong the “universal suffrage” they had been promised. Instead China wants to limit Hong Kong’s candidates to only those approved by the Chinese Communist Party. Just like the requirement for approval of candidates by the Ayatollah in Iran, that limitation makes a farce of democracy and universal suffrage.