China-CELAC Forum Does Not Undermine the US

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 9 January 2015
by Wang Youming (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Stephen Proctor.
From Jan. 8-9, the first ministerial-level meeting between China and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States was held in Beijing, marking a new beginning and laying the groundwork for "upgraded" relations between the two sides.

However, many in the foreign media have opined that China intends to utilize the China-CELAC talks to counter the United States' "Asian rebalancing strategy" in its own back yard, claiming that China's plan in extending its reach to Latin America is not only to gain access to raw materials, but also to gain a foothold in U.S. geostrategic territory. Others have asserted that the China-CELAC forum can only benefit one power at the expense of the other; that is, that Latin American countries will become more reliant upon China and correspondingly less so upon the United States, and that Latin American states will use this to erode U.S. control and influence in the region.

Quickly-warming relations between China and Latin America have indeed taken some Americans outside of their comfort zone, but U.S. politicians and academics are well aware that the China-CELAC talks will not undermine U.S. strategy. Also, the United States has not voiced strong opposition to closer ties between the two sides.

Cooperation between China and Latin America in sensitive areas has been carefully managed so as not to strike any U.S. nerves. China and Latin America have taken particular care to ensure that collaboration in military and security affairs are small in scale, step and action. One could say that it has all been well within the bounds of geopolitical propriety, and the United States has accordingly not overreacted or made strategic misjudgments. Added to the mix has been a series of Russian moves on the board. Russia has inflated its military presence in Latin America, seeking to establish naval supply bases in Cuba and Argentina, flying long-range bombers on patrol through the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico and putting the intelligence-collecting warship Viktor Leonov in to port at Havana. These actions have caused considerable alarm within the United States, and have been interpreted by the U.S. media as a Russian return to Latin America.

China is not establishing links with only those Latin American states that oppose the United States, but making friends of all Latin American nations. In particular, China has not aligned itself ideologically with the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America; the choice to establish a partnership rather than an alliance has allowed the United States to breathe a sigh of relief.

Putting all the ballyhoo about the "China threat theory" aside, there are voices that suggest a "positive Chinese element" within warming Chinese-Latin American relations. Adherents to this viewpoint maintain that China's charm offensive in Latin America not only will not constitute a threat to U.S. interests, but will also, in fact, be of benefit. They first argue that the Chinese "express train" heading to Latin America will help create greater prosperity and openness in the region. Second is the prospect that a sharp rise in Chinese demand for Latin American mineral resources and staples will power Latin American economic development and lighten the United States' own burden of propping up the region.

They argue that even if China holds many more interests in Latin America, the U.S. position and general dynamics in the region will remain unchanged. The U.S. need not fear a gradual rise of the "Chinese element;" this is because China simply cannot match the geopolitical advantages or economic, political and cultural relationships of the United States in Latin America, and would therefore make for a poor understudy. The U.S. and China will not clash or oppose each other in Latin America. China will not sacrifice U.S.-China relations for the sake of establishing ties with Latin America, and the U.S. should not, and need not, overreact to the Chinese element.

The author is director of the Department for Developing Countries Studies at the China Institute of International Studies.


首届中国—拉共体论坛(中拉论坛)部长级会议于1月8日至9日在北京召开,中国和拉美将迎来双方关系发展的新起点,为打造中拉关系“升级版”提供了得力“抓手”。

  然而,不断有外媒炒作称,中国有意借助“中拉论坛”在美国所谓的“后院”实施反制“亚太再平衡战略”,声称“中国的触角伸向拉美的意图不仅在于获取原材料,而是意在嵌入美国的地缘战略版图”,并断言:“中拉论坛”将产生“一升一降”的结果,即“拉美国家对中国的倚重将进一步增强,对美国的依附随之降低,拉美国家将打‘中国牌’来削弱美国对拉美的掌控力和影响力”。

  中拉关系快速升温,的确引起美国一些人的“舒适度”降低,但中拉论坛是不是挖美国墙脚,美国政界和学界心知肚明,总体而言,中拉走近并未引起美方的强烈反弹。

  中拉在敏感领域的合作“稳妥而谨慎”,并未触动美国的敏感神经。尤其是中拉军事、安全领域的合作“规模小、步子小,动作小”,可以说分寸拿捏恰当,美国并未过度反应而出现战略误判。对比俄罗斯近来的一系列动作。俄加大在拉美的军事存在,寻求在古巴、阿根廷建立海军补给据点;远程轰炸机巡航加勒比海和墨西哥湾;情报收集军舰“维克托·列昂诺夫”号停靠哈瓦那港口。上述举动引起美国的高度警觉,被美国媒体解读为“俄罗斯重返拉美”。

  中国并不只与拉美的反美国家走得近,而是与所有拉美国家打交道、交朋友。尤其是中国并未与“美洲玻利瓦尔联盟”建立意识形态同盟,这种结伴而不结盟的策略着实让美国松了一口气。

  事实上,中拉关系升温,在美国国内除有“中国威胁论”鼓噪外,还有一种“中国积极因素”的声音。这种观点认为,中拉关系迅猛升温不但不会对美国利益构成威胁,反而有利于美国。一是中国快车开进拉美,有助于建立一个更加繁荣和更加开放的拉美地区。二是中国对拉美矿产资源和大宗商品需求的快速增长带动了拉美经济发展,有助于减轻美国帮扶拉美发展经济的负担和压力。

  他们表示,尽管中国在拉美的经济利益迅猛增加,但并未改变美国在该地区的地位和地区总体格局。美国无需担心日益增长的“中国因素”,这是因为:在拉美,美国拥有中国无法比拟的地缘优势及经济政治文化联系,中国无法扮演美国在拉美的角色。美中两国不会在拉美迎头对撞和对抗,中国不会以牺牲美中关系的代价发展同拉美的关系,美国不应和不必对中国因素做出过度反应。▲(作者是中国国际问题研究院发展中国家研究所所长)
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1 COMMENT

  1. You have it quite right. America is not opposed to China’s trade expansion in Latin America, nor in Asia, nor in Africa. We are a free-trading nation and we recognize others rights. We and China are not adversaries. We welcome China’s peaceful rise and their participation in world affairs. China’s vast oceanic territorial claims are another matter and hopefully can be handled peacefully. And of course, we believe that China will only achieve true greatness if it moves to a more democratic system of government, the rule of law and freedom for its people.