US Seeks To Offload Cost of Hegemony on Allies

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 13 February 2015
by Chen Jimin (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Nicholas Eckart.
A short time ago, the Obama administration released the second National Security Strategy of its tenure. The document serves as an overview of the administration's foreign affairs strategy and policy direction, and is divided into four sections: security, prosperity, values and international order. The topics are the same as those under the portion dedicated to advancing U.S. interests within the 2010 iteration of the report.

The new edition of the National Security Strategy is continued evidence that Obama does not turn to military measures lightly. This caution is both compensation for and a reflection upon the previous Bush administration's misuse of military power, as well as a necessary product of the Obama administration's own military strategy and attempts to parcel out the burden of responsibility. In February 2012, the United States released a new military strategic guide entitled "Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense." In analyzing the basis of changes to the modern international security environment and threats to U.S. security, it explicitly referred to a need for a shift in military strategy and efforts to create a capable and flexible military force that can be readily adapted to new security challenges. Of course, even this is only a temporary measure for the administration, as it must dedicate further finances to the revitalization of the economy, the true source of U.S. power.

In the 2011 Libyan Civil War, the "leading from behind" policy adopted by the Obama administration won clear results. Through this, the United States came to realize that even without large-scale military deployments, it can realize its strategic goals by strengthening cooperative relationships with its partners and allies and acting in a leadership role when necessary. By doing so, it can lighten the burden of U.S. hegemony while at the same time guaranteeing the continued existence of that same hegemony, and has therefore become a key feature of Obama's international strategy. In his new National Security Strategy, Obama expressed a desire to utilize collective action, and not unilateral action, to protect the United States' core interests. He emphasized that the United States is "stronger when we mobilize collective action."

The truth is that at present, moving with caution is simply the wisest strategy for the U.S. government. This is because the United States currently lacks imminent threats to its security, its responsibility-sharing coalition strategy has gained considerable results and its interests around the globe have not suffered as a consequence. In international strategy, at least, the Obama administration has been somewhat withdrawn and relatively low key, reallocating resources toward helping the U.S. economy recover.

But in this, it has also undertaken certain risks. The primary risks for the United States are twofold, with the first part lying in the confidence of its allies. Both European allies and Asian ones like Japan harbor concerns about Obama's international strategy, especially as they have all come under security pressures of their own. Obama has stressed many times that the United States will honor its security promises to its allies. In other words, the loyalty of its allies to the coalition is a factor of how many security benefits they stand to receive in the bargain. The second risk is that the United States will likely be pulled into regional disputes and conflicts. In order to gain the trust of its allies, the United States will occasionally need to take substantive action on behalf of those allies and partner nations in international disputes, including providing military armaments, deploying sophisticated weapon systems to certain regions, and holding joint military exercises. The U.S. government is seeking a balance between its obligations from agreements with allies and avoiding involvement in regional conflicts.

In sum, this all arises from the need to maintain U.S. power and its continued position as global leader. Obama is well aware that without the support of the coalition that this system provides, the United States would be hard pressed to keep its claim to that leadership. But from this perspective, it also seems likely that we will never again see a return to an age where the United States is "second to none."

The author is an associate research fellow at the CPC Central Committee Party School's Institute of International Strategic Studies.


近日奥巴马政府发布任内第二份国家安全战略报告。这份报告体现了奥巴马政府一以贯之的外交战略思想与政策指针。新国家安全战略报告共分为四大部分,即安全、繁荣、价值观与国际体系。这四大部分的划分与2010年发布的国家安全战略报告中对美国国家持久利益的界定是一致的。

  新国家安全战略继续展现了奥巴马慎重运用军事手段的思想。这一思想既是对前任小布什政府滥用军力的一种校正与反思,也是奥巴马政府推行责任分担战略与军事战略转型的需要与体现。2012年2月,美国发布新军事战略指南,即《维持美国的全球领导地位:21世纪国防的优先任务》,其中在分析了当前国际安全环境变化与美国安全威胁的基础上明确提出要实现军事战略转变,致力于打造一支精干、灵活,能够适应新安全挑战的军事力量。当然,奥巴马政府这么做也是一种权宜之计,因为它必须将更多的财政资源投入到经济振兴之中去,这才是美国实力的源泉。

  2011年利比亚战争中,奥巴马政府所采取的“幕后领导”策略取得明显成效。这使得美国认识到,即便在不动用大规模军事力量的情况下,通过加强与盟友和伙伴的合作关系,甚至在某些情境下发挥它们的主导作用,也能实现美国的战略意图。这样做既能分担美国的霸权成本,又能保障美国的霸权利益,从而成为奥巴马国际战略的一个重要特点。在新国家安全战略报告中,奥巴马表示要运用集体行动,而非单边行动来维护美国的核心利益。他强调,“当我们展开集体行动之时,我们变得更为强大”。

  实际上,谨慎从事是美国政府当下比较明智的战略:一方面,美国并没有遭遇到迫在眉睫的安全威胁;另一方面,美国责任分担式的同盟战略收效颇大,美国的全球利益未受损害。奥巴马政府在国际战略上部分收缩与相对低调,换取到为美国经济复兴提供更多资源。

  不过,这也需要承担一定风险。对美国而言,其主要风险来自两方面:其一是盟友对美国的信心。无论是亚洲盟国日本,还是其欧洲盟友,对于奥巴马政府的国际战略都保持着高度关切,尤其是在各自都面临安全压力的情形之下。奥巴马政府多次强调,美国将保证对盟友的安全承诺。换言之,盟友对待同盟的忠诚度来自于它能从联盟中获得多少安全收益。其二美国可能会被动卷入地区争端与冲突之中。为取信于盟友,美国有时需要以实际行动支持其盟友或伙伴国在国际争端中的利益诉求,如向部分盟友提供军事装备、将尖端武器系统部署到相关区域、与其盟国开展军事演习,等等。美国政府要在对盟友的条约义务与力避介入地区冲突间找到平衡。

  总之,这一切都出于维护美国强大、可持续的全球领导地位的需要。奥巴马很清楚,如果没有同盟体系的支持,美国要想保持其全球领导地位殊非易事。从这个角度来说,美国“独步天下”的时代已难再现。▲(作者是中共中央党校国际战略研究所副研究员)
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