More about Obama’s Offer

Published in Prensa Libre
(Guatemala) on 15 February 2015
by Mario Antonio Sandoval (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Tristan Franz. Edited by Nicholas Eckart.
President Obama's offer of $1 billion per year for five years to Central America remains valid after officials in Washington met with ambassadors from Guatemala, El Salvador and Honduras, as well as the Inter-American Development Bank, to prepare the "Plan of the Alliance for Prosperity in the Northern Triangle." However, the president's proposal certainly comes with the possibility of failure, due mainly to U.S. electoral politics. The Republicans simply don't care about living conditions in Central America and only look to discredit Obama and make him out to be a liar in order to avoid another Democratic win in the next election.

It's impossible not to think of Plan Colombia when talking about Obama's offer. Those billions of dollars are equal to what the U.S. spends in just one day on military operations in the Middle East. From the point of view of the U.S., a billion dollars isn't so much a modest as a laughable amount of money, albeit dramatically important for Central America, especially over five years. Not everyone is behind his plan, though, and if Congress — with a Republican majority — decides to scrap it, the president will once again look like a man whose hands are tied, which will actually hurt Republicans and be helpful to whomever the next Democratic candidate is.

The announcement has clear internal political motives to finance the Latino vote. If Congress' majority party wasn't currently led by its most hardheaded members, they might have taken advantage of the chance to criticize the president for the number being too small. But they won't. It's too subtle. To Central America, however, the "modesty" of the offered aid does not go overlooked, as the region has suffered so much as a result of its proximity to the United States and its brute politics, the Cold War, and problems of drug trafficking, in part caused by Plan Colombia.

Not very long ago, the whole world was exposed to the scandal of the thousands of children crossing the southern border of the U.S., many coming from Central America's Northern Triangle. The reaction wasn't the best, in part because it caught U.S. authorities off guard, which is why so many children were left in inadequate facilities. The coordinated action of local authorities and ambassadors from Mexico and Central America helped lower the rate of these cases, and the topic faded out of the media's spotlight. But illegal immigration continues, as living conditions in parts of Central America can truly be hell-like, forcing many to risk it all and travel on the famous train, "The Beast."

I agree that it is necessary to control corruption and that a stable legal system must be in place for private investment to begin. If there were more jobs in the Northern Triangle, immigration to the U.S. would decrease. Terrific. But giving money isn't the only answer: Buying products is also key. Guatemalan coffee is now gourmet and its entire production (600,000 pounds) is bought by Europe and by Starbucks, the largest coffee chain in the world. That has helped create and sustain more small and medium-sized businesses. Doing away with Obama's plan would be a huge political mistake. In the meantime, out of the meeting of the Inter-American Development Bank came promises that will be almost impossible for the governments involved to keep. That's the good news.


EL TEMA DE LOS MIL millones anuales por cinco años ofrecidos por el presidente Obama a Centroamérica, mantuvo su vigencia al saberse de las reuniones realizadas en Washington por altos funcionarios y los embajadores de Guatemala, El Salvador y Honduras con el Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo, para preparar el “Plan de la Prosperidad del Triángulo Norte”. Se debe tener en cuenta la posibilidad del fracaso de esa solicitud presupuestal del mandatario, debido a razones de política interna electoral. A los republicanos simplemente no les importa nada las condiciones de vida del Istmo y solo desean desprestigiar y dejar como mentiroso al actual mandatario, para evitar un triunfo demócrata en las próximas elecciones.


MARIO ANTONIO SANDOVAL
ES IMPOSIBLE DEjar de pensar en el caso del Plan Colombia, cuando se habla de la oferta del presidente Obama. Esos mil millones de dólares equivalen a un solo día del gasto de Estados Unidos en operaciones militares en el Medio Oriente. Al hacer esa comparación, no resulta una cifra modesta, sino irrisoria para la perspectiva de Estados Unidos, aunque sea dramáticamente importante para el Istmo, sobre todo porque será dinero otorgado en cinco años consecutivos, es decir, cinco mil millones. Por aparte, la idea presidencial no las tiene todas consigo, si el Congreso —de mayoría republicana— lanza la idea al cesto de la basura. En ese caso, el mandatario quedaría como alguien a quien le amarraron las manos, lo cual causará daño al partido opositor y sería beneficioso para la victoria de quien sea el candidato demócrata.

EL ANUNCIO PRESIDENcial tiene claros objetivos políticos internos para afianzar el voto hispano y causar problemas a los hispanos de ese partido. Si el partido ahora mayoritario en el Congreso no estuviera manejado ahora por los más recalcitrantes, hubiera aprovechado para criticar al presidente porque la cifra es muy pequeña. Pero no lo harán. Es demasiado sutil… El punto de vista centroamericano (la otra cara de la moneda), señala precisamente esa “modestia” de la ayuda, sobre todo porque a Centroamérica le tocó y le ha tocado sufrir en mucho la cercanía geográfica con Estados Unidos, por la política del gran garrote, la Guerra Fría y ahora la acción de los narcotraficantes, en parte por causa del éxito del Plan Colombia.

HACE POCO, MUY POCO, el mundo entero se escandalizó al saber del ingreso constante de miles de niños de corta edad por la frontera sur, muchos de ellos provenientes del Triángulo Norte de Centroamérica. La reacción no fue la mejor, en parte porque tomó desprevenidas a las autoridades estadounidenses, y por eso muchos niños pararon en instalaciones inadecuadas. La acción conjunta de autoridades locales y de los embajadores de México y de esa zona centroamericana provocó la disminución de los casos, y el tema desapareció de los medios de comunicación. Pero siguen los ingresos ilegales porque las condiciones de vida del Istmo llegan a veces a casos cuasi infernales, lo cual obliga a muchos a exponerse a todo, incluyendo viajar en el tren La Bestia.

ESTOY DE ACUERDO CON las exigencias de controlar la corrupción, y de exigir estabilidad legal para la inversión del sector privado. Si aumentan los empleos en el Triángulo Norte, disminuirá la emigración a Estados Unidos. Elemental. Pero no solo se ayuda dando dinero: también adquiriendo productos. El café guatemalteco es ahora gourmet y toda la producción, 6,000 quintales, lo compran Europa y Starbucks, la cadena de cafeterías más grande del mundo. A eso se debe agregar facilidades para empresas pequeñas y medianas. Derrumbar el plan del presidente Obama demuestra ceguera política increíble. Mientras, la reunión en el BID ha causado compromisos casi imposibles de incumplir por los gobiernos. Esa es la buena noticia.
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