If We Want to Annihilate the Islamic State, It’s Time for the UN to Act

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 19 November 2015
by Gu Mingfei (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yuzhi Yang. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
The terrorist attacks in Paris on Nov. 13 occurred only a month after the 70th anniversary of the founding of the United Nations; the timing of the two events provided a sharp contrast.

The U.N. was formed in 1945; its main objectives were to “maintain international peace and safety,” “stop acts of invasion,” and ”facilitate international collaborations,” etc. However, when faced with threats of terrorism, the Islamic State, the Syrian crisis, the European refugee crisis, etc., the organization is at a loss about what to do.

Organizational issues with the U.N. are exposed when it is facing nontraditional security problems, especially terrorism. We can see two problems with the U.N.’s reactions to dealing with problems like Syria and the Islamic State group.

First, more and more countries are circumventing the Security Council and launching military operations. In 2011, Britain, France, and the U.S. jointly overrode U.N. authorization to overthrow the Gadhafi regime. In 2014, the U.S. used the excuse that the Assad administration was illegal to skip U.N. authorization and launched airstrikes in Syria. Similarly, after the Paris terrorist attacks, the French government used self-defense as the reason to increase attacks on the Islamic State group.

Second, the U.N.’s main purpose is to facilitate the relationships between countries. However, while dealing with nontraditional international entities like the Islamic State group, the U.N. lacks effective legal weapons and political means. Even though the U.N. passed the U.N. Global Counter-Terrorism Strategy on Sept. 8, 2006, set up a global list of terrorist organizations, and encouraged the International Monetary Fund, World Bank and Interpol to attack these organizations’ sources of money and weapons, its effectiveness has been limited.

In order to annihilate the Islamic State group, most Western military analysts believe in the following two criteria.

First, there needs to be a military presence on the ground. Currently, only Kurdish fighters and Syrian government forces are there. Airstrikes alone are unable to defeat the Islamic State group, but the possibility of various countries sending ground forces to fight the Islamic State group is miniscule.

Second, to solve the Islamic State group problem, the Syrian problem needs to be fixed first. The USA, Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Syria all need to sit down together and look for a political solution that everyone can accept, even though this would mean a diplomatic failure for Western countries, especially France.

Based on historical precedent, for the U.N. to solve any international crisis, all involved countries (especially the five permanent members of the Security Council) have to agree, which is true for the Islamic State group problem as well.

For a long time, Western countries, Russia and Iran have had fundamental differences on whether the Assad administration is legitimate. Some countries even believe that as long as the Islamic State group did not attack them, it could be a useful political tool, which has led to the current crisis.

After the Paris terrorist attacks, all the countries are beginning to reach a consensus on the necessity and urgency for annihilating the Islamic State group, which would provide a way in which the U.N. could be effective in its role.

The author is a visiting scholar in France.


“11·13”巴黎恐袭距离9月27日联合国成立70周年纪念大会,仅一个多月。这形成一个突出的对比。

  联合国自1945年以来,主要目标是“维护国际和平及安全”、“制止侵略行为”及“促成国际合作”等,但在面对“恐怖主义”、“伊斯兰国(IS)”、“叙利亚危机”、“欧洲难民潮”等问题时,却一筹莫展。

  面对一些“非传统安全”问题(特别是“恐怖主义”问题)时,联合国体制的缺陷被暴露无遗。透过联合国在处理叙利亚及IS问题上的表现,可以看到,它当前面临两大困境:

  一是,越来越多的国家开始绕开联合国安理会,直接开展军事行动。比如,2011年,英法美联军超出联合国授权范围,直接推翻了卡扎菲政权。2014年美国以“阿萨德政权为非法政府,所以不需要联合国授权”为借口,开始在叙利亚境内展开空袭。“11·13”巴黎恐袭后,法国政府再次以“正当防卫”为由,加强对IS的打击力度等等;

  二是,联合国的主要作用是处理国与国的关系,在面对IS这种非传统国际法主体时,缺乏有效的法律武器和政治手段。尽管联合国于2006年9月8日通过了《联合国全球反恐战略》,建立了一个国际恐怖组织名单,并鼓励国际货币基金组织、世界银行和国际刑事警察组织打击恐怖组织的经济和武器来源,但效果有限。

  而要彻底打败IS,大部分西方军事专家都认为,必须满足两个条件:

  一是必须派地面部队(目前主要是靠库尔德武装和叙利亚政府军实施地面进攻),靠空袭是无法打败IS的,但当前各国派出地面部队的可能性微乎其微;

  二是解决“IS问题”的前提是解决“叙利亚问题”,美、俄、伊、沙特、叙等国必须要坐下来,寻得一个各方都可以接受的政治解决方案。而这对西方国家特别是法国来说,意味着一个重大的外交失败。

  但从历史经验来看,处理任何一个国际危机,联合国要发挥作用的前提是相关国家(特别是5个安理会常任理事国)能就解决方案达成一致。在IS问题上,亦是如此。

  长期以来,西方国家与俄、伊在“阿萨德政权的合法性”问题上存在根本性分歧。甚至,某些国家认为只要IS不攻击本国,就是可以操纵的政治工具,结果“引火烧身”。

  因此,在“后11·13巴黎恐袭时期”,各国对消灭IS的必要性和紧迫性终于趋向达成共识,而这才开始有了联合国发挥作用的基础。(作者是旅法学者)
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