Blame for Global Instability Hounds Obama and Clinton

Published in United Daily News
(Taiwan) on 14 August 2016
by Chen Nengjing (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Melanie Rehfuss.
Donald Trump recently thumbed his nose at U.S. President Barack Obama by claiming that the president was the "founder" of the Islamic State group, the Republican nominee threw his adversary Hillary Clinton into the bargain as well, for being Obama's right-hand woman. And although we may often dismiss or disapprove of such electoral gamesmanship, particularly that which emanates from the mouth of Trump, deeper rumination on the Middle East policies of Obama and former Secretary of State Clinton does seem to warrant a wag of the finger toward the duo for the chaotic state of international politics seen today.

The series of terrorist attacks in recent years has unquestionably been born of the Syrian civil war. As the democratic movement of the Arab Spring in 2011 swept through Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen, Syria, and areas of the Middle East, the United States surprisingly chose to stand on the sidelines as an observer in Syria, allowing the Damascus demonstrations to evolve into armed conflict and, eventually, a full-blown civil war. Over the past half-decade, the war has fueled the growth of the Islamic State group, a terrorist organization, and generated an influx of refugees into other countries, quietly changing the world as we know it.

The Islamic State group was created and cut its teeth in Iraq but, after taking advantage of the Syrian conflict to mount an incursion and seize territory to establish its "caliphate," it has become the largest and wealthiest international terrorist organization ever to exist. Its reach spans from North and West Africa to the Arab Peninsula and South and Southeast Asia, and major terrorist attacks attributable to it have occurred in Paris, Brussels, Istanbul, Dhaka, Jakarta; California and Florida in the United States; and the state of Bavaria in Germany. The Islamic State group has quickly risen to become the single greatest threat to international security today, with an estimated 40,000 youths from all over the world reported to have joined its ranks, becoming jihadi fighters who eventually return to embed themselves as latent threats in their home countries and societies.

The refugee crisis arising from the Syrian civil war saw over one million refugees pour into Europe last year, and as the human tide continues with no end in sight, the European Union's inconsistency on policies for managing refugees has been a sharp blow to the political stability of its member states.

In Germany, for example, troubles first arose with refugee-related sexual assault cases in the city of Cologne on New Year's Eve. That was followed by over five incidents categorized as terrorist attacks last month, pointing to woefully inadequate refugee policies. In response, German Chancellor Angela Merkel drafted laws that would revoke citizenship for German former Islamic State group members, prohibit Muslim women from wearing burkas, and create 4,600 new job postings for police — measures of somewhat questionable efficacy when it comes to actually curbing terrorist attacks.

After the Paris terrorist incident in January of last year, did France not also adopt similar anti-terrorism measures only to suffer continued attacks in Paris, Nice, and Normandy? These types of actions not only unduly expand the power of government and erode the fundamental rights of citizens, but will also engender even greater distrust and animosity between immigrants and their host nations, decreasing societal security and sparking political upheaval. As refugees who have settled in Europe find their dreams and expectations dashed upon the rocks of isolation and estrangement, their disappointment may become resentment toward European society and lead them down the path of extremism.

The United States still commands a singular position of leadership within the international landscape of the 21st century, and its president's background, education, upbringing, and experience will determine the capabilities of the nation when it comes to foreign policy and crisis management. In less than 100 days the new leader of the United States will be decided, and it is unknown exactly how well the various governmental departments and agencies understand either Trump or Clinton. In any event, for the sake of one's own life and property, what is clear is that those Taiwanese looking to travel or invest outside of the country would do well to acquaint themselves with the sobering reality of growing international terrorism.


川普日前指稱,美國歐巴馬總統是「伊斯蘭國」創建人,並指責對手希拉蕊是其同夥。我們可以不相信、不認同選舉語言,特別是出自川普之口,但細思歐巴馬與時任國務卿希拉蕊的中東政策,他倆確實該為今日紛亂的國際政治負責。
年 來恐攻連連,敘利亞內戰是其根源。二○一一年初阿拉伯之春民主運動,突尼西亞、埃及、利比亞、葉門、敘利亞等中東諸國望風披靡;但美國卻獨對敘利亞採觀望 態度,致大馬士革示威活動演變成武裝衝突,最後成了名副其實的內戰。五年來,滋養了恐怖組織「伊斯蘭國」(IS),也製造各國束手無策的難民潮,敘利亞內 戰正悄悄改變世界。
IS誕生、成長於伊拉克,但利用敘利亞內戰之際,攻城略地,終至「建國」,他是史上最強大、最富有的國際恐怖組織,勢力 範圍已含蓋北非、西非、阿拉伯半島、南亞及東南亞,在巴黎、布魯塞爾、伊斯坦堡、達卡、雅加達、美國加州、佛州、德國巴伐利亞邦等地發動重大恐攻,IS已 是國際安全的最大威脅;另估計有四萬名各地年輕人加入IS,日後這些聖戰士回到母國後,將成為國家、社會最嚴重的潛在威脅。
敘利亞內戰製造難民危機,去年有超過百萬難民湧入歐洲,今年難民潮仍源源不絕,且看不到盡頭,歐盟各國對處理難民政策及措施不一,衝擊會員國的政治安定。
以德國為例,先有跨年夜科隆的難民性侵案,後有上月的五起「類恐攻案」,證明難民政策的瓦解與失敗。為此,總理梅克爾擬透過修法,取消曾加入IS的德國人國籍、禁止女性穆斯林穿著蒙面罩袍、增設四千六百名警察職缺等,此種種措施真能有助於遏止恐攻?
去 年一月巴黎恐攻後,法國不也是採取類似防恐作為,但仍續有巴黎、尼斯、諾曼第等恐攻案,這種過度擴張政府權、限縮人民基本權利的反恐政策,只會在移民與接 受國間製造更多的不信任與對抗,徒增社會的不安及政治的不穩。另在歐洲安頓的難民,其孤立疏離及過高期待帶來的極度失望,將對歐洲社會產生怨懟,將成為潛 在恐怖分子。
廿一世紀的國際關係中,美國仍占有排他的主導地位,其總統的出身、學養及經歷決定美國的外交政策及危機處理能力。不到一百天, 美國新領導人即將出爐,不知政府相關部門及主事者對川普及希拉蕊了解多少?為個人的人身全及財產計,國人若想要出國旅遊或投資,也不可不知國際恐怖主義發 展現況。
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