An Examination of Internal Division in America’s Post-Industrial Society

Published in Baidu Baijia
(China) on 21 February 2017
by Yiwu Zhang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jia Liu. Edited by Elizabeth Cosgriff.
The conflicting images of Trump reflect social division between generations of the industrial age and those of post-industrial society.

Trump’s Conflicting Images

Recently it has been interesting to see Donald Trump being projected by the mainstream media and American society as an arrogant and autocratic tyrant as well as being ridiculed as an absurd and affected character. It seems that to his opponents, Trump is at once a tyrant and a clown. On the one hand, there’s the danger of his challenging the boundaries of presidential power, and on the other, there’s his laughable, nonpresidential clumsiness. This image, in fact, reflects a social structure riddled with cracks, in which Trump and those he represents lack the power of discourse.

Trump’s recent actions were a response to the wishes of his supporters in the U.S., such as his absolute no-comprise attitude toward immigration issues and his insistence on the return of industry and improving infrastructure. All these were met with fierce and unrelenting resistance from his opponents. The stark contrast between those who detest him and those who support him is obvious. This is the result of the sharp division brought on by globalization and post-industrial development in the West in recent years.

Generations of the Industrial Age and Those of the Post-Industrial Era

In the past, when people looked at the world and the United States, they looked at the gap between the rich and the poor; that is, the gap between the so-called 1 percent and the remaining 99 percent. This is, therefore, the basis for the demands of left-wing movements such as Occupy Wall Street. However, observation of the world and the U.S. is much less often approached from another angle, at a deeper level; that is, the division between the traditional “generations of the industrial age” and the new “generations of the post-industrial era.”

The classification of people here is based on their modes of production* and on the social forces in a specific social structure. The “generations of the industrial age” are people in relations of production dominated by major industries with manufacturing at its foundation since the Industrial Revolution.** They once included blue-collar workers and later became the middle class in the middle of the 20th century. In recent years, however, as outsourcing took place in a time of globalization and de-industrialization, they fell from being the pillars of society and ended up as its burden. Stubbornly holding on to old values, they felt thoroughly disappointed in the sweeping wave of globalization, and the majority of them were white people closely connected initially with industrial production. In the meantime, traditional industries, such as manufacturing, were faced with global expansion on the one hand, and transformation and upgrade on the other. The manufacturing industry, on the whole, was beginning to lose its importance in society, and so were industrial capitalists.

Since the 1970s, the entire technological evolution, from the revolution of personal computers to the internet and the mobile internet, has been joining forces with a profound change in values in the West, starting in the 1960s and centering on the absorption of left wing ideas. Together they formed a global driving force in the post-Cold War era. New industries revolving around the internet emerged on a large scale. And it was here that the generations of the post-industrial era were born. From programmers to bosses in Silicon Valley, for instance, people there could not be more different from people working in traditional industries, coming from all corners of the world and from a variety of racial and ethnic backgrounds, enjoying cultural diversity and benefitting from globalization.

These new industries attracted worldwide talent and extended these industries’ global reach so that people working in these industries were not stuck in any one place. Whether it was fledgling programmers or successful managers, they were all full of energy and believed they were the future. Additionally, they received all kinds of support from the intellectual elite and were backed by a whole set of “politically correct” views of “baizuo” and “shengmu” in the West beginning in the 1960s.*** The so-called high professions in the news industry, the entertainment industry and academia, including traditional media, Hollywood and universities, despite being originally based on solid industrialization, soon gravitated toward the generations of the post-industrial era and became their advocates. Ultimately, a deep chasm of contradiction appeared between the generations of the post-industrial era and the traditional generations of the industrial age, who lacked advocates, the power of discourse and social status.

This chasm does not only represent the gap between the rich and the poor, but also the widening gap between people in new industries and those in traditional ones. Even among the rich, those in conventional industries could not help but feel that their social status was sliding downward at dizzying speed and that their future was unpredictable. As a result, they found it easier to identify with those in the same industry. Similarly, when farmers and landlords in a traditional agricultural society were confronted with the impact of industrialization, they sided against workers or capitalists who represented industrialization.

This division can also be felt in a wide variety of problems. Take immigration for example. Overall, immigration is good news for the generations of the post-industrial society, so the strongest opposition to Trump’s immigration ban came from Silicon Valley. Immigration helps to attract talent from all over the world to industry as well as drive down the cost of labor. In the meantime, a diverse and inclusive culture helps immigrants integrate into the host society more easily. In this way, it helps ensure that the service industry and the manufacturing industry can better serve the new economy. However, the arrival of immigrants also threatens conventional jobs with more competition and has a deep impact on, even injures, the inherent values and views of the generations of the industrial age. American society, in recent years, has generally been gravitating toward the generations of the post-industrial era, catering to their interests and pursuits. Therefore, the entire mainstream elite in today’s America, the so-called “pro-establishment camp,” is in effect in the service of this new economic and social structure.

Who Holds the Key to the World?


Those who Trump represents and gathers around him are those from the traditional generations of the industrial age and he speaks to their needs, whereas the generations of the post-industrial society have little in common with Trump. Trump’s rise to power at this time is a symbol of a counterstrike by the generations of the industrial age. This counterstrike is powerful and has a huge impact. Trump has successfully mobilized supporters by taking advantage of the two challenges faced by the generations of the post-industrial era and their western mainstream advocates.

First, while the globalization process dominated by the Western mainstream group seems to succeed everywhere it goes, it has met a series of tremendous challenges in the Middle East and Western Asia. This has resulted in the thorny problems seen on our global landscape, such as widely spreading terrorism and continuous and difficult refugee situations. The initial concept that immigrants and refugees could be integrated into a multicultural society is now considered unlikely to materialize. New immigrant groups have had huge impact on Western societies, and to some degree, even shaken the West’s confidence in their idea of dominating the process of globalization. This is a massive setback for the initial concept of globalization.

Second, the dissatisfaction of the generations of the industrial age in the West has erupted. Formerly the pillars of Western societies, they are now staring into the pit of difficulty and becoming the unnoticed and silenced. Meanwhile, the lack of infrastructure, the escalation of racial and ethnic conflicts, and the incompatibility between political correctness and reality all pile on top of one another and feed into the dissatisfaction. All of Trump’s new policies are aimed at the interests of the generations of the industrial age.

But Trump’s words and deeds encounter fierce opposition from the generations of the post-industrial era, who represent new industries and the new social structure. Recent strong attacks from the media, Hollywood, universities and Silicon Valley are proof of such opposition, and even more so is the judicial resistance from the “pro-establishment camp.” Trump’s global image as a ridiculous and laughable freak has something to do with the style and methods of the traditional generations of the industrial age that are being detested. Trump is a tyrant, because his domineering style is completely incompatible with the diverse and mobile internet age where differences between classes have dissipated; he is a clown, because he is temperamental, absurd, abrasive and unreliable, someone that does not fit into today’s society.

The social contradiction he faces is structural, in America as well as in the world. As we can now see, the critical part of the contradiction are the internal conflicts in America, which also reflect the changes in industrial structures and societies around the world. Not only in the West but also in other regions, the conflicts and struggles between the generations of the industrial age and those of the post-industrial era are seen more frequently. (Take China for example. One frequently hears complaints from traditional industries against the internet and e-commerce.) Trump happens to give prominence to this global structural contradiction in a crucial country such as the United States. Ironically indeed, it is Trump who has picked the fruit of internet innovation, Twitter, and used it effectively, bypassing the constraints on him from the mainstream media and the establishment, speaking directly to his supporters and all of society. The fruits of internet innovation have also served and empowered traditional generations, and this is one of the interesting paradoxes of our time.

Therefore, conflicts like these will deepen in the future, as the internet develops further. In fact, looking back at our history, when agriculture was being threatened by industrialization from the 17th century to the 19th century, there were numerous forces opposing and attacking industrialization. Conservative forces, such as the machine-smashing Luddites, and radical left-wing forces with visions of a Utopian society were all results of the huge impact of industrialization. This kind of clash lasted a long time in history.

Today’s antagonism between the new internet-based economy and the traditional industry-led economy will also continue. The rise of Trump is also an important link in this process. The divide between the generations of the industrial age and those of post-industrial society is exactly one of the global symptoms. Since the 1990s, anti-globalization has been an important force, but the movement was mostly made up of leftists in the West protesting against damage to the world caused by globalization, followed by radical forces in a few developing countries, plus some extreme elements. This version of anti-globalization not only lacked an effective solution as a replacement, but also lacked real political and economic power to divert globalization onto a different path. It was far from being able to shake the foundation of post-Cold War globalization. But Trump, or rather the current forces rising in the West, including Le Pen in France, want to draw up a set of feasible and detailed plans prioritizing their nations’ real interests, similar to “America First.” From anti-immigration, which opposes the free movement of people, to clashes with established and politically correct mainstream values, they fully intend to see de-globalization materialize from all angles. Hence the impact will be colossal.

To sum it up, in America, who controls the situation will be key, and this is completely different from changing a president as in the past. This is not a matter of different political parties taking turns in the game, but an entirely different design of the future and a duel fought hard to decide which path to take, so it will be fiercer and no one can afford to lose, which increases the uncertainty. Who will have the say will determine people’s future and the world’s future path. And in 2017, the West is faced with a number of key national choices, which are also critical indicators. The uncertainty in the world is thus highlighted in the antagonism between the generations of the industrial age and those of the post-industrial society.

So, who will be the boss of the future?

*Translator's note: The author is referring to modes of production as a term in Marxism, meaning the method of producing the necessities of life.

**Translator’s note: The author is referring to relations of production as another term in Marxism, meaning the sum total of social relationships that people must enter into in order to survive, to produce, and to reproduce their means of life.

***Translator's note: The word “baizuo” is Chinese internet slang, literally translated as “white leftists.” It is used loosely, with a negative connotation, to refer to white left-wing liberals who support free movement of people, social welfare, gender/racial equality, diversity, freedom of religion and so on. The word “shengmu”is literally translated as “the Holy Mother.” Used by Chinese participants in online discussions to loosely refer to people who hold inclusive and tolerant attitudes toward social minorities and/or disadvantaged groups, sometimes even at the expense of their own interests.

The author is a professor in the department of Chinese language and literature at Peking University, China.






特朗普的矛盾形象,分裂在“工业化人群”与“后工业化人群”之间。

特朗普的矛盾形象

最近有趣的是特朗普被许多主流媒体和社会力量一面勾勒为一个暴君式的自大专断的人物,另一面却嘲笑为一个荒诞离谱夸张的角色。他似乎被反对者在暴君与小丑之间不断勾画。一面是比总统更大的危险,一面是不像总统的滑稽。这种勾勒其实投射了社会分裂和特朗普和他所代表的力量缺少话语权的结构。

特朗普最近的作为,反映出他对他的国内支持者的要求的回应。像对移民问题的强烈不妥协态度,对工业回流和基础建设的坚持等等。这都受到反对者的坚决的和顽强的抵制。厌恶他的和支持他的形成强烈的对立态度。这是这些年全球化和西方本身超越工业化的发展所带来的巨大分裂的结果。

“工业化人群”和“后工业化人群”

过去人们观察世界和美国,往往从贫富分化的角度,所谓1%和99%的分裂。所以像“占领华尔街”这样的偏左的诉求都是从这里入手的。但从另外一个更深层次的角度去观察的却并不多,就是传统的“工业化人群”和新的“后工业化人群“的分裂的角度去观察。所谓人群的划分,其实就是根据其所依赖的生产方式和社会结构所形成的社会力量。“工业化人群”是从工业化以来就有的以制造业为基础的大工业所形成的关系中的人群,这些人就是工人等,在二十世纪中叶成为了中产。在近些年的全球化和去工业化的产业外移中从社会的中坚逐渐变成了社会的冗余,他们固守本地,在这一波的快速的全球化中失落感很强,多数是原有的和工业生产紧密结合的白人。同时传统的制造业等一面是全球布局,一面是转型升级从总体上看制造业在整个社会中的地位下降,让从事这方面的资本家也地位下降。

二十世纪七十年代以来,从个人电脑革命到互联网和移动互联网的整个变革和二十世纪六十年代以来的西方的以吸纳左翼思潮为中心的价值观的深刻变革交汇,在“冷战后”形成了主导全球的力量。以互联网为中心的新产业在大规模升起。而在这里形成了新的人群就是”后工业化人群”,如硅谷的从程序员到大亨都和传统产业的从业者极度的不同,他们来自全球各地,多种族,文化取向多元化,是全球化的得益者。这些新产业也不断向全球吸纳人才和在全球布局,所以这些人都不是局限在一个地方的。无论是刚来的程序员还是成功的大亨都是朝气蓬勃,觉得自己代表未来,而是知识界的精英也从各个角度支撑他们,也有西方六十年代以来的“白左”“圣母”的”政治正确“的一套大观念的价值支撑。而像传统媒体、好莱坞、大学等原来在工业化基础上建立的新闻界娱乐业学术界等所谓”上层“行业,则迅速靠拢”后工业人群“,为之代言。这就产生了缺少代表者、话语权和社会地位的传统“工业化人群”和这些“后工业化人群”之间的深刻矛盾和分裂。

这种分裂不仅仅是贫富分化,而是新产业中的人和旧产业中的人的群体分裂。即使是富人,但在旧产业的结构之中,就会感觉自己所处的社会位置是在急剧下降,自己的未来也难以期待,从而产生一种和处于同一产业中的人的认同感。类似当年在传统业社会中的的农民和地主在工业化的冲击之下,都一起抵制工业化中的工人或资本家一样。这种分裂反映在各种问题之中,如移民,从总体上说对于”后工业化人群“是利好。所以硅谷最激烈地反对特朗普的移民禁令。这是为了一面吸纳全球人才,一面压低劳动力的成本。同时文化上的多元宽容让这些人能够快速融入社会。让服务业和制造业更能为新的经济服务。而这些人到来则一面让传统的工作被更多竞争挤压,一面在文化上冲击和伤害“工业化人群”的固有的价值和认同。这些年来美国的总体社会走向都是向”后工业化人群“靠拢,为他们的利益和诉求服务的。因此,美国今天被大家称为“建制派”的整个主流精英群体,其实都在为这个新的经济和社会结构服务。

谁之天下?

其实特朗普所代表的,所整合的就是传统的“工业化人群”,反映他们的诉求。而“后工业化人群”则和他格格不入。而这次特朗普上台就是“工业化人群”的绝地反击。这反击力道甚强,力度很大。他利用了“后工业化人群”和代表他们的西方主流遇到的两个挑战来有效地形成了社会动员。一是西方主流所主导的全球化似乎在无往而不利的状况下,却在中东西亚地区遭遇了一系列巨大的挑战,形成了恐怖主义的蔓延和延绵不断的巨大的难民问题,形成了难解的全球性的矛盾。原来的移民和难民可以通过多元文化融入的构想,现在发现是难以实现的,新移民群体对西方内部的巨大冲击甚至在某种程度上动摇了西方主导全球化的信心和理念。这是原有全球化的重大顿挫。二是西方内部的“工业化人群”的不满已经激化。他们原是西方社会的中坚,但现在却面临困境,也被视而不见,成为沉默的一群。同时基础设施建设缺失,族群矛盾激化,政治正确难以和现实适应等情况都叠加成为不满的巨大动因。

特朗普的这些新政无不是要实现”工业化人群“的利益。而代表新产业和新社会结构的“后工业化人群”,坚决抵制和反对他的作为。最近媒体、好莱坞、大学和硅谷对他的强烈的反击就是明证,而“建制派”对他的司法阻击更是明证。特朗普在全球被勾勒成为荒唐可笑的怪异形象也和对传统的“工业化人群”的行事风格和方法的厌弃有关。被勾勒成暴君是由于他的强势的风格和现在互联网的多样轻灵、等级消弭等格格不入,被刻画成小丑,则是凸显其随性、荒诞、粗野和不靠谱的形象,表现他和今天的时代格格不入。他所遇到的矛盾是结构性的,既是美国国内的,也是这一波全球化的。现在看来,矛盾的关键是美国国内的内在的冲突,这冲突其实也是全球性的产业结构变化和社会变化的投射,其实不仅在西方,在其他地方这种“工业化人群”和“后工业化人群”的分歧和争斗也在延伸之中。(如在中国,传统产业对互联网和电商的指责也不绝于耳)特朗普正是在美国这样的最关键的国家凸显了这一全球性的结构性的矛盾。当然,具有讽刺意味的是,特朗普反而是有效地利用了如推特这样的互联网的成果,超越了主流媒体和建制对他的限制,直接对他支持他的人和社会发言。新成果也为传统的人群提供了新的力量,这也是时代的有趣悖论之一。

因此,未来这方面的冲突还会随着互联网的发展而进一步深化。其实,回顾历史,在农业被工业化替代的十七至十九世纪,就形成了众多对工业化反制反击的力量,很多保守的力量如毁坏机器的“卢德派”,或激进的左翼力量如很多“乌托邦”的构想,都来自工业化带来的巨大的冲击。这种激荡持续了很长的历史阶段。现在看来,以互联网主导的新的经济形态和传统的工业化主导的经济形态间的角力,也会持续。特朗普的崛起也是这一过程的一个重要的环节。“工业化人群”和“后工业人群”的分裂正是当下的全球性的症候的一部分。二十世纪九十年代以来,“反全球化”就是一股重要的力量,但这些反对全球化的主要是西方抗议全球化带来对世界伤害的左翼,和一些发展中国家的激进的力量,还有一些是极端势力。这种反全球化,既没有替代的有效方案,也没有实际的政治、经济实力来扭转全球化的趋势,还不足以动摇冷战后的全球化的根基。但特朗普或现在在西方崛起的力量,如法国的勒庞,却是要用可操作、具体的方案,如“美国第一”等国家实际利益优先,从反对人的自由流动的反对移民和冲击原有的一套“政治正确”的主流化的价值观等方向来实现“逆全球化”。因此这冲击会相当巨大。

因此,美国的国内谁主沉浮是关键,这和过去换总统完全不同,这不是在游戏规则中的不同的党派的轮替,而是对未来的完全不同的设计和路向的决斗,所以一定会更激烈,也都输不起,因此就更加不确定。谁说了算关系到众多人的前途和全球的路向。而2017年的西方面临的几个重要国家的选举也是关键的指标。世界的不确定性会在“工业化人群”和“后工业人群”的角力中更加凸显。

未来会是谁之天下?

(张颐武 北京大学)
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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