Trump and Putin Smooth Things Over after Assad Bombing

Published in ABC
(Spain) on 2 May 2017
by Manuel Erice Oronoz (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jamie Agnew. Edited by Elizabeth Cosgriff.
Welcome to the 21st century Cold War. The gaping chasm between the regimes in Washington and Moscow, aggravated by the Syrian crisis, has not stopped the two presidents from talking on their “red phones” as often as two good friends. That said, the supposed camaraderie between the two has cooled as the months have passed. In their third phone call since Donald Trump entered the White House, the two leaders, who have both benefited from the magnate’s electoral success – be it actively or passively and seemingly with a level of mutual understanding – have now stopped the mutual back-patting that was a feature of their first call. Yesterday, against a much more fraught backdrop, Trump and Putin began searching for answers to the Syrian problem, where Moscow continues to support Bashar Assad’s dictatorship in the face of global demand for a humanitarian end to the war following the regime’s chemical weapons attack on Damascus. Minutes before the call, the Kremlin indicated at which point in the conversation they would raise the possibility of establishing a humanitarian zone, as well as the possibility of reviving diplomatic efforts and finding a definitive recipe for peace in Syria.

The bombing of one of the regime’s military bases seems to have altered the ever-changing strategies in the conflict, although it is not known in what way. The U.S. launched 59 Tomahawk missiles at Shayrat Airbase; investigations have concluded it was from here that the regime had weeks earlier launched a chemical weapons attack at the opposition-held city of Homs. The decision taken by Trump has moved the conflict onto new ground and broken with Obama’s passive military policy toward Assad. Despite Moscow’s fevered condemnation of the American attack, which Putin went so far as to classify as “an aggression against a sovereign state” while denying that Assad would use chemical weapons, the abstention of China on the U.N. Security Council has left Putin uncomfortably isolated on the international stage. Washington hopes to make the most of its bombing of Assad.

Escalation of Tensions

From that point, tensions between Russia and the U.S. have not stopped rising, as confirmed during Secretary of State Rex Tillerson’s last visit to Moscow, after which Trump stated that, “at no point in recent history have relations between both countries been so bad.”* Furthermore, the Kremlin announced it was breaking off military communications with the U.S. on Syrian soil, the means by which, in a maelstrom of competing groups – some of which are jihadi, and where the Islamic State continues to represent a common enemy – the two maintained a minimum level of operative coordination.

*Editor’s note: Trump’s actual words were that U.S. relations with Russia were at “an all-time low” over the Syria crisis.


Trump y Putin liman tensiones, tras el bombardeo a Al Assad

Es la Guerra Fría en versión siglo XXI. La sideral distancia entre Washington y Moscú, agravada por la crisis siria, no impide que los dos presidentes se comuniquen mediante su particular teléfono rojo con la frecuencia de dos buenos colegas. Aunque esa supuesta camaradería que se atribuía a ambos se ha ido enfriando con el paso de los meses. En su tercera charla telefónica desde que Donald Trump llegara a la Casa Blanca, los dos mandatarios que, por activa o por pasiva y con apariencia de entendimiento a distancia, se beneficiaron de la victoria electoral del magnate, han dejado atrás los mutuos parabienes con que se agasajaron en su primera conversación. En un contexto mucho más tensionado, Trump y Putin abordaron ayer la búsqueda de salidas al rompecabezas sirio, donde Moscú sigue asumiendo la tutela del dictador Bashar Al Assad, en medio de la demanda mundial de soluciones humanitarias a la guerra, y más tras el último ataque con armas químicas a cargo del régimen de Damasco. Minutos antes del contacto telefónico, el Kremlin apuntaba que parte de la conversación iba a abordar la posibilidad de establecer una zona humanitaria, así como la posibilidad de reactivar el proceso diplomático y buscar una fórmula definitiva para la paz en Siria.

El bombardeo de una base del Ejército de Al Assad, el 6 de abril, parece haber modificado las variables estratégicas del conflicto, aunque aún no se sepa en qué medida. Entonces, EE.UU. lanzó 59 misiles Tomahawk contra la base de Shayrat, desde donde el régimen del dictador había lanzado semanas antes un ataque con armas químicas contra el ejército de la oposición en la ciudad de Homs, según han concluido todas las investigaciones posteriores. La decisión de Trump, además de romper con una pasiva política de Obama en materia militar frente a Al Assad, ha servido para llevar el conflicto a otro terreno. Pese a que Moscú condenó enérgicamente el ataque norteamericano, que Putin llegó a calificar de «agresión injustificada contra un estado soberano», y ha venido negando que Al Assad empleara armas químicas, la abstención de China en el Consejo de Seguridad situó a Putin en un aislamiento incómodo dentro de la comunidad internacional. Es la esperanza de Washington para sacar rédito a su bombardeo contra Al Assad.

Escalada de tensión

Desde entonces, no han parado de crecer las tensiones entre Rusia y EE.UU., como se comprobó durante la posterior visita a Moscú del secretario de Estado, Rex Tillerson, tras la cual Trump afirmó que «nunca en la historia reciente las relaciones entre ambos países han estado tan mal». Además, el Kremlin anunció la ruptura de las comunicaciones con la cúpula militar estadounidense en suelo sirio, el nexo que permitía mantener una mínima coordinación operativa, en un avispero en el que combaten grupos tan diversos, algunos de ellos yihadistas, y donde los terroristas de Daesh continúan siendo un enemigo común.
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