Crossfire

Published in El País
(Spain) on 11 August 2017
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Isabel Álvarez. Edited by Elizabeth Cosgriff.
The exchange of apocalyptic threats between Trump and North Korea will not end in a warlike conflict, but it concerns the markets.

The provocation and definition of the United States as an external enemy are part of North Korea's foreign strategy. Kim Jong Un maintains almost the entire dictatorial framework of the regime on an alleged American threat. But in recent days, since the U.N. Security Council approved a new round of sanctions against the Korean regime, there has been a menacing, apocalyptic verbal escalation that has disturbed investment markets and citizens around the world. With unconscionable rhetoric, Donald Trump asserted that the United States would respond to the next provocation of Pyongyang with "fire and fury like the world has never seen." North Korea responded with the direct threat of attacking and "enveloping in fire" the Guam base, 3,400 kilometers (approximately 2,113 miles) away, with its ballistic missiles.

Kim follows the intended script. He wants North Korea to be recognized as a nuclear power, applying an explicit and absurd challenge to the international community. What is worrying about the latest verbal escalation is the presence in the White House of a president who, unlike his predecessors, has been pleased to descend to Kim's level. Kim is a dictator who behaves as such in a despotic regime; Trump is the president of a democratic country, subject to rules. His appeals to "fire and fury" confirm a narcissistic lack of control and a mandate in which a dangerous nonsense abounds.

The possibilities of war remain distant, as explained by Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, a peculiar firefighter in this crossfire. Neither the allies of North Korea nor those of Washington are willing to facilitate an armed conflict. Trump's behavior, unresponsive to previous provocations, belies his verbiage. But no matter how far the war is from today, there is a reason to worry about what Trump's attitude would be in the case of real risk.


Fuegos cruzados

El intercambio de amenazas apocalípticas entre Trump y Corea del Norte no acabará en conflicto bélico, pero inquieta a los mercados

La provocación y la definición de Estados Unidos como enemigo exterior forman parte de la estrategia exterior de Corea del Norte. Kim Jong-un sostiene casi todo el entramado dictatorial del régimen en una supuesta amenaza americana. Pero en los últimos días, desde que el Consejo de Seguridad de la ONU aprobó una nueva ronda de sanciones contra el régimen coreano, se ha disparado una escalada verbal amenazadora y de tono apocalíptico que ha inquietado a los mercados de inversión y a los ciudadanos de todo el mundo. Con su retórica desmedida, Donald Trump aseguró que Estados Unidos respondería a la próxima provocación de Pyongyang “con fuego y furia nunca antes vistos en el mundo”. Corea del Norte respondió con la amenaza directa de atacar y “envolver en fuego” la base de Guam, a 3.400 kilómetros de distancia, con sus misiles balísticos.

Kim Jong-un sigue el guion previsto. Quiere que Corea del Norte sea reconocida como potencia nuclear y se aplica en un desafío explícito y absurdo a la comunidad internacional. Lo preocupante de la última escalada verbal es la presencia en la Casa Blanca de un presidente que, a diferencia de sus predecesores, se ha complacido en descender a su nivel. Kim es un dictador que se comporta como tal en un régimen despótico; Trump es el presidente de un país democrático, sujeto a reglas. Sus apelaciones al “fuego y la furia” confirman un descontrol narcisista y que su mandato abunda en disparates peligrosos.

Las posibilidades de guerra son muy lejanas, como explicó el secretario de Estado Tillerson, peculiar bombero en este cruce de incendios. Ni los aliados de Corea ni los de Washington están por facilitar un conflicto armado. La conducta de Trump, inactivo ante provocaciones anteriores, desmiente sus verborreas. Pero, por lejana que esté hoy la guerra, hay motivos para preocuparse por cuál sería la actitud de Trump en caso de un riesgo real.
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