A Loose Monkey with a Knife

Published in El País
(Spain) on 26 April 2018
by Lluís Bassets (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Maria Vaquero. Edited by Tiana Robles.
Trump reveals the inconsistency of his personality by failing to carry out his threats.

With Donald Trump in the Situation Room where war operations are conducted, there have already been two occasions so far this year in which the ghost of an unexpected war has strolled around the White House. The first was at the high point of the heightened rhetoric between Kim Jong Un and the U.S. president, just at the beginning of the year, when the competition over the size of their respective nuclear buttons added to the exchange of insult and injury. The second took place this April, when Trump called Bashar Assad an “animal,” and promised him “nice and new and ‘smart’” incoming missiles, raising the fear of a direct confrontation between Russia and the United States over Syrian territory.

The most dangerous and erratic president in history has overcome two critical situations in three months with the same nonchalance with which he started them. The fact that his threats have not materialized says a lot about the inconsistency of his personality, described by James Comey, the hostile and dismissed ex-director of the FBI, in terms of emptiness and desperation for “affirmation,” unbecoming for an adult.

Trump’s character will be tested again from the same critical points where the war drums have sounded. May 12 is the deadline for signing the six-month extension regarding suspension of sanctions against Iran in exchange for Iran’s agreement to freeze its nuclear program. Trump has already suspended sanctions twice despite his reluctance to do so since it fails to fulfill a campaign promise. And, if he does not sign now, it is almost guaranteed that Iran will resume its program, Israel and Saudi Arabia will seek immediate reprisal, setting up new conditions for war in the Middle East.*

There will be another dangerous appointment at the end of May or the beginning of June at the summit between Kim Jong Un and Trump, at which the former wants to obtain international recognition, and the latter seeks the cancellation of the North Korean nuclear program. The speed and efficiency of North Korean diplomacy, with the supreme leader’s recent trip to Beijing and tomorrow’s summit meeting with Seoul, do not ensure the success of the historic meeting, in which Trump wishes to emulate Richard Nixon’s opening to China. Success is neither ensured by the recent additions to the White House of Mike Pompeo, the new secretary of state, or John Bolton, the new national security advisor, both more supportive of missiles than diplomacy. Nor will the incoherence of what is being done with North Korea and being undone with Iran be of any help, actions which can only be explained by the peculiar personality of the president, to whom the principle of noncontradiction is foreign.

The fascination with the young Emmanuel Macron, with his good multilateral advice, is the only thing that can exert some beneficial and conciliatory influence on this president, who is subject to the “loose monkey with a knife” syndrome every time he faces a war crisis.

*Editor’s note: President Donald Trump announced on May 8, 2018 that he was withdrawing the United States from the Iran nuclear agreement and restoring sanctions against the country.


Trump evidencia la inconsistencia de su personalidad al incumplir sus amenazas

Con Donald Trump en la Situation Room, donde se dirigen las operaciones bélicas, ya van dos ocasiones en lo que va de año en que el espectro de una guerra inesperada se pasea por la Casa Blanca. La primera fue en el punto álgido de la escalada verbal entre Kim Jong-un y el presidente estadounidense, justo a principios de año, cuando al cruce de insultos e improperios se añadió la competencia por el tamaño del botón nuclear que iban a apretar cada uno de los personajes enfrentados. La segunda ha sido este mes de abril, cuando Trump llamó “animal” a Bachar el Asad y le prometió una ración de misiles, “preciosos, nuevos e inteligentes”, suscitando el pavor a un enfrentamiento directo entre Rusia y Estados Unidos sobre territorio sirio.

El presidente más peligroso y errático de la historia ha superado en tres meses dos situaciones críticas con el mismo desenfado con que las había provocado. Que sus amenazas no se hayan materializado dice mucho de la inconsistencia de su personalidad, descrita por James Comey, el despechado y despedido exdirector del FBI, en términos de “vaciedad” y “ansias de afirmación”, impropias de un adulto.

El carácter de Trump será sometido a prueba de nuevo desde los mismos puntos críticos donde han sonado los tambores de guerra. El 12 de mayo vence el plazo para que firme la prórroga semestral de la suspensión de sanciones a Irán, en compensación por la congelación de su programa nuclear. Trump ya la ha prorrogado en dos ocasiones, y muy a su pesar, puesto que incumple una promesa electoral. Y, si ahora no firma, está casi garantizado que Irán reanudará su programa, Israel y Arabia Saudí pedirán inmediatas represalias y se darán de nuevo condiciones para una guerra en Oriente Próximo.

Habrá otra cita peligrosa a finales de mayo o principios de junio, cuando se celebre la cumbre entre Kim Jong-un y Trump, en la que el primero quiere obtener el reconocimiento internacional, y el segundo la anulación del programa nuclear norcoreano. La velocidad y eficacia de la diplomacia norcoreana, con un reciente viaje del Líder Supremo a Pekín y la cumbre de mañana con Seúl, no aseguran el éxito del histórico encuentro, en el que Trump desea emular a Richard Nixon con su apertura a China. Tampoco lo aseguran las recientes incorporaciones a la Casa Blanca de Mike Pompeo, el nuevo secretario de Estado, y de John Bolton, el nuevo consejero de Seguridad, ambos más partidarios de los misiles que de la diplomacia. Ni será una ayuda la incoherencia de hacer con Corea del Norte lo que se deshace con Irán, que tiene como única explicación la peculiar personalidad presidencial, ajena al principio de no contradicción.

Solo la fascinación por el joven Emmanuel Macron, con sus buenos consejos multilateralistas, puede ejercer alguna influencia benéfica y apaciguadora en este presidente, sometido al síndrome del mono suelto con una navaja cada vez que se enfrenta a una crisis bélica.
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