US-North Korea Meeting in June

Published in Kahoku
(Japan) on 12 May 2018
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Deborah Chapin. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
It has become clear that the summit between the U.S. and North Korean leaders concerning the complete abandonment of nuclear development will take place on June 12 in Singapore. Prior to setting up this meeting, three U.S. citizens detained by North Korea were released. It could be said that North Korea is very determined to better its relations with the United States.

This summit is an unprecedented opportunity for Japan, for which the resolution of the Japanese citizen abduction issue is of the utmost importance. On May 10, the U.S. initiated a telephone conference with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and President Trump reconfirmed his intention to cooperate in settling the abduction issue.

It will be indispensable to have the cooperation of not only the U.S., but also China, South Korea and Russia to achieve an early resolution of the abduction issue. I would like to share in the recognition that the international crime of abduction is a challenge to a universal value called human rights.

North Korea’s sudden peaceful attitude was elicited, of course, by the unyielding stance of the United States, which was also prepared to attack militarily. National Security Advisor John Bolton is known even inside the Republican Party as an extreme hard-liner. His appointment as the presidential adviser in charge of security measures bears heavy meaning.

Working together with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who has not relaxed his strict position on North Korea, Bolton supports diplomatic security measures as Trump’s closest associate. It can be said that North Korea’s stance toward the United States underwent unimaginable moderation, considering the swell of U.S.-North Korean military tensions.

The criticism that success has not been achieved with respect to the method of pressuring North Korea, which Japan has thus far consistently carried out, is misplaced. In addition to the unyielding stance of the United States, it is clear that the pressure put on North Korea by the international community, equal to that of an economic blockade, produced the recent changes in North Korea.

The United Nations’ sanctions decision last December were extremely strict, prohibiting almost all exports and imports, except a minimum oil supply, and sending home any North Korean workers that were abroad within two years. This change in attitude comes from the impending crisis of being cut off from its method of acquiring foreign currency, which would leave the economy no choice but to collapse.

The agenda and the meeting place for the U.S.-North Korea summit has been decided, but the course of the U.S.-North Korea conference is not yet known. The result hangs on whether or not Kim Jong Un, chairman of the Worker’s Party, will accept the United States’ demand for complete, verifiable and irreversible denuclearization.

It can be said that the abduction issue will certainly be raised in the discussion, but whether or not that will entail an early resolution is still unclear. Unfortunately, I have to say that the difference of understanding between Japan and North Korea concerning the abduction issue is great.

The current U.S. administration is more diligent and shows a powerful kind of sympathy compared to the successive administrations of the past regarding Japanese citizen abductions. I would like to see stronger cooperation between Japan and the U.S. in order to seize the coming opportunity to realize the family association’s greatest wish that all the abduction victims will be immediately returned to their country.*

Making partial concessions to North Korea would be turning a blind eye to future trouble. What North Korea wants more than anything else is nothing other than structural security from the U.S. and economic support from Japan. If we return to this starting point, then we can see the light with respect to resolving the abduction issue.

*Editor’s note: The author may be referring to the Association of Families of Victims Kidnapped by North Korea.


北朝鮮の全面的な核廃棄を巡る米朝首脳会談は、6月12日、シンガポールで開催されることが明らかになった。それに先駆けて、北朝鮮に拘束されていた米国人3人が解放された。米朝関係の改善に向けた北朝鮮側の強い意志の表れと言える。
 日本人拉致問題の解決を最重要課題とする日本にとって米朝首脳会談はかつてない好機である。10日には米側から安倍晋三首相に電話協議の申し入れがあり、トランプ大統領と拉致問題解決で連携する意思を再確認したという。
 拉致問題の早期の解決に向けては、米国だけでなく中国、韓国、ロシアとの協力を取り付けるのも不可欠だ。国際犯罪である拉致は人権という普遍的な価値への挑戦であるという認識を共有したい。
 北朝鮮の急激な融和姿勢を引き出したのは、言うまでもなく軍事攻撃も辞さない構えの米政権の強硬姿勢だ。安全保障政策を担当する大統領補佐官に共和党内でも超タカ派として知られるボルトン氏が就任した人事が大きい。
 北朝鮮に対して厳しい姿勢を崩さないポンペオ国務長官と両輪で、トランプ氏の最側近として外交安全保障政策を支えている。米朝の軍事的な緊張の高まりで、北朝鮮の対米姿勢が想像を超える軟化に転じたと見ていい。
 日本がこれまで一貫して取り続けてきた北朝鮮に対する圧力路線が「功を奏していない」という一部の批判は、的を射ていない。米国の強硬姿勢に加え、事実上の経済封鎖に等しい国際社会の圧力が最近の北朝鮮の変化を生んだのは明らかだろう。
 昨年12月の国連安全保障理事会の制裁決議は、最低限の原油供給を除いてほぼ全ての輸出入を禁じ、海外の北朝鮮労働者を2年以内に送還する極めて厳しい内容だ。外貨獲得の道が閉ざされ、経済が崩壊するほかないという危機感からの姿勢転換である。
 日程と開催場所は決まったものの、米朝会談の行方はむろん見通せない。成否は金正恩朝鮮労働党委員長が米国が求める「完全かつ検証可能で不可逆的な非核化」を受け入れるかどうかに懸かる。
 拉致問題が会談の議題に上るのは確定的と見ていいだろうが、早期の解決に結びつくかはやはり不透明だ。残念ながら拉致に関する日朝間の認識の隔たりは、なお大きいと言わざるを得ない。
 現在の米政権は、歴代のどの政権よりも日本人拉致問題に詳しく、また、強い共感を示してもいる。家族会が悲願としてきた「拉致被害者全員の即時一括帰国」の実現に向けた好機の到来と捉え、日米の連携をより強化したい。
 北朝鮮への中途半端な譲歩は禍根を残す。北が何より欲するのは、米国による体制保証と日本の経済支援を置いて他にない。この原点に立ち返れば拉致問題解決への光が見えてくるのではないか。
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