Congressional Elections a Referendum on Trump

Published in al-Watan
(Egypt) on 6 November 2018
by Imad al-Din Adib (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Evan Rosson. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
The congressional elections, which were held today, are more than midterm elections for the House of Representatives and Senate.

At first glance, these elections may seem to affect American domestic affairs since they are local elections specific to the legislature. However, the election results will have a significant impact on the system of government, the extent of the White House’s power to confront congressional authority, and, by extension, congressional influence on American foreign policy decisions.

The American president was the crowned chief executive from the time the Constitution was drafted by the Founding Fathers until the period after the Vietnam War and the Watergate scandal, when the authority of the president was fettered and checked by congressional oversight.

Now, President Donald Trump enters these elections holding his breath.

On the face of it, the elections may not be about President Trump, but they are ultimately a kind of referendum on two years of his leadership and on the performance of his Republican Party.

Trump is betting that his party will surprise everyone and dash the opinion polls which predict a victory for the Democratic Party in the House of Representatives.*

Trump believes that his accomplishments, particularly in the area of improving economic performance and financial markets and reducing the deficit and level of unemployment in an unprecedented way, will work for him in the congressional elections.

Opponents of Trump believe that this is the end of the Republican majority in Congress, or that the party of Trump will pay a price for his political madness, personal wars and populist style, which target African-Americans, Hispanic and Latino Americans, Muslims, women, LGBTQ people, advocates of civil rights and freedom, and immigrants, as well as the many pillars of the Republican Party and its traditional supporters.

Trump provoked all the forces opposing him and mobilized all the forces supporting him. The next few hours will reveal where Washington’s foreign policy is going.

*Editor’s note: The Democratic Party has regained a majority in the House of Representatives as a result of the Nov. 6, 2018 midterm elections.




الانتخابات التشريعية التي بدأت اليوم هي أكثر من انتخابات تجديد لكل مجلس النواب وثلث مجلس الشيوخ
هذه الانتخابات قد تبدو للوهلة الأولى انتخابات تعنى الداخل الأمريكي لكونها انتخابات محلية تختص بالمجلس التشريعي، لكنها، في نتائجها ذات تأثير بالغ على نظام الحكم، ومدى قوة البيت الأبيض في مواجهة السلطة التشريعية، وبالتالي تأثيرها على قرارات السياسة الخارجية الأمريكية
الرئيس الأمريكي منذ الدستور الذي وضعه الآباء المؤسسون للولايات المتحدة كان ملكاً متوَّجاً على رأس السلطة التنفيذية، حتى جاءت مرحلة ما بعد حرب فيتنام، وفضيحة «ووترجيت» وأصبحت سلطة الرئيس غير مطلقة بل مقيدة بتوازن من رقابة المجلس التشريعي
الآن يدخل الرئيس دونالد ترامب هذه الانتخابات ويده على قلبه
للوهلة الأولى، قد لا تكون الانتخابات على الرئيس، لكنها في النهاية هي شبه استفتاء على عامين من حكمه وعلى أداء حزبه الجمهور
يراهن «ترامب» على أن حزبه سيفاجئ الجميع ويحطم كل استطلاعات الرأي التي تعطى الغلبة المتوقعة للحزب الديمقراطي في مجلس النواب
ويعتقد «ترامب» أن إنجازاته، وبالذات في مجال تحسين الأداء الاقتصادي وتحسين الأسواق المالية، وتخفيض العجز وتخفيض مستوى البطالة بشكل غير مسبوق، سوف تشفع له في الانتخابات التشريعية
خصوم «ترامب» يؤمنون بأن هذه هي نهاية الأغلبية الجمهورية في المجلس التشريعي، أو أن حزب «ترامب» سوف يدفع ثمن «جنونه السياسي» و«حروبه الشخصية» و«أسلوبه الشعبوية» الذي اصطدم مع السود، والإسبان، والمسلمين، والمرأة، والشواذ، وأنصار الحريات والحقوق المدنية، والمهاجرين، بل أيضاً الكثير من أركان الحزب الجمهوري وأنصاره التقليديين
استنفر «ترامب» كل القوى ضده وعبَّأ كل القوى المؤيدة له، وسوف تكشف الساعات المقبلة إلى أين تذهب سياسة واشنطن الخارجية
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