Bernie Sanders vs. Joe Biden

Published in Veja
(Brazil) on 3 February 2020
by Alberto Carlos Almeida (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Lisa Carrington. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
The race to find out who will run against Donald Trump begins today.

Even before the results of the first Democratic primary contest in Iowa to choose who will run against Donald Trump, the race has already narrowed down to Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden. The other candidates will need to surprise voters, and do so soundly, in the next candidate debate.

Biden is the moderate candidate. The profile of Democrats who vote for Biden is closer to that of Republicans who vote for Trump in one important respect as it concerns the U.S. cultural war: they are religious. Biden has the vote of Democrats who go to church and therefore, live alongside Trump voters. Furthermore, Biden’s rhetoric and image are more moderate than his Democratic opponent.

Sanders’ advantage is that he is more exciting. If he is less likely to take a voter away from Trump in order to vote for a Democrat, Sanders, on the other hand, can draw more people to the polls and increase Democratic voter turnout. Sanders has been working on making his candidacy viable since 2016 with public support from individuals while avoiding business costs and funding, something which is encouraging to Democratic voters.

The blanket is short in politics.* Biden has one advantage. Sanders has another. It's impossible to say which of those advantages would be more important for a Democrat in overthrowing Trump. In the U.S., it is a fact that the incumbent seeking reelection is always the favorite.


*Editor’s note: This expression is considered a way of saying that in politics, no candidate meets one's every expectation.


Começa hoje a corrida pra saber quem irá enfrentar Trump
Antes mesmo do resultado da primeira primária dos democratas para a escolha de quem irá enfrentar Trump, no estado de Iwoa, a corrida já se afunilou entre Sanders e Biden. Os demais candidatos precisam surpreender, e muito, nesta e nas próximas disputas.
Joe Biden é o candidato moderado. Os democratas que votam em Biden tem um perfil mais próximo dos republicanos que votam em Trump em um aspecto importante da “guerra cultural” dos Estados Unidos: são religiosos. Biden tem o voto dos democratas que frequentam as igrejas, e que, portanto, convivem com eleitores de Trump. Além disso, o discurso e a imagem de Biden é mais moderada do que seu adversário no partido.
Sanders tem como vantagem empolgar mais. Se ele tem menos chance de retirar um eleitor de Trump para votar em uma candidatura democrata, por outro lado, ele pode levam mais gente para votar, pode aumentar o comparecimento eleitoral dos democratas. Sanders vem trabalhando desde 2016 para viabilizar sua candidatura com o apoio da sociedade, de indivíduos, e evitando a todo custo o financiamento empresarial. Isso anima os eleitores democratas.
Em política o cobertor é curto. Biden tem uma vantagem, Sanders tem outra. É impossível dizer qual das duas seria mais importante para um democrata derrotar Trump. É fato que aquele que disputa a reeleição nos EUA é sempre favorito.

This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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