Will Pandemic Cost Trump the White House?

Published in El Espectador
(Colombia) on 20 April 2020
by Miguel Villa Uribe (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Kaitlyn Diehl. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.

 

 

Every time Donald Trump opens his mouth we think it will finally be the moment that costs him reelection. And with Donald, there are no half measures; you either love him or you hate him. It seems that this perfect balance has helped him remain tremendously popular in his country, whether that's good or bad. He doesn't apologize, he is politically incorrect, and he will steamroll anyone who gets in his way without hesitation. He is the living symbol of American power.

On one side, we have the American people who laud him for his “America First" talk. It boosts their confidence to have a leader on their side who is willing to put everything on the line in exchange for their well-being. We witness this not only in the U.S., but around the world wherever Trump travels. He orders a hamburger and speaks about how great his country is every time. This behavior is contrary to that of his predecessor, Barack Obama, who tried to mix in, and apologized on behalf of the U.S. wherever he went. His compatriots did not celebrate him in this respect, although he was undoubtedly more diplomatic than Trump.

On the same side, we find American business owners. No one has profited more from Trump’s presidency than they have. Donald looks to them as the engine of the economy. He even engaged in a trade war with the People's Republic of China to benefit American industry. If we look at it in economic terms, it is undeniable that his plan is working. Before the pandemic, the U.S. enjoyed unprecedented growth on Wall Street.

On the other side, we have Trump’s archenemy: the mass media. He has fought a death match with them since the start of his first presidential campaign, directly targeting CNN, The New York Times, and Latino media outlets such as Univision. They are part of his plan. Never before has one person been able to discredit such serious media outlets the way Trump has. They fall into his trap, attacking him at every opportunity.

From week to week, Trump engages in a battle royal over each of his consistently controversial decisions. He always proves victorious one way or another. Although his decisions seem to be impulsive and senseless, they are all made for his benefit with a high degree of political precision. This is customary with extremist political factions. Since extremist factions are tremendously popular, people like to hear which side their leaders are on. Nevertheless, could mismanagement of the public health crisis be the case that costs Trump the election in the final stretch?

Trump’s handling of the pandemic has been very controversial, to say the least, due to his tremendous ego (or, as some might say, excessive confidence). He started out by saying that the coronavirus was just another attempt to damage his presidential reelection campaign. Next, he said the coronavirus was simply a flu that wasn't going to be a serious concern for the country. He followed this with assurance that Americans and the health care system were perfectly prepared for whatever was to come. And, of course, we can’t forget the remaining number of absurd declarations we've grown accustomed to hearing from him and his team.

When things finally began to worsen in the U.S. and Donald found his back against the wall, he decided to use a full arsenal to rectify damage to his image. The plan has two parts: first, to divert attention from himself by discrediting whoever was necessary and refocusing attention from the virus to China, even to the point where he referred to COVID-19 as the “Chinese Virus." Domestically, he has handed off responsibility to the governors, who have largely been opposed to his decisions and have made quarantine mandatory in their respective states. The president has ultimately had to put up with this, but not without taking a few jabs on social media first, tweeting "Liberate Virginia!" and "Liberate Michigan!"

The World Health Organization was not spared from his attacks either. Trump has suspended funding to the organization, claiming that the spread of the pandemic in his country was due to the WHO’s mismanagement of the emergency. This decision comes as a grievous blow to the WHO as the U.S. was the organization's largest contributor. If this organization was ever important to the world, it is now.

The second part of Trump’s plan is to inject money into the economy to cover the basic needs of citizens while the majority of businesses remain closed. The astronomical amount of money approved by the Senate for economic relief is unprecedented. Although it's hard to believe, all of this only serves to make Trump more popular among his voters; his political decisions are calculated with pinpoint precision. One would think he might lose reelection this way, but he returns and remains unscathed, standing before his throne as always.

There are still some months remaining before the most anticipated election in U.S. history, an election which has essentially been a subject of conversation since the day Trump was elected president. At this point, it all seems to be a matter of timing with regard to how the pandemic unfolds, as well as whether Trump’s economic recovery plan proves truly effective. From my perspective, I think Trump will find a way to take advantage of the situation. He will emerge as the favored candidate at the end of the presidential election campaign, and we will see another four years of Donald in the White House.


¿La pandemia le costara la Casa Blanca a Trump?

Cada vez que Donald J. Trump abre la boca pensamos si esta vez sí le costará la reelección. Y es que con Donald no hay medias tintas, o lo amas, o lo odias, y parece ser que ese perfecto balance le ha servido para mantenerse tremendamente popular en su país, ya sea para bien o para mal. Él no pide excusas, es políticamente incorrecto y se lanza contra cualquiera que se ponga en su camino sin hesitar. él es la viva representación de la fuerza americana.

Por un lado tenemos el pueblo estadounidense que lo aclama por su discurso de “America first” el cual los llena de confianza al tener un gobernante del lado suyo que lo deja todo en el campo de batalla por su bienestar, y eso lo podemos ver no solo en EE. UU, sino en el mundo entero; a donde viaje Trump pide una hamburguesa y habla siempre de la grandeza de su país. Al contrario a lo que hacia su antecesor Barack Obama, que trataba de integrarse a donde llegaba y se excusaba por lo que fuera de EE. UU, sin duda más diplomático, pero no tan aclamado por sus coterráneos en ese sentido.

Del mismo lado encontramos a los empresarios americanos. Nadie ha sacado más provecho de esta presidencia que ellos; Donald los cuida como el motor de la economía, y hasta se fue a una guerra comercial con la República Popular China para beneficiar sus industrias; ya si miramos en términos económicos, es innegable que su plan trabajo funciona, gracias al cual, antes de la pandemia, EE. UU. gozaba de un crecimiento sin precedentes en Wall Street.

Por otro lado, tenemos su archienemigo: los medios de comunicación, con los cuales ha casado una pelea a muerte desde el primer momento de su campaña, haciendo ataques directos y en especial a CNN, The New York Times y los medios latinos como Univisión. Ellos son parte de su plan. Es insólito que una sola persona pueda desprestigiar a medios tan serios como estos, pero lo logró y estos medios han caído en su trampa atacándolo cada vez que pueden.

Es innegable que semana a semana Trump se encuentra enfrascado en una batalla campal con cada una de sus decisiones, habitualmente polémicas, y que de una forma u otra siempre resulta victorioso, porque, aunque parezca que sus decisiones son impulsivas e insensatas, todas cuentan con alto grado de precisión política para su beneficio; esto se ha vuelto una costumbre de las facciones políticas extremistas, ya que son altamente populares, a la gente le gusta oír de qué lado están sus gobernantes. Pero, ¿será que el mal manejo de la crisis sanitaria le costará la reelección en esta recta final?

En cuanto al manejo de la pandemia, ha sido muy controversial, por decir lo menos, desde su grandísimo ego (o exceso de confianza dirían algunos). Arrancó por decir que todo esto del coronavirus era solo otro intento para dañar su campaña presidencial; después, que solo era una gripa y que no iba a ser grave para el país, seguido de que el sistema de salud y los americanos estaban perfectamente preparados para recibir lo que fuera. Y, bueno, demás cuantiosos pronunciamientos absurdos a los que ya estamos acostumbrados por parte de él y de su equipo.

Ya cuando las cosas empezaron a empeorar en EE. UU. y Donald se vio contra la pared, sacó todo su arsenal de guerra para contrarrestar el daño a su imagen, el cual se compone de dos elementos: primero, desprestigiar a quien sea necesario para disuadir la atención de él, y enfocando toda la atención del virus hacia China, hasta el punto de referirse al COVID-19 como el “virus chino”. Dentro de EE. UU. lo hace designando culpabilidad a los gobernadores, quienes en gran medida se han visto en contra de sus decisiones, haciendo cuarentenas obligatorias y que al final, al mismo presidente le ha tocado soportar, pero no sin antes soltar unos dardos, como escribir en redes sociales ¡liberen los Estados! Otro que no se salvó de sus ataques fue la Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS), a quien le suspendió completamente sus aportes con el pretexto de que la propagación de la pandemia en su país se debía al mal manejo de la contingencia por parte de la misma. Hecho que es gravísimo para la OMS, ya que EE. UU. es el mayor contribuyente de esta organización, y que si en algún momento es importante esta organización para el mundo, es ahora.

La segunda parte de su arsenal es inyectar dinero a la economía. Atiende las necesidades más básicas de las personas en esta recesión económica, por mantener una gran mayoría del comercio cerrado. Por lo que ha conseguido en el Senado las astronómicas sumas de dinero para recuperar la economía, sin precedentes. Esto, aunque uno no crea, solo lo hace más popular dentro de sus votantes; el cálculo político de Trump es milimétrico. Uno diría, con esta sí pierde las elecciones, pero vuelve y queda bien parado en su trono, como siempre.

Todavía falta algunos meses para las elecciones más anticipadas de la historia en EE. UU. Básicamente se está hablando de estas elecciones desde el día en que quedó elegido como presidente. Y a estas alturas parece ser que todo es un tema de “timing”, de ver cómo se va desarrollando la pandemia, y si su plan de recuperación económica es verdaderamente efectivo. Desde mi perspectiva considero que, de una forma u otra, Trump va a encontrar la forma para aprovechar toda esta situación y verse favorecido al final de la contienda electoral, y veremos otros cuatro años de Donald en la Casa Blanca.
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