America’s Reopening Will Harm Itself and Others

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 25 May 2020
by An Liu (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jaime Cantwell. Edited by Denile Doyle.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that all 12 predictive models show that before June 1, the COVID-19 death toll in the United States will surpass 100,000.* In the most critical moments of the battle against the pandemic, American politicians have openly stated that even if there is no vaccine and more American lives are sacrificed, it is necessary to restart the economy as quickly as possible. On May 20, the Associated Press reported that many states in the U.S., including Florida, have even tampered with pandemic data to gather support for returning to work. Hastily reopening while the pandemic is still uncontrolled will be gambling with the lives of Americans and will lead to further deterioration of the global pandemic situation.

Even More Precious Lives Will Be Lost

Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said at a Senate hearing on the pandemic that as soon as states begin to restart their economies, the situation will worsen. Tom Inglesby, director of the Johns Hopkins University Center for Health Security, stated that even if only select areas are opened, a third of Americans will be put at risk of infection. The University of Washington Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation predicts that, based on current reopening trends, the United States’ COVID-19 death toll will reach 137,000 in early August.

The shortage of COVID-19 tests, insufficient contact tracing capabilities, the lack of cooperation between states and the federal government and an overwhelmed medical system will all increase the public’s risk of infection. If restarting the economy causes a second wave, the government will have no choice but to reimpose the lockdown. This would waste the efforts and sacrifices the United States has made to control the virus, at the cost of the lives of countless Americans.

Economic Recovery Prospects Are Uncertain

With severe pandemic conditions, even if control measures are relaxed, it may still be difficult for the economy to recover quickly. In a recent poll, 66% of Americans are unwilling to return to their jobs; 63% of those hope to be guaranteed safety by the CDC, and 48% hope they can return to work in August. The Washington Post and the University of Maryland conducted a survey which revealed that more than half of Americans are opposed to the economic reopening, and 60%-70% feel uncomfortable with shopping in person and eating out. Experts say that a key component of reopening the economy is rebuilding consumer confidence. If consumers are unwilling to go out, it will still be difficult to improve the economy, despite the relaxation of control measures. Evidently, reopening the economy when the pandemic has yet to be controlled and when market production and consumption ability are not guaranteed, ensures that America’s hopes to restart the economy will be as vain as using a bamboo basket to draw water.

Hastily Reopening and Affecting Other Countries

The U.S. reopening during the pandemic not only gambles with the lives of its citizens, but also forces the rest of the world to face the risk together. The current state of the pandemic is extremely severe. Asia is guarding against a resurgence of the virus and Europe has reached a plateau stage, but conditions in the Americas continue to worsen. If Africa is unable to properly prevent and control the spread of the virus, it may result in a large number of deaths. By reopening now, the U.S. will greatly increase the danger of the pandemic and destroy the fruits of other countries’ efforts, disproportionately affecting countries with weak public health systems. Although it acts as a global superpower, the U.S. is not only failing to help control the virus in any way internationally, but will continue to impede any progress. The American military spread the 1918 pandemic around the world, hopefully, the world will not have to pay once again for the United States’ shortsighted and hasty action.

The end of a journey is always the hardest — the United States’ fight against COVID-19 will be difficult. In fighting the pandemic and reopening the economy, we need to find a common denominator between the two. If American politicians turn a blind eye to expert warnings and to people who oppose reopening, and make the wrong decision at the wrong time, there is almost no difference between that and cruelly handing over the lives of Americans and other world citizens to the virus. By acting on political interests alone and ignoring citizens’ health and their lives, as well as the global pandemic situation, the U.S. will hurt itself and others with its selfishness.

*Editor’s note: The number of COVID-19 deaths in the United States reached 100,000 on May 27, shortly after this article was published.


美国疾控中心表示,12种预测模型都显示,到6月1日前美国新冠肺炎死亡人数将超过10万。在抗击疫情的关键时刻,美国政客竟然公开表示,即使没有疫苗,牺牲更多美国人的生命,也必须尽快重启经济。5月20日,美联社报道称,“包括佛罗里达州在内的美国多州为争取复工支持,甚至不惜篡改疫情数据”。贸然推动“带疫解封”不仅是对美国人民生命健康的漠视,更将导致全球疫情进一步恶化。

更多宝贵生命将会逝去

美国家过敏和传染病研究所所长福奇在参议院疫情听证会上表示,一旦各州过快重启经济,将会导致疫情恶化。约翰斯·霍普金斯大学健康安全中心主任汤姆·英格尔斯比表示,即使选择性开放,也会让三分之一美国人面临感染风险。华盛顿大学卫生统计评估研究所预测,按当前的复工趋势,8月初美新冠肺炎死亡人数将达到13.7万。

核酸检测及病例追踪能力不足、各州与联邦政府合作不畅、医疗系统不堪重负等问题都将加大公民感染病毒的几率。如果重启经济导致疫情再度暴发,政府最终不得不再次采取封控措施。如此,美国之前的防疫努力和牺牲就将白费,无数普通民众将付出生命的代价。

经济恢复前景扑朔迷离

严峻疫情下,即使放宽管控措施经济恐也难以快速恢复。最新民调显示,66%的美国人不愿返回工作岗位,其中63%的人表示希望得到美国疾控中心关于安全返岗的保证,48%的人希望8月恢复工作。《华盛顿邮报》与马里兰大学的一项联合民意测验显示,超过半数的美国人反对经济重启,60%-70%的人表示对在外购物、吃饭会感到不自在。专家表示,恢复经济关键在于恢复消费者信心。如果民众消费意愿不足,即使政府放宽管控,经济也难以提升。由此可见,在疫情未得到控制的情况下复工,市场生产与消费能力都难以保证,美国重启经济的愿望恐怕是“竹篮打水一场空”。

贸然解封连累他国

美国“带疫解封”,不仅是拿本国民众的生命健康做赌注,同时也是绑架全世界人民一起冒险。当前全球疫情十分严峻。亚洲谨防疫情反弹,欧洲进入平台期,美洲疫情持续上升,非洲若防控不当,可能造成大量人员死亡。美国此时解封将大大增加疫情输出风险,破坏他国抗疫成果,尤其会给公共卫生体系脆弱的国家带去灾难。美国作为世界头号强国,不仅未给国际抗疫提供任何帮助,反而不断拖后腿。1918年的大流感,正是由美军传遍世界。希望世界不再为美国的短视、草率行为买单。

“行百里者半九十”,美国的抗疫道路还相当艰辛。在防疫和复工左支右绌的情况下,找到两者最大的公约数可能才是现实的处世之道。如果美国政客不顾专家警告、民众反对,一意孤行,在错误的时间做出错误的决定,无异于残忍地将美国及世界人民的生死交予病毒之手。为了政治经济私利,不顾本国人民生命健康及全球抗疫大局,美国的自私行为必将害人害己。(刘安)
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