Manipulating Mass Media: Will Trump Win This Time?

Published in UDN
(Taiwan) on 21 August 2020
by Herng Su (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Pinyu Hwang. Edited by Daniel Rosen.

Famous American linguist and philosopher Noam Chomsky once asserted with irony that "propaganda is to a democracy what the bludgeon is to a totalitarian state." In order to hold power in your hands, you need to have control over the media; and the most important facet of contemporary media lies in social media. Moreover, the fairness of social media also involves the transfer of power.

Although the past two days of the Democratic National Convention have crowned nominee Joe Biden's candidacy in limelight, incumbent President Donald Trump's polls are closing in. Many news headlines have said that if Biden wants to defeat Trump, he must first defeat himself — because what Biden faces is Trump, the most skilled media manipulator of the millennium.

Four years ago, Trump used his reality show experience to direct public attention and turn the media on their heads. Former CBS President Les Moonves said of the 2016 presidential election that "It may not be good for America, but it's damn good for CBS," with record-breaking viewership, big advertising revenue, and viewers unable to take their eyes off the screen.

Fully aware of the media's appetite for controversy, Trump's constant speculation on politicized and conflicting issues successfully polarized the media, making supporters regard liberal media with contempt while trusting conservative media such as Breitbart and Fox TV.

This time, however, things are trickier. Trump is currently far ahead of Biden in mainstream media and social media. What is interesting is that in terms of social media ratings, Biden has come up from behind. Why? This is largely thanks to social media changing some of the rules of the game this year, making Trump somewhat unable to perform.

In terms of numbers, Biden is at a disadvantage on social media.

According to the Associated Press, Trump sends an average of at least 14 posts a day to his 28 million Facebook fans. On the other hand, Biden has only 2 million Facebook followers, less than one-tenth of Trump's, and updates only half as many posts. Biden has 9 million followers on Twitter, far less than Trump's 85 million.

Biden does not have Trump's advantage of an administration currently in office. Trump has been nurturing his digital army for years, making use of everything from digital marketing to filming videos and defaming his opponents. On the other hand, Biden's social media presence is very traditional: posts are few and far between, and tend to be retweeted or shared from verified accounts such as those of Barack Obama and reputable media outlets. But in June, Biden began catching up in hot pursuit, for the first time spending more than twice as much on Facebook ads as Trump, further recruiting Instagram supporters to hold online fundraisers and enlisting "troops" on TikTok.

Two-thirds of Americans consume their news from social media, but social media algorithms are likely to impart a significant impact on elections by creating "ideological silos" where voters seek out opinions similar to their own in echo chambers. U.S. and European communities believe that tech giants should no longer be complicit in election hate speech or separatism, and should step forward to prevent the spread of false information. This time the Democratic Party has further invited the four major social media outlets to propose policies against fraud and promote platform transparency and social responsibility.

Twitter has taken the lead in expanding the scope of its hate speech regulation, tagging Trump, who loves Twitter, when he appears to be making hateful comments, and possibly removing such tweets in serious cases.

Google's YouTube announced last June that it would remove neo-Nazi and white supremacist videos and misinformation. Facebook introduced an automated hate speech monitoring system in 2017, and recently, under pressure from advertisers and employees, further stated that it would append labels to Trump's inappropriate comments. Reddit not only shut down 2,000 forums, but also banned the r/The_Donald subreddit for advocating violence and breaking rules. Amazon's Twitch had also temporarily suspended Trump's own account in response to a recent repost of comments he made while campaigning in Oklahoma in 2015, claiming that Mexico would send rapists and criminals to the United States.

In just three years, many studies have found that various people have turned social media into a weapon of social division, highlighting social media's negligence and disregard for social justice. Having learned their lesson the hard way, with strong calls of appeal from the community, social media outlets have acknowledged that platform self-regulation to change online hate culture is necessary.

Where is the United States headed? Will social media, under the protective umbrella of freedom of speech, continue to become a weapon for politicians to bully races and nations? U.S. social media is learning to not play into the hands of any party and to avoid enabling unscrupulous politicians to acquire votes amidst the controversies of democratic regression. Whether social media's performance this time will become a force for the betterment of the world is something that will be revealed in November.

The author is a part-time professor at National Chengchi University.


語言學家杭士基曾諷刺地說:「宣傳之於民主社會,就如同棒子之於極權國家。」要掌握權力,就要掌握媒體;而當代媒體重中之重,就在社群媒體;社群媒體是否公平,也涉及權力如何移轉更迭。

這兩天民主黨全國大會為拜登成為候選人風光加冕,但川普民調反而追近。很多新聞標題都說,拜登想打敗川普,得先打敗自己。因為拜登面臨的,是有史以來最會操弄媒體的川普。

四年前,川普利用實境秀經驗,主導議題設定,把媒體搞得團團轉。前CBS總裁穆維斯回顧二○一六年川普當選總統說,「明知這樣對美國不好,但對電視台真是好到不行」收視率創新高,廣告大進帳,觀眾目光分秒不離螢幕。

川普深知媒體喜歡爭議的脾胃,不斷炒作政治化的衝突議題,成功分化媒體,讓支持者對自由派媒體嗤之以鼻,卻對保守派媒體如Breitbart和福斯電視台深信不疑。

這次卻有點詭譎。川普在主流媒體版面和社群媒體聲量目前遠勝拜登,有趣的是,社群媒體正反評價聲量,拜登已後來居上。為何如此?主要歸功今年社群媒體改變部分遊戲規則,讓川普有點施展不開。

從數量看,拜登在社群媒體處於劣勢。

美聯社統計,川普平均每天向二千八百萬臉書粉絲,至少發送十四條推文。反觀拜登臉書粉絲只有兩百萬,不到川普十分之一,發送推文數也只有一半。拜登推特有六百四十萬追隨者,遠不及川普的八千二百萬。

拜登沒有川普執政優勢。川普豢養網軍多年,數位行銷、拍攝視頻和汙名化對手,無所不用其極。反之,拜登的社群媒體表現十分傳統:推文極少,且多透過驗證過的帳戶如歐巴馬和知名媒體轉文。不過,拜登六月急起直追,臉書廣告花費首次超過川普一倍。還招募IG支持者舉行網路募款,並在Tik Tok上招兵買馬。

三分之二美國人從社群媒體看新聞,但社媒的演算法很可能造成選民向同溫層取暖的「思想孤島」,對選舉影響很大。歐美各界認為不能再讓科技巨擘作選舉仇恨言論或分離主義的幫凶,應起而防止虛假訊息流竄。這次民主黨更邀請四大社群媒體,提出打假政策,提升平台透明度和社會責任。

推特率先擴大仇恨言論監管適用範圍,如果愛用推特的川普出現仇恨言論,將貼上標籤,嚴重則可能下架。

谷歌旗下YouTube,去年六月宣布將刪掉新納粹和白人至上的影片和錯誤訊息。臉書二○一七年引入自動監測仇恨言論系統,最近迫於廣告商和員工壓力,進一步表示會在川普不當言論加上註記。社群媒體Reddit不但關閉兩千個論壇,並禁止川普(The_Donald)的Reddit論壇,因為它鼓吹暴力,破壞規則。亞馬遜的Twitch也因為最近川普帳號貼出二○一五年他在奧克拉荷馬州競選時,說墨西哥會送強暴犯和罪犯到美國的言論,暫停這個帳戶。

僅僅三年,許多研究發現各路人馬把社群媒體變成分裂社會的武器,凸顯社媒失職還漠視社會公義的問題。記取教訓,也因社會強力呼籲,社群媒體認應以自律讓網路仇恨文化改頭換面。

美國究竟往何處去?社媒仗著言論自由保護傘,會持續變成政客霸凌種族和國家的利器嗎?美國社群媒體學著不要正中下懷,讓無良政客從民主倒退爭議中得到選票。社媒這次表現,會不會成為改善世界的力量,十一月就揭曉。

(作者為政治大學兼任教授)
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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