Diagnosis Weakens Trump’s ‘Little Flu’ Discourse and Helps Biden

Published in UOL
(Brazil) on 2 October 2020
by Kennedy Alencar (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Kelsey Lewis. Edited by Jamye Sharp.
President Donald Trump has reaped the results of his negligence and irresponsibility by holding rallies in the middle of a pandemic, refusing to wear a mask and minimizing the coronavirus. He and first lady Melania Trump contracted COVID-19 and have entered into quarantine. Democrat Joe Biden could benefit in the election.

The incident is contrary to the political narrative that Trump has tried to construct, saying that the United States was turning the page on COVID-19. The coronavirus has reached the heart of the White House and will have a strong impact on the election campaign.

The initial impact is positive for Biden, the Democratic candidate, who has been wearing masks and following health guidelines while campaigning. Biden has alerted Americans to the risks of a disease that has already killed more than 208,000 people in the United States.

The Democrat, who was close to Trump in Tuesday’s debate, ironically was criticized in the debate by the president for frequently wearing a mask. As he was not wearing a mask in the confrontation between the two, Biden was tested this Friday morning. His wife, Jill, was also tested. At around 1 p.m. Brasilia time, both results came back negative.

On Twitter, the Democrat wrote a message to his opponent at 9:45 a.m. Brasilia time: “Jill and I send our thoughts to President Trump and first lady Melania Trump for a swift recovery. We will continue to pray for the health and safety of the president and his family.”

From a political perspective, the incident shows that Biden was right to alert the country about the risks of the disease. The Democrat can reap political benefits in the Midwestern swing states where he and Trump had been campaigning. These states are essential to the Electoral College, in which it’s necessary to have at least an absolute majority (270) of the 538 delegates to win the White House.

Trump will be prevented from campaigning in battleground states in the final stretch of the Nov. 3 election. The next presidential debate, scheduled for Oct. 15 in Miami, could be suspended. Trump is unlikely to be medically cleared to attend the debate and return to holding rallies.

Trump Could Use COVID-19 to His Advantage If He Has a Mild Case

The evolution of Trump’s clinical condition will be instrumental in dictating political impacts. If he has a mild case, certainly he will try to say that his narrative of minimizing the disease was right. For now, the White House says he has mild, flu-like symptoms.

But at 74 years old and clinically obese at 110 kg (243 lbs.), he is in the high-risk group. A clinical evolution with medium or severe symptoms could cause more political damage to the Republican’s reelection plans.

For now, the White House reports that Trump intends to continue governing, but a decline in his health may force him to transfer power to Vice President Mike Pence, who tested negative today.

There is a suspicion that a Trump adviser, Hope Hicks, transmitted the virus to the president. But the opposite may also have happened. Trump participated in the debate, held a rally in Minnesota, traveled to New Jersey, and met with several people without wearing a mask. Other people in the White House may have been infected. Employees are being tested.

This incident perfectly sums up Trump’s neglect of his own health and the health of others. The most-watched president in the world took risks due to political calculation and contracted the disease that he so minimized. Trump has been wrong all along in the way he has treated publicly and behaved personally toward COVID-19.


Diagnóstico enfraquece discurso de Trump sobre "gripezinha" e ajuda Biden

O presidente Donald Trump colheu os resultados de sua negligência e irresponsabilidade ao fazer comícios em plena pandemia, desprezar o uso da máscara e minimizar o coronavírus. Ele e a primeira-dama Melania Trump contraíram covid-19 e deram início a uma quarentena. O democrata Joe Biden poderá se beneficiar eleitoralmente.

O episódio é negativo para a narrativa política que Trump tentou construir, dizendo que os Estados Unidos (EUA) estavam virando a página da covid-19. O coronavírus chegou ao coração da Casa Branca e terá impacto forte na campanha eleitoral.

O primeiro impacto é positivo para Joe Biden, candidato democrata que tem usado máscara e feito atos de campanha de acordo com normas sanitárias. Biden tem alertado os americanos para o risco de uma doença que já matou mais de 208 mil pessoas nos EUA.

O democrata, que esteve perto de Trump no debate desta terça, chegou a ser criticado com ironia pelo presidente por usar máscara com frequência. Como não estava de máscara no confronto entre os dois, Biden fez o teste na manhã desta sexta. A esposa dele, Jill, também se submeteu a um exame. Por volta das 13h de Brasília, saíram os resultados negativos dos testes de ambos.

No Twitter, o democrata escreveu uma mensagem para o adversário às 9h45 no horário de Brasília: "Jill e eu enviamos nossos pensamentos para que o presidente Trump e a primeira-dama Melania tenham uma rápida recuperação. Continuaremos a orar pela saúde e segurança do presidente e sua família".

Do ponto de vista político, o episódio mostra que Biden estava certo ao alertar o país sobre os riscos da doença. O democrata pode colher benefícios políticos nos estados decisivos do meio-oeste nos quais ele e Trump vinham fazendo campanha. Esses estados são fundamentais no Colégio Eleitoral, onde é preciso ter, no mínimo, maioria absoluta (270) entre os 538 delegados a fim de conquistar a Casa Branca.

Trump ficará impedido de fazer campanha em estados decisivos na reta final das eleições de 3 de novembro. O próximo debate presidencial, previsto para 15 de outubro em Miami, pode ser suspenso. É improvável que Trump esteja liberado do ponto de vista médico para comparecer e voltar a fazer comícios.

Trump pode usar covid-19 a seu favor se mantiver quadro leve

A evolução do estado clínico de Trump será fundamental para ditar os impactos políticos. Se ele mantiver um quadro leve, certamente tentará dizer que estava certa a sua narrativa de minimizar a doença. Por ora, a Casa Branca diz que ele tem sintomas leves, parecidos com o de uma gripe.

Mas, aos 74 anos e clinicamente obeso (110 kg), ele está no grupo de risco. Uma evolução clínica com sintomas médios ou graves pode causar mais dano político aos planos do republicano para se reeleger.

No momento, a Casa Branca informa que Trump pretende continuar governando, mas uma piora no seu estado de saúde poderá obrigá-lo a transferir o poder para o vice Mike Pence, que fez um teste hoje com resultado negativo.

Há a suspeita de que uma assessora de Trump, Hope Hicks, tenha transmitido o vírus ao presidente. Mas o contrário também pode ter acontecido. Trump participou do debate, fez comício em Minnesota, viajou para Nova Jersey e se reuniu com diversas pessoas sem usar máscara. Outras pessoas na Casa Branca podem ter se contaminado. Funcionários estão fazendo testes.

Esse episódio resume com perfeição a negligência de Trump com a própria saúde e a das demais pessoas. O presidente mais vigiado do mundo correu riscos por cálculo político e contraiu a doença que ele tanto minimizou. Donald Trump esteve errado o tempo todo na forma como tratou publicamente e se comportou pessoalmente em relação à covid-19.
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