We Hope the US Presidential Election Will Be Safely Decided

Published in Nihon Keizai Shimbun (Nikkei)
(Japan) on 4 November 2020
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Eric Stimson. Edited by Denile Doyle.
Who will take the helm of the superpower? The American presidential election, which has drawn world’s attention, is over. There was a massive increase in mail-in voting because of the COVID-19 pandemic, and it appears that it will be some time before the result is certain.* As the political void continues, it appears to be spurring social turmoil in the United States. I hope this does not lead to any unpredictable circumstances.

According to a preliminary preelection poll, former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic candidate, preserved his lead on a national level. Incumbent Republican President Donald Trump caught up in the end and won in the battleground states of Florida and Ohio, but the future remains unsettled.

While America’s economic forecast remains unknown due to the coronavirus disaster, it is feared that financial and stock markets will be further destabilized as long as a winner is not declared. Be warned about the impacts of this on the Japanese markets.

Without waiting for a final confirmation of the results, Trump spoke at the White House before his supporters, stressing that “we already have won.” He has also hinted that he is thinking of suing to stop the vote count. It would be unforgivable to ignore mail-in ballots, which are heavily Democratic, to preserve Trump’s advantage in the middle of vote counting.

Meanwhile, Biden told a gathering of his supporters, “we’re going to have to be patient until … the hard work of tallying votes is finished. Regardless of who wins, if the results do not appear to be a landslide, both candidates could continue their claims of victory and the mudslinging. The 2000 U.S. presidential election took over a month to decide.

One can see the depth of the divide among Americans. There was a debate during the campaign over how to stop COVID-19 restore the economy. But, aside from a few battleground states, the split between the key Republican states and those where Democrats dominate was almost the same.

When it comes to voting, it appears that, unlike previous elections where support has depended on fluctuating reasons like the condition of the economy, more voters choose their candidate by predetermined reasons like race. If you consider this from another perspective, the division might drag on and deepen further.

One cannot dismiss the possibility that in regions like East Asia or the Middle East, countries may take disturbing action or international terror groups could take advantage of the chaos in the United States. Will the American presidential election pull the trigger on global chaos? We hope some kind of decision will be made swiftly and safely.

*Editor’s note: Joseph Biden was declared the winner of the 2020 presidential election on Nov. 7.


超大国のかじ取りを誰が担うのか。世界が注目した米大統領選が実施された。新型コロナウイルスの流行に伴い、郵便投票が大幅に増えた。結果の確定にはかなり時間がかかりそうだ。政治空白が長引くと、米社会の動揺に拍車をかけかねない。不測の事態につながらないことを望みたい。

事前の世論調査では、民主党候補のバイデン前副大統領が全国平均でリードを保ってきた。共和党現職のトランプ大統領も終盤に追い上げ、激戦州とされたフロリダ州やオハイオ州で勝利を確実にした。先行きは不透明だ。

コロナ禍で米経済の先行きが見通せないなかで、いつまでも勝者が決まらないと、金融・証券市場が再び不安定になることが懸念される。日本のマーケットへの波及も警戒が必要だ。

トランプ氏は最終結果の確定を待たずにホワイトハウスで支持者を前に演説し、「すでに勝った」と力説した。さらに法廷闘争を通じて開票作業の打ち切りもあり得るとの考えをほのめかした。開票途中での優位を保つために、民主党票が多いとされる郵便投票を無視することは許されない。

他方、バイデン氏は支持者の集まりで「集計作業が終わるまで、忍耐強く待たなければならない」と呼び掛けた。いずれの候補が勝つにしても、圧勝という形にはならない見通しで、双方が勝利を主張し続ける泥仕合もあり得る。2000年の大統領選は決着に1カ月以上を要した。

このことからうかがえるのは、米国民の分断の深刻さだ。選挙戦では、コロナの感染防止対策や落ち込んだ経済をどう回復させるかが議論となった。だが、少数の激戦州を除くと、共和党が地盤とする州と民主党が優勢な州の色分けはほぼ同じだった。

投票行動を決める際、景気のような変動する要因で支持が揺れ動く従来の選挙と異なり、人種の違いといった変動しない要因によって投票先を決める有権者が増えているようだ。裏返せば、分断はこれからも長く続き、より深まるかもしれない。

こうした超大国の混乱の隙を突いて、東アジアや中東のような地域で、不穏な動きに出る国や国際テロ組織があらわれる可能性もないとはいえない。米大統領選が世界の混乱の引き金を引くのか。なんとか早く無事に決着してもらいたい。
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Venezuela: Charlie Kirk and the 2nd Amendment

Turkey: Blood and Fury: Killing of Charlie Kirk, Escalating US Political Violence

Spain: Trump, Xi and the Art of Immortality

Spain: Charlie Kirk and the Awful People Celebrating His Death

Germany: When Push Comes to Shove, Europe Stands Alone*

Topics

Malaysia: The Tariff Trap: Why America’s Protectionist Gambit Only Tightens China’s Grip on Global Manufacturing

Singapore: Several US Trade ‘Deals’ Later, There Are Still More Questions than Answers

Venezuela: Charlie Kirk and the 2nd Amendment

Spain: Charlie Kirk and the Awful People Celebrating His Death

Germany: Trump Declares War on Cities

Japan: US Signing of Japan Tariffs: Reject Self-Righteousness and Fulfill Agreement

Russia: Trump the Multipolarist*

Turkey: Blood and Fury: Killing of Charlie Kirk, Escalating US Political Violence

Related Articles

Malaysia: The Tariff Trap: Why America’s Protectionist Gambit Only Tightens China’s Grip on Global Manufacturing

Singapore: Several US Trade ‘Deals’ Later, There Are Still More Questions than Answers

Dominican Republic: Trump Is Rigorously Consistent

Germany: Trump Declares War on Cities

Japan: US Signing of Japan Tariffs: Reject Self-Righteousness and Fulfill Agreement