Stop Throwing Wrenches into the New Iran Talks

Published in Tokyo Shimbun
(Japan) on 17 April 2021
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Joseph Santiago. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
Just as indirect talks between the United States and Iran began over reviving the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, one of Iran’s nuclear facilities was attacked, with Israel, a long-standing opponent of the deal, believed to be the perpetrator. For the sake of the deal, the international community must stand as one and put a stop to such agitations.

The facility in question, the Natanz uranium-enrichment site in central Iran, was attacked on April 11, and received damage to its electrical system, among other things. Sabotage was also alleged last July when an explosion rocked the same facility. While foul play hasn’t officially been cited, hours after the attack, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated, “[t]he fight against Iran and its metastases and against Iranian armament is a huge task.” Israeli internal media also reported that Mossad, Israel’s intelligence agency, operated in the background of the incident, leaving Israel’s involvement highly likely.

If that’s the case, then the real target was the talks between the U.S. and Iran, moderated by the EU, which started on April 6 and focused on a return to the deal that the previous Donald Trump administration reneged on and the economic sanctions that followed. Netanyahu, however, called the deal “[a]n agreement with Iran that would pave the way to nuclear weapons … ” Also that day, an Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps spy ship was attacked in the Red Sea. American news outlets reported that, according to an anonymous U.S. official, Israel informed the United States that it carried out the attack. This was a clear attempt at breeding increased distrust of America in Iran, for who would negotiate with someone that would allow such attacks on them? This attack also dealt a blow to the U.S., as Iran increased its uranium enrichment to 60% in response.

The Joe Biden administration initially dragged its feet on renewing the nuclear deal, leading a frustrated Iran to sign a comprehensive 25-year cooperation agreement with China, which is extending its reach to other countries like Saudi Arabia and Turkey. The dread of losing ground to China forced the U.S. to participate in these talks.

As negotiations have just started, the biggest challenge for America will be keeping nuclear weapons out of Iran’s hands, especially as Iran approaches presidential elections this June, where conservative hawks taking an anti-American platform have found great success. The sudden revival of these talks is a means to that end. Arriving at detente in the region is vital for the United States.

However, opposition from Iran’s rivals, such as Israel and the Gulf states, is only growing stronger. In order to allay the concerns of these countries, America, with the support of other nations like Russia, China, the U.K., France and Germany, must use whatever kind of persuasion it can to prevent any further incidents.


<社説>イラン巡る情勢 核合意復帰を妨げるな

米国のイラン核合意復帰を巡る両国の間接協議が始まる中、イランの核施設が攻撃された。復帰反対のイスラエルが関与した疑いが濃い。核合意存続のために国際社会は結束し、妨害を排すべきだ。
 十一日に攻撃を受けたのはイラン中部ナタンズのウラン濃縮施設で、電気系統などが損傷した。同施設では昨年七月にも爆発が発生し、妨害工作が指摘されていた。
 犯行声明は出ていないが、事件当日にイスラエルのネタニヤフ首相は「イランの軍備増強に対する闘いは重大な使命」と発言。イスラエルの国内メディアも、事件の背後に同国の情報機関モサドがいると一斉に報じており、イスラエルが関与した可能性が高い。
 その場合、標的は六日から欧州連合(EU)の仲介で始まった米国とイランの間接協議だ。米国のトランプ前政権が離脱した核合意への米国の復帰と、それに伴う対イラン経済制裁の解除がテーマだが、ネタニヤフ首相は「米国の核合意復帰はイランの核兵器開発への道を開く」と懸念している。
 協議が始まった六日にも、紅海でイラン革命防衛隊の偵察船が攻撃を受けた。米有力紙は米国当局者の話として、米国がイスラエルから攻撃を知らされていたと報じている。「攻撃を黙認しつつ、交渉するのか」とイラン側に米国への不信感を募らせる狙いが透けて見える。米国への揺さぶりの意味もあろう。イランは濃縮施設攻撃への反撃として、ウランの濃縮度を60%にまで上げた。
 米バイデン政権の核合意復帰への動きは当初、鈍かった。そのことに失望したイランは先月下旬、中国と二十五年間の包括的な連携協定を結んだ。中国はサウジアラビアやトルコにも触手を伸ばしている。米国にとっては対中包囲網がほころびかねず、そうした危機感が間接協議の参加を促した。
 協議は始まったばかりだが、米国の対イラン政策の最重要課題は核兵器保有の阻止だ。イランは六月に大統領選を迎えるが、反米色の濃い保守強硬派が優勢だ。核合意への速やかな復帰はそうした流れに対するけん制にもなる。地域の緊張緩和には不可欠だ。
 だが、イランと緊張関係にあるイスラエルや一部の湾岸諸国は反発を強めている。米国はそうした国々の懸念を拭うために説明を尽くし、妨害を抑えるべきだ。合意に加わっているロシアや中国、英国、フランス、ドイツも米国の努力を支えねばならない。
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