Joe Biden Has a Lot on His Plate in Europe

Published in Le Journal de Montréal
(Canada) on 10 June 2021
by Pierre Martin (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Emily Sedgwick. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
During his first trip abroad, the president will have a lot to do to patch up American international leadership that was severely damaged by his predecessor.

As soon as he exited his plane, Joe Biden took a big step forward for American diplomacy by showing that the spokesman for the United States is no longer an authoritarian, megalomaniacal nationalist trying to rally attention by pushing aside norms and denouncing the historic commitments of his country.

It wasn’t bad, but it will nevertheless be difficult to convince allies and adversaries that from now on, they can take the United States seriously concerning foreign affairs.

Tattered Leadership

It’s true that there were doubts about the soundness of American leadership before Donald Trump entered the scene.

Still, by cavalierly renouncing the Paris Agreement, slamming the door on the World Health Organization in the middle of a pandemic, basely trying to profit from the United States' commitments with its allies, abandoning the promotion of democratic values and crushing them in front of Vladimir Putin, among other things, Trump did more in four years to undermine American international leadership than any number of his predecessors combined.

Biden has a huge reconstruction job ahead of him.

Impending Actions

Not being Trump is great, but that’s not enough.

Last week, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen took a big step in reaching an agreement, in principle, for a minimum tax on multinational businesses. Biden will nevertheless have to convince European leaders that he will be able to get the needed legislation passed despite a Republican wall of opposition.

His promise to supply the rest of the world with 500 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines is an extraordinary gesture, but his political opponents will doubtlessly find a way to throw a monkey wrench into things.

Biden will also have a challenge at his face-to-face meeting with Putin, who will not be a treat for him and who is an old master at stoking domestic division in the United States.

Conquering Skepticism

Above all, in an internal political environment that is very uncertain, where the possibility of bipartisan consensus, even in foreign affairs, is at its lowest, it is a challenge for Biden to demonstrate that he is in good control of his government.

This will be difficult; the proof will not just depend on political orientations abroad, but equally on Biden’s ability to put his internal program in play.

The rest of the world depends on his success, first because a global post-COVID recovery will be difficult without a strong American economic recovery, but also because the international leadership of the United States depends on the confidence its partners have in the stability of the American democratic institution.

In brief, what the rest of the world is waiting for from Biden is assurance that they will not be seeing a powerful return of Trump or Trumpism. That will take more than just a trip.


Joe Biden a du pain sur la planche en Europe

Pendant son premier séjour à l’étranger, le président aura fort à faire pour rafistoler le leadership international américain, sévèrement amoché par son prédécesseur.

Dès sa sortie de l’avion, Joe Biden a fait faire un grand pas à la diplomatie américaine en montrant que le porte-parole des États-Unis n’est plus un nationaliste autoritaire mégalomane cherchant à mobiliser l’attention en bousculant les normes et en reniant les engagements historiques de son pays.


Pas mal, mais ce sera néanmoins difficile de convaincre alliés et adversaires qu’on peut dorénavant prendre les États-Unis au sérieux en politique étrangère.

Un leadership en lambeaux

Il n’est pas faux que les doutes sur la solidité du leadership américain existaient déjà avant l’entrée en scène de Donald Trump.
Pourtant, en reniant cavalièrement l’accord de Paris sur le climat, en claquant la porte de l’OMS en pleine pandémie, en cherchant à monnayer bassement l’engagement des États-Unis envers ses alliés, en abandonnant la promotion des valeurs démocratiques et en s’écrasant devant Vladimir Poutine, entre autres choses, Trump a fait plus en quatre ans pour saper le leadership international américain que plusieurs de ses prédécesseurs réunis.

Joe Biden a tout un boulot de reconstruction devant lui.

Des actions qui s’imposent

Ne pas être Donald Trump, c’est bien, mais ça ne suffit pas.
La semaine dernière, la secrétaire au Trésor américaine Janet Yellen a fait un grand pas en parvenant à un accord de principe pour un impôt minimum des sociétés transnationales. Joe Biden devra toutefois convaincre ses vis-à-vis qu’il pourra faire passer la législation nécessaire, malgré le mur d’opposition des républicains.
Sa promesse de fournir au reste du monde 500 millions de doses de vaccin anti-COVID est un geste extraordinaire, mais ses adversaires politiques trouveront sans doute moyen de lui mettre des bâtons dans les roues.
Biden aura aussi tout un défi lors de son face-à-face avec Vladimir Poutine, qui ne lui fera pas de cadeaux et est passé maître dans l’art d’alimenter les divisions internes aux États-Unis.

Vaincre le scepticisme

Avant tout, dans un environnement politique interne très incertain, où la possibilité d’un consensus bipartite, même en politique étrangère, est à son plus bas, c’est un défi pour Joe Biden de démontrer qu’il contrôle bien la gouverne de son pays.
Ce sera ardu, car ce test ne portera pas seulement sur les orientations de politique étrangère, mais également sur sa capacité de mettre en marche son programme interne.
Le reste du monde dépend de son succès, d’abord parce qu’une reprise globale post-COVID serait difficile sans une solide reprise de l’économie américaine, mais aussi parce que le leadership international des États-Unis dépend de la confiance de ses partenaires envers la stabilité des institutions démocratiques américaines.
Bref, ce que le reste du monde attend de Biden, c’est une assurance qu’on n’assistera pas à un retour en force de Trump ou du trumpisme. Ça, ça prendra plus qu’un voyage.

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