The Benefits of Withdrawing Troops from Afghanistan

Published in Taiwan Times
(Taiwan) on 10 September 2021
by Chang Jen-chieh (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jennifer Sampson. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
While the war in Afghanistan was originally unrelated to Taiwan, China has been plotting to use the withdrawal of American troops to launch hybrid warfare against Taiwan. In addition, opportunistic Taiwanese media and pro-China politicians have caused a commotion by using the troop withdrawal to mislead the Taiwanese people. This manipulation has backfired, however, and that’s a blessing in disguise for Taiwan.

War has never been a good thing; it is fierce and terrible and brings extreme hardship. By resolutely and decisively withdrawing troops from Afghanistan, the Biden administration decided to free the U.S. from the mire of a 20-year war, executing the withdrawal agreement the Trump administration made last year and ending the mess left by the previous three presidents. You cannot call staunching the flow of $1 trillion in military expenditures an unwise decision.

America’s strategy for the war on terror and in Afghanistan is a failure. Joe Biden’s policy decision to withdraw troops had two problems: One, the decision and execution were hurried and sloppy. Two, he acted unilaterally and did not adequately notify allies. U.S. troops left large quantities of weapons, military supplies and aircraft for the Taliban, and the American-supported Afghan government self-destructed and collapsed. This proves that Biden did not completely think through the decision and to that extent, he misjudged. Unilaterally withdrawing troops caught American allies by surprise. The German government, for example, complained that 18 years of stationing troops in Afghanistan has come to nothing. Meanwhile, the Japanese government has been scrambling to evacuate people. The explosion at the airport thwarted a motorcade of 10 buses carrying 400 people, and the Japanese government only managed to extract one person. Although Biden personally defended the pullout, the wave of criticism and calls for a congressional investigation remains high. While he faced criticism for withdrawing troops, Biden believes his decision benefits the U.S. in that financial and human resources can be reallocated to dealing with China.

Perhaps because it is an island nation, Taiwan often fares well regarding matters of war. It has often escaped the suffering that battle brings, even though the island has not escaped the shadow and experience of war. Before World War II, the most horrific war was the Thirty Years’ War (from 1618 to 1648). The conflict, which began in Central Europe, led the Netherlands in Western Europe to declare independence and create a new country. Even though Holland is on the other side of the world, it was the home of the people who colonized Taiwan.

Contemporary wars have been more advantageous than detrimental for Taiwan; the war in Afghanistan, thousands of miles away, is no exception. World War II baptized Taiwan in the fires of combat, and as a result, the country broke free of Japanese colonial rule. Although Taiwan did not send troops to the Korean or Vietnam wars, it intervened by sending advisers and served as a logistical support base for U.S. troops. As a result, both Taiwan and Japan reaped large fortunes. Taiwan’s economy and security was assured for the long term when the Korean War erupted; when Chiang Kai-shek was exiled and received U.S. support; and when Taiwan was under the protection of U.S. forces during the Cold War. Thus, contemporary wars have benefited Taiwan in many ways.

The benefit from the war in Afghanistan is like a gift from heaven. Because the troop withdrawal unexpectedly helped China’s case, Taiwan received an unexpected dividend. Biden spared no effort in appeasing allies and preserving America’s international image by clarifying that China was using the troop withdrawal to defame America’s international credibility and reliability. He personally asserted that the U.S. would resolutely keep its commitments to American allies, and in an unprecedented move, compared the security of Taiwan to that of NATO countries, which is a collective safeguard.

It is extremely significant when an American president expresses his personal commitment, as it reflects America’s renewed commitment to Taiwan on an international stage. The policy between the U.S. and Taiwan has naturally shifted from strategic ambiguity to strategic clarity. Once more, the issue of Taiwan has received international visibility and there is room for expansion. Biden claims that the U.S. withdrew from Afghanistan so that it could turn its attention to China and Russia, a move which strengthens Taiwan’s position with regard to international strategic security. With respect to Indo-Pacific strategy, from northeastern Asia down to the South China Sea, the U.S. and Japan’s security system is kept in place by Taiwan. Taiwan is also a stronghold for the global democratic community in its stand against China. With Biden’s troop withdrawal from Afghanistan, the U.S. inadvertently extended an unprecedented amount of mutual trust and support to Taiwan. As history shows, war has brought Taiwan more change for the better than it has brought the country risk. Therefore, it is true what You Si-kun, president of Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan, said. If China dares to attack Taiwan, Taiwan will be able to declare independence.

The author is a researcher at the Taiwan Brain Trust law firm and a member of the Taiwan Association of University Professors.


(專論) 阿富汗大撤退的戰爭紅利

阿富汗戰爭與台灣本來風馬牛不相及,中國陰謀利用撤軍議題對台灣發動混合戰,加上國內投機媒體與親中政客的攪局,利用阿富汗撤軍恐嚇誤導國人,結果操作過頭反而使台灣因禍得福;戰爭向來不是好事,兵凶戰危生靈塗炭,這次拜登政府壯士斷腕毅然撤軍阿富汗,決定擺脫二十年的戰爭泥沼,執行川普政府去年達成的撤軍協議,結束前三任總統延續下來的爛攤子,為投入一兆美金軍費的無底洞止血,不能說不是明智的抉擇。

美國的反恐與阿富汗戰爭的戰略可說功敗垂成;此次拜登撤軍決策主要有兩個問題,一個是決策與執行過於倉促草率,一個是未充分知會盟邦的單邊主義,美軍遺留大批武器輜重及飛機給塔利班,美國扶持的阿富汗政府自毀自棄土崩瓦解,證明拜登決策的未盡周延甚至誤判;單邊撤軍使得盟邦措手不及,德國政府抱怨十八年的駐軍落得一場空;日本政府到現在還急得像熱鍋上螞蟻,因為機場爆炸事件阻礙,十輛巴士四百人的車隊只成功撤出一人;雖然拜登親自上場辯護解釋,美國國會批評、追究的聲浪仍然很高;儘管撤軍決策備受批評,拜登認為撤軍有其戰爭紅利,也就是可以移轉資源集中人力用來對付中國。

可能是四周臨海的島國優勢,台灣的戰爭經驗經常是一個善緣,經常能夠倖免兵禍的荼毒,雖然從來不缺戰爭的陰影與經驗;二戰以前人類歷史上最慘烈的「三十年戰爭」(一六一八至四八年),戰禍起源於中歐卻造成西歐的尼德蘭(荷蘭)獨立建國,荷蘭雖然遠在地球的另一端,當時正好就是台灣的殖民母國;當代的幾場戰爭對台灣的影響可說是利多於弊,這次遠在千里之外的阿富汗戰爭也不例外;二戰使台灣經歷戰火洗禮,結果是台灣脫離日本殖民統治;台灣沒派兵卻以顧問團介入韓戰與越戰,並成為美軍的後勤支援基地,因此台灣和日本一樣的發了一大筆戰爭財;台灣更因為韓戰爆發,當時的蔣介石流亡政權獲得美援支持,台灣因美軍協防被納入冷戰保護傘,使台灣經濟與安全獲得長期確保;當代戰爭帶給台灣不小的戰爭紅利。

這次的戰爭紅利就像天上掉下來的禮物,阿富汗撤軍因為中國的歪打正著,使台灣意外被動獲得戰爭紅利;為了澄清中國利用撤軍過程見縫插針,宣傳詆毀美國的國際信用與可靠性,拜登極力安撫盟友與維護國際形象,親自上場宣稱美國會堅定的維護盟友的承諾,並且為了反擊中國的攻擊脅迫,史無前例的保證台灣安全將比照北約盟國,也就是集體安全的保障。

美國總統公開的親自承諾意義重大,表示在國際上宣示美國對台灣的再承諾,美台關係也自然從戰略模糊轉化為戰略清晰,台灣問題更再度得到國際化的能見度與拓展空間;拜登宣稱撤出阿富汗掉轉槍頭指向中俄,使台灣的國際戰略安全地位又得到加持,因為印太戰略東北亞到南海、美日安保體系都以台灣為核心支撐,全球民主價值共同體的抗中陣營也以台灣為橋頭堡;拜登的撤軍決策意外帶給台灣的是無與倫比的互信與支持。從過去的歷史經驗來看,戰爭帶給台灣的轉機總是多於風險,因此,立法院游院長說只要中國敢武力攻打台灣,台灣就可以宣布獨立,洵不誣也。

(作者為新台灣國策智庫研究員、台灣教授協會會員)

This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Russia: Will the US Intervene in an Iran-Israel Conflict? Political Analyst Weighs the Odds*

Austria: Trump Is Playing with Fire. Does He Want the Whole House To Go up in Flames?

India: What if Trump Has Just Started Another ‘Forever War’?

Venezuela: The Devil in Los Angeles

Cuba: Summit between Wars and Other Disruptions

Topics

India: What if Trump Has Just Started Another ‘Forever War’?

Russia: Will the US Intervene in an Iran-Israel Conflict? Political Analyst Weighs the Odds*

Cuba: Summit between Wars and Other Disruptions

Germany: Resistance to Trump’s Violence Is Justified

Germany: LA Protests: Why Are So Many Mexican Flags Flying in the US?

Spain: Trump-Musk: Affair, Breakup and Reconciliation?

Switzerland: Trump’s Military Contingent in Los Angeles Is Disproportionate and Dangerous

   

Germany: If You’re Not for Him, You Should Be Afraid*

Related Articles

Taiwan: Taiwan Issue Will Be Harder To Bypass during Future US-China Negotiations

Hong Kong: Amid US Democracy’s Moral Unraveling, Hong Kong’s Role in the Soft Power Struggle

Russia: Trump Is Shielding America*

Venezuela: Trump’s Foreign Policy

Hong Kong: The Lessons of World War II: The Real World Importance of Resisting Hegemony