The two giants are flexing their muscles, yet finding compromise on climate.
We are still at the tactical maneuvers stage, where tensions can be appeased with promises. So, at the United Nations in New York, President Joe Biden and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, took a new step toward a diplomatic solution on the future of the climate.
Biden said he would double U.S. assistance to developing countries to help them adapt to climate change; Xi declared China will end its foreign investments in coal plants. Praised by U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, the move provides new momentum for the climate conference scheduled to take place Dec. 1-12 in Glasgow.
Another fact worth noting is that the Chinese and American delegations are pursuing high-level talks at a time when both Washington and Beijing are flexing their military muscle and seeking to secure regional free trade agreements to fill the void left by the World Trade Organization in Geneva.
Beijing Has Gained the Upper Hand in Trade
However, despite appearances, we are not living in a bipolar word where one country may be tempted to supersede the other. Indeed, while the United States retains an overwhelming military advantage over China, Beijing has gained the upper hand in trade. In 20 years, China has become the No. 1 trading partner of most countries on the planet, far ahead of the United States or Europe. This shift has forced both giants into a tie. It pushed them to agree at the very least on the most important issue, namely climate change, where neither of them can claim political or economic gains in case of failure. This wasn’t the case during the first climate conferences.
We are faced with a "scenario" in which Washington's exclusive and absolute dominance over the entire hemisphere, from Greenland and Canada in the north to the southern reaches of Argentina and Chile.
The message is unmistakable: there are no absolute guarantees and state sovereignty is conditional when it clashes with the interests of powerful states.