Can the US Defend Democracy?

Published in Mainichi Shimbun
(Japan) on 13 October 2022
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by T Kagata. Edited by Michelle Bisson.
The U.S. midterm elections are just a month away, and the U.S. House and Senate elections as well as gubernatorial and other elections will be held at the same time on Nov. 8. There will be a wide range of issues, including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and a 40-year high level of inflation, but the most important issue will be democracy in the U.S.

About 70% of Americans believe that democracy is on the brink of collapse. The sense of crisis is shared by both Democrats and Republicans. The problem is that they are blaming each other for the issue.

President Joe Biden mentioned that “the Republican Party today is dominated, driven, and intimidated by Donald Trump and the MAGA Republicans, and that is a threat to this country,” attacking the former president’s denial about the result of the 2020 presidential election.

Trump responded by saying that it is Biden and other radical Democrats who are destroying the country, and he has taunted the current administration, which has a lenient immigration policy, as anti-American.

The campaign is reminiscent of the presidential election two years ago, when the two candidates clashed. Biden has shelved the “unity” pledge he made when he took office, while Trump has become more outspoken and confrontational.

There are quite a few people who cast a cold eye on the intensifying partisan conflict. About 30% of the public is critical of the two major parties, the worse percentage in the past 30 years. This is a remarkable level of distrust of political parties.

However, it is hard to say that both parties are trying to overcome this.

Many of the Republican candidates who get Trump’s support still continue to believe that the 2020 presidential election was rigged. Even if they lose the midterm elections, they will not accept the results, using self-serving theories, and there are fears that the vote could be thrown into disarray.

Rather than pushing Biden, whose approval rating is slumping, Democratic candidates are forcing voters to choose between “pro-Trump” and “anti-Trump” candidates. Their stance of stirring up hostility and division is no different from that of the Republicans.

Democracy in the U.S., which has been globally regarded as the norm, has been supported by fair and free elections and a civil society that values tolerance. If this is neglected, the foundation of the U.S. will crumble.

Political turmoil will also affect diplomacy. Confidence in allies and friends will decline, benefiting China and Russia, whom we oppose.

Will U.S. democracy continue to deteriorate or show resilience? The world is watching what happens.


米中間選挙まで1カ月 民主主義の旗を守れるか
毎日新聞 2022/10/13 東京朝刊 859文字

 米国の中間選挙が1カ月後に迫った。11月8日に上下両院選や州知事選などが一斉に実施される。ロシアのウクライナ侵攻、40年ぶりの記録的なインフレなど争点は多岐にわたるが、何より問われるのは米国の民主主義である。

 「民主主義は崩壊の瀬戸際にある」と考える米国民は約7割に達する。危機感は民主、共和の党派を超えて共有されている。問題は、その責任の所在を互いに押しつけ合っていることだ。

 バイデン大統領は「トランプ氏が共和党を支配し、民主主義を破壊している」と指摘し、2020年大統領選の結果を否定する前大統領の姿勢を攻撃している。

 これに対し、トランプ氏は「破壊しているのはバイデン氏ら急進的な民主党だ」と反論し、寛容な移民政策をとる現政権を「反米主義者」となじっている。

 選挙戦は、両氏が激突した2年前の大統領選をほうふつとさせる。バイデン氏は就任時に公約した「団結」を棚上げにし、トランプ氏は一段と口を極めて対決姿勢を際立たせる。

 激しさを増す党派対立に冷めた目を向ける国民は少なくない。2大政党に批判的な世論は過去30年で最悪の約3割に及ぶという。著しい政党不信である。

 だが、それを克服しようとする論戦になっているとは言い難い。

 トランプ氏の支持を得る共和党候補者の多くは、今なお「大統領選不正」を訴え続けている。中間選挙で敗北しても身勝手な理屈を持ち出して結果を認めず、集計が混乱に陥る事態も危惧される。

 民主党の候補者は支持率が低迷するバイデン氏を押し立てるよりも、「親トランプ」か「反トランプ」かの選択を有権者に迫る。敵意をむき出しにして分断をあおる姿勢は共和党と変わらない。

 世界の規範とされてきた米国の民主主義は、公正な自由選挙と、寛容を重んじる市民社会が支えてきた。それをないがしろにすれば、米国の土台は崩れる。

 政治の混迷は外交にも飛び火する。同盟国や友好国の信頼が低下し、対立する中国やロシアを利することになる。

 このまま民主主義を劣化させるのか、復元力を示すのか。米国の行方を世界が注目している。
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